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2d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 2d)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
2d 
NO ▲24¢
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 6h ago
26%
▼24¢
✓ 146h Starmer faces leadership doubts after heavy losses in local elections
NO ▲24¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 2d ago
41%
▼24¢
✓ 22d Trump pauses ‘Project Freedom’ in Hormuz amid Pakistan mediation efforts
YES ▲19¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 2d ago
82%
▲19¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 22d Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand, challenges Nvidia
NO ▲7¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
31%
▼7¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
1d Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
NO ▲7¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
· 1d ago
41%
▼7¢
1d Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
✓ 22d China urges reopening of Strait of Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions
NO ▲4¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 8h ago
69%
▼4¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 0% FLAT
✓ 78h Oil prices jump as US, Iran trade fire in Strait of Hormuz
YES ▲3¢
Epstein suicide note release
2 articles
· 8h ago
19%
▲3¢
8h Epstein note analysis sparks market interest for May release
✓ 141d Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
NO ▲3¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 2d ago
6%
▼3¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 10% FLAT
2d Iran considers sending enriched uranium to US amid negotiation talks
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 1d ago
6%
▼2¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 31d Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
NO ▲2¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
2 articles
· 2d ago
3%
▼2¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 32d Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
2d Pro-Kremlin lawyer criticizes Putin, highlighting rift in Russian power circles
YES ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 2h ago
25%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 42% FLAT
2h Iran war boosts profits for energy, banks, defense firms: BBC
1d Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
NO ▲1¢
Iran military action against neighbors
2 articles
· 3h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 23h Iran attacks US destroyers in Strait of Hormuz escalation
✓ 61d US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
YES ▲1¢
Control of house in 2026 midterm elections
1 article
· 4h ago
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump insults 92% FLAT
4h Trump demands charges against Jeffries for ‘maximum warfare’ rhetoric
YES ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 6h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
6h 1,500 ships trapped in Gulf amid US-Iran conflict, Hormuz traffic disrupted
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 9h ago
6%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 30% FLAT
9h Kamala Harris criticizes Iran war amid US regime change push
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
3 articles
· 10h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
✓ 410h 20,000 seafarers stranded as US-Iran talks stall over Strait of Hormuz closure
✓ 510h US strikes Iranian targets amid ongoing Trump-led negotiations
✓ 31d France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 10h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 610h US-Iran tensions rise as military exchange escalates in Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 1d ago
16%
▼1¢
✓ 51d Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
2 articles
Developing
94%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 94% FLAT
12m Trump to visit China by May 31 with tech CEOs, Boeing deal possible
✓ 311h Trump confirms China visit for May 14-15 amid diplomatic tensions
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
5 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
✓ 250m Iran nuclear sites attacked by US, Israel amid rising tensions
6h Israel launches airstrikes over Iran, escalating regional tensions
✓ 57h UAE counters Iranian air attack amid regional tensions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
7 articles
Developing
69%
▼0¢
50m UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, Strait of Hormuz risks rise
✓ 112h Iran captures tanker in Gulf of Oman amid US maritime tensions
✓ 79h US forces intercept Iranian attacks in Strait of Hormuz escalation
Likely NO
2026 united kingdom local elections: party winner
1 article
Developing
26%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out timing 26% FLAT
52m Reform UK gains 400 seats in 2026 local elections, Labour loses 260
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
2 articles
Developing
28%
▼0¢
1h Powell likely to remain Fed chair until term ends in 2026 amid Warsh transition
1d Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 32% FLAT
3h Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 6h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 26h Israeli army warns six Lebanese villages amid operations against Hezbollah
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
1d Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
2d Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 22d Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Israel airspace closure
1 article
· 2d ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
2d Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
2d US adopts pre-verification AI policy amid China competition