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2d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 2d)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
2d 
NO ▲25¢
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 7h ago
25%
▼25¢
✓ 147h Starmer faces leadership doubts after heavy losses in local elections
NO ▲2¢
Control of house in 2026 midterm elections
1 article
· 5h ago
91%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump insults 92% FLAT
5h Trump demands charges against Jeffries for ‘maximum warfare’ rhetoric
YES ▲2¢
Epstein suicide note release
2 articles
· 9h ago
18%
▲2¢
9h Epstein note analysis sparks market interest for May release
✓ 141d Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 1d ago
6%
▼2¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 31d Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
NO ▲2¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
· 2d ago
3%
▼2¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 32d Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
8 articles
Developing
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 40% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
16m US forces block over 70 tankers in Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing conflict
1h UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, Strait of Hormuz risks rise
✓ 152h Iran captures tanker in Gulf of Oman amid US maritime tensions
YES ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
5 articles
Developing
3%
▲1¢
✓ 21h Iran nuclear sites attacked by US, Israel amid rising tensions
6h Israel launches airstrikes over Iran, escalating regional tensions
✓ 68h UAE counters Iranian air attack amid regional tensions
NO ▲1¢
2026 united kingdom local elections: party winner
1 article
Developing
25%
▼1¢
⚡ Starmer out timing 26% FLAT
✓ 21h Reform UK gains 400 seats in 2026 local elections, Labour loses 260
YES ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 3h ago
25%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 42% FLAT
3h Iran war boosts profits for energy, banks, defense firms: BBC
1d Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 10h ago
6%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 30% FLAT
10h Kamala Harris criticizes Iran war amid US regime change push
NO ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 1d ago
16%
▼1¢
✓ 51d Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 11h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 611h US-Iran tensions rise as military exchange escalates in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
1d Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
1d Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
2d Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 22d Bitcoin surges past $82K amid easing US-Iran tensions
Likely YES
Trump's visit to China
3 articles
Developing
94%
⚡ Trump visit to China 94% FLAT
2m Trump to meet Xi in Beijing amid US-Iran tensions, cruise virus concerns downplayed
1h Trump to visit China by May 31 with tech CEOs, Boeing deal possible
✓ 312h Trump confirms China visit for May 14-15 amid diplomatic tensions
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 69% FLAT
16m US blocks 70 tankers, impacting Iran oil exports worth $13B
1d Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 3% FLAT
20m US unemployment steady, Fed rate cut unlikely by June 2026
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 736m Iran may control Strait of Hormuz, Rubio warns amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
48m Trump warns Iran of consequences as peace deal confidence wanes
✓ 89h Oil prices jump as US, Iran trade fire in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
2 articles
Developing
28%
▼0¢
1h Powell likely to remain Fed chair until term ends in 2026 amid Warsh transition
1d Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
2 articles
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 34h Iran attacks US destroyers in Strait of Hormuz escalation
✓ 61d US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 32% FLAT
4h Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
· 7h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 27h Israeli army warns six Lebanese villages amid operations against Hezbollah
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 7h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
7h 1,500 ships trapped in Gulf amid US-Iran conflict, Hormuz traffic disrupted
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
3 articles
· 11h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
✓ 411h 20,000 seafarers stranded as US-Iran talks stall over Strait of Hormuz closure
✓ 511h US strikes Iranian targets amid ongoing Trump-led negotiations
✓ 31d France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
Likely NO
Israel airspace closure
1 article
· 2d ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 8% FLAT
2d Israel orders evacuations in Lebanon amid military escalation