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2d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2d Circle mints $750M USDC on Solana amid US-Iran ceasefire
▲ Solana price predictions for may
100% (was 1%, ▲99¢ in 2d)
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6: 0% FLAT
YES ▲99¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▲99¢
⚡ Solana price predictions for may 6 0% FLAT
2d 
NO ▲22¢
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 8h ago
28%
▼22¢
✓ 148h Starmer faces leadership doubts after heavy losses in local elections
NO ▲7¢
WTI crude oil price predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
31%
▼7¢
⚡ Trump's visit to China 0% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 38% FLAT
1d Trump to confront Xi over Iran oil purchases amid US-China tensions
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
8 articles
Developing
2%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 40% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 4% FLAT
1h US forces block over 70 tankers in Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing conflict
2h UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, Strait of Hormuz risks rise
✓ 154h Iran captures tanker in Gulf of Oman amid US maritime tensions
YES ▲2¢
2026 united kingdom local elections: party winner
1 article
· 2h ago
28%
▲2¢
⚡ Starmer out timing 26% FLAT
✓ 52h Reform UK gains 400 seats in 2026 local elections, Labour loses 260
NO ▲2¢
Epstein suicide note release
2 articles
· 10h ago
14%
▼2¢
10h Epstein note analysis sparks market interest for May release
✓ 141d Federal judge unseals Jeffrey Epstein’s alleged suicide note
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 1d ago
6%
▼2¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 16% FLAT
✓ 31d Trump claims US will secure enriched uranium from Iran
NO ▲2¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
1 article
· 2d ago
3%
▼2¢
⚡ Russia x Ukraine ceasefire 8% FLAT
✓ 32d Zelenskyy accuses Russia of rejecting Ukraine ceasefire proposal amid attacks
NO ▲1¢
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
Developing
15%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 81h Iran may control Strait of Hormuz, Rubio warns amid US-Iran tensions
YES ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
5 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▲1¢
✓ 22h Iran nuclear sites attacked by US, Israel amid rising tensions
8h Israel launches airstrikes over Iran, escalating regional tensions
✓ 610h UAE counters Iranian air attack amid regional tensions
YES ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 4h ago
25%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 42% FLAT
4h Iran war boosts profits for energy, banks, defense firms: BBC
1d Trump warns Iran of more attacks amid stalled peace talks
NO ▲1¢
Control of house in 2026 midterm elections
1 article
· 6h ago
92%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump insults 92% FLAT
6h Trump demands charges against Jeffries for ‘maximum warfare’ rhetoric
NO ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 9h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
9h 1,500 ships trapped in Gulf amid US-Iran conflict, Hormuz traffic disrupted
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 11h ago
6%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 30% FLAT
11h Kamala Harris criticizes Iran war amid US regime change push
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
3 articles
· 12h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 72% FLAT
✓ 412h 20,000 seafarers stranded as US-Iran talks stall over Strait of Hormuz closure
✓ 512h US strikes Iranian targets amid ongoing Trump-led negotiations
✓ 31d France, UK lead mission to secure Strait of Hormuz amid tensions
NO ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
· 1d ago
16%
▼1¢
✓ 51d Ripple completes pilot linking XRP Ledger with interbank settlement systems
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
68%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 69% FLAT
8m US strikes Iranian tankers as UAE reports missile, drone attacks
✓ 612h US-Iran tensions rise as military exchange escalates in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Israel maintains military presence in Lebanon amid Hezbollah conflict
✓ 28h Israeli army warns six Lebanese villages amid operations against Hezbollah
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
3 articles
Developing
94%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump visit to China 94% FLAT
1h Trump to meet Xi in Beijing amid US-Iran tensions, cruise virus concerns downplayed
2h Trump to visit China by May 31 with tech CEOs, Boeing deal possible
✓ 313h Trump confirms China visit for May 14-15 amid diplomatic tensions
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 69% FLAT
✓ 31h US blocks 70 tankers, impacting Iran oil exports worth $13B
1d Iran seeks China’s mediation in US-Iran conflict over Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 3% FLAT
✓ 61h US unemployment steady, Fed rate cut unlikely by June 2026
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
1h Trump warns Iran of consequences as peace deal confidence wanes
✓ 810h Oil prices jump as US, Iran trade fire in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
2 articles
· 3h ago
28%
▼0¢
3h Powell likely to remain Fed chair until term ends in 2026 amid Warsh transition
1d Jerome Powell to stay on Fed board despite Trump legal challenges
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
2 articles
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 3% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
✓ 35h Iran attacks US destroyers in Strait of Hormuz escalation
✓ 61d US, Iran near agreement to end conflict with one-page memorandum
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 6h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 32% FLAT
6h Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 6
1 article
· 1d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil price predictions 1% FLAT
1d Russia’s oil tax revenues hit six-month high amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 2d ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 100% FLAT
2d Alphabet and Meta stock predictions show strong support amid cloud growth