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21h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
21h Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 21h)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 21h ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
21h 
YES ▲12¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 22h ago
75%
▲12¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 222h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
23h Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
NO ▲10¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 22h ago
55%
▼10¢
✓ 222h Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲7¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 18h ago
55%
▲7¢
18h Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 222h China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 223h US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
YES ▲4¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
4 articles
· 8h ago
7%
▲4¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 5% FLAT
8h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil transit
11h Fujairah and Khor Fakkan become UAE trade hubs amid Iran tensions
13h US Navy strikes Iranian ship in Gulf of Oman amid Hormuz blockade tensions
YES ▲4¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 18h ago
42%
▲4¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
18h Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
NO ▲3¢
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 18h ago
2%
▼3¢
✓ 218h Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
NO ▲2¢
Epstein suicide note release
1 article
· 9h ago
7%
▼2¢
✓ 109h Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
YES ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 18h ago
7%
▲2¢
✓ 318h France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
1d Thousands of ships stranded as Trump claims US “winning” Hormuz blockade
1d US suspends Strait of Hormuz ship guidance plan, shipowners seek alternatives
YES ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 9h ago
5%
▲1¢
9h Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
YES ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 14h ago
24%
▲1¢
✓ 514h Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 16h ago
3%
▼1¢
16h Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
3 articles
· 21h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 321h Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
22h Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
✓ 21d Russia accused of ceasefire violation amid ongoing Ukraine conflict escalation
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
2 articles
· 22h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
22h Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
1d Israel orders evacuation of 12 Lebanese villages amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 22h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
22h Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲1¢
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 23h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
23h Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
YES ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 1d ago
7%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
1d Iran denies involvement in Korean vessel incident amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
1d Next to raise prices up outside Europe amid Iran conflict costs
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 23h ago
100%
23h The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 13h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 613h US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
23h US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
1d UAE intercepts Iranian missiles amid Gulf tensions over Project Freedom
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 15h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 315h Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 18h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
18h Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 22h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
22h Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 22h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 222h Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 22h ago
100%
▼0¢
22h US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 22h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
22h Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 23h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 323h Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 23h ago
4%
▼0¢
23h Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 1d ago
4%
▼0¢
1d Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21d Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against neighbors 100% FLAT
✓ 21d China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 6
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21d ECB signals potential 50+ bps rate cut for April 2026 amid stable wage growth
Likely NO
Ethereum price above on may 6
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
1d BitMine buys 101,745 ETH for $238M, boosting institutional demand
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 1d ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
1d Iran rejects US threats, leadership stability likely through 2026