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1d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
1d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 1d)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
1d 
NO ▲24¢
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 5h ago
26%
▼24¢
✓ 135h Starmer faces leadership doubts after heavy losses in local elections
NO ▲23¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 2d ago
42%
▼23¢
✓ 22d Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲18¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
81%
▲18¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 21d Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
NO ▲6¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
32%
▼6¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
1d Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
NO ▲6¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
3 articles
· 1d ago
42%
▼6¢
1d Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 22d China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 22d US-Iran talks remain stalled, no agreement on key issues
YES ▲4¢
Epstein suicide note release
2 articles
· 6h ago
20%
▲4¢
6h Epstein note analysis sparks market interest for May release
✓ 141d Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
NO ▲4¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 7h ago
69%
▼4¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 0% FLAT
✓ 57h Oil prices jump as US, Iran trade fire in Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲3¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 2d ago
6%
▼3¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
2d Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 1d ago
6%
▼2¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 31d Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
YES ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
5h 1,500 ships trapped in Gulf amid US-Iran conflict, Hormuz traffic disrupted
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 8h ago
6%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 30% FLAT
8h Kamala Harris criticizes Iran war amid US regime change push
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
3 articles
· 8h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
✓ 48h 20,000 seafarers stranded as US-Iran talks stall over Strait of Hormuz closure
✓ 38h US strikes Iranian targets amid ongoing Trump-led negotiations
✓ 31d France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 9h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 59h US-Iran tensions rise as military exchange escalates in Strait of Hormuz
YES ▲1¢
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 10h ago
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 93% FLAT
✓ 310h Trump confirms China visit for May 14-15 amid diplomatic tensions
NO ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 1d ago
16%
▼1¢
✓ 51d Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
NO ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 1d ago
3%
▼1¢
1d Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
2 articles
· 1d ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 31d Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
1d Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
NO ▲1¢
Next Israeli prime minister
1 article
· 2d ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 4% FLAT
2d Poll shows Likud may fall below 20 seats without Netanyahu
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
6 articles
Developing
69%
▼0¢
✓ 854m Iran captures tanker in Gulf of Oman amid US maritime tensions
✓ 58h US forces intercept Iranian attacks in Strait of Hormuz escalation
1d Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, disrupting global oil transit
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
24%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 42% FLAT
1h Iran war boosts profits for energy, banks, defense firms: BBC
1d Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran attacks US destroyers in Strait of Hormuz escalation
✓ 61d US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
2d US escorts ships through GPS-jammed Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 32% FLAT
2h Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds
Likely NO
Control of house in 2026 midterm elections
1 article
· 3h ago
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump insults 92% FLAT
3h Trump demands charges against Jeffries for ‘maximum warfare’ rhetoric
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
4 articles
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
4h Israel launches airstrikes over Iran, escalating regional tensions
✓ 56h UAE counters Iranian air attack amid regional tensions
✓ 39h Iran fires on US forces after oil tanker incident amid escalating tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Israeli army warns six Lebanese villages amid operations against Hezbollah
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
1d Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
1d Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 21d Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Israel airspace closure
1 article
· 1d ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
1d Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
2d US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition
Likely NO
Russia NATO invasion
1 article
· 2d ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
2d Russian drones enter Romanian airspace, escalating NATO tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price prediction for may 6 0% FLAT
✓ 32d Bitcoin nears $82,000 as oil drops 6% on US-Iran peace talks hopes