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1d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
1d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 1d)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
1d 
NO ▲24¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 1d ago
41%
▼24¢
✓ 21d Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲16¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
2 articles
· 1d ago
79%
▲16¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 21d Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
1d Nvidia faces increased competition in AI processor market, market share declines
NO ▲7¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
4 articles
· 1d ago
41%
▼7¢
1d Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 21d China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 21d US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
NO ▲6¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
32%
▼6¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
1d Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
NO ▲2¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 1d ago
7%
▼2¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
1d Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
YES ▲1¢
Epstein suicide note release
2 articles
Developing
17%
▲1¢
1h Epstein note analysis sparks market interest for May release
✓ 141d Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
YES ▲1¢
Trump's visit to China
2 articles
· 4h ago
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 93% FLAT
✓ 34h Trump confirms China visit for May 14-15 amid diplomatic tensions
✓ 21d China supplies drone parts to Iran, Russia despite US sanctions: WSJ
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 1d ago
7%
▼1¢
1d Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 1d ago
7%
▼1¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 31d Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 1d ago
3%
▼1¢
1d Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
2 articles
· 1d ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 31d Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
1d Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
YES ▲1¢
Israel airspace closure
1 article
· 1d ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
1d Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
NO ▲1¢
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 1d ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
1d Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
6m 1,500 ships trapped in Gulf amid US-Iran conflict, Hormuz traffic disrupted
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 2% FLAT
✓ 31h UAE counters Iranian air attack amid regional tensions
3h Iran fires on US forces after oil tanker incident amid escalating tensions
✓ 21d Iran airstrikes damage 228 US military targets in Middle East
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
5 articles
· 2h ago
73%
▼0¢
✓ 22h US forces intercept Iranian attacks in Strait of Hormuz escalation
1d Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil transit
1d Fujairah and Khor Fakkan become UAE trade hubs amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 30% FLAT
2h Kamala Harris criticizes Iran war amid US regime change push
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
4 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
✓ 33h 20,000 seafarers stranded as US-Iran talks stall over Strait of Hormuz closure
✓ 33h US strikes Iranian targets amid ongoing Trump-led negotiations
✓ 31d France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 53h US-Iran tensions rise as military exchange escalates in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
2 articles
· 1d ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 61d US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
1d US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
Likely NO
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 1d ago
17%
▼0¢
✓ 51d Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
Likely YES
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
1d The Devil Wears Prada 2 hits $90M-$100M opening weekend target
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
Developing
73%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 0% FLAT
1h Oil prices jump as US, Iran trade fire in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
1d Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
1d Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 21d Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
1d US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 1d ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
1d Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 31d Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
4%
▼0¢
1d Ukraine escalates drone strikes deep into Russia, targeting Moscow and beyond
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
· 1d ago
4%
▼0¢
1d Rubio’s Vatican mission complicated by Trump-Pope clash over Iran policy
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21d Spirit Airlines faces shutdown risk amid soaring jet fuel prices and flight cuts