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Prediction Markets

News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.

Reuters8h

US confirms Trump tariffs on Mexico permanent, EU retaliation possible

▼ Trump tariffs / trade war
75% (was 80%, ▼5¢ in 8h)
NO ▲5¢ Trump tariffs / trade war 1 article · 8h ago
75% ▼5¢
N▲5
Reuters8h
US confirms Trump tariffs on Mexico permanent, EU retaliation possible
NO ▲4¢ US-Iran permanent peace deal 1 article · 8h ago
11% ▼4¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 26% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 43% FLAT
N▲4
Trump Truth Social DirectCNBC✓ 28h
Trump halts Iran strikes, cites internal fractures in Iranian government
NO ▲2¢ US-Iran ceasefire announcement 1 article · 8h ago
81% ▼2¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 82% FLAT
N▲2
FinancialjuiceTenet_researchStockMKTNewzBBCBreakingFoxNewsUnusual_whalesSecScottBessentMarioNawfal✓ 88h
Trump extends Iran blockade as ceasefire breach deadline looms
NO ▲2¢ Epstein client list release 1 article · 8h ago
7% ▼2¢
N▲2
Fox News (sitemap)The Hill✓ 28h
Democracy Forward’s FOIA request heightens scrutiny on Kash Patel
YES ▲1¢ Trump insult prediction market 1 article · 8h ago
68% ▲1¢
Y▲1
FT8h
Mandelson scandal threatens Starmer’s leadership as pressure mounts
YES ▲1¢ S&P 500 movement on april 13 1 article · 8h ago
82% ▲1¢
Y▲1
Walter Bloomberg8h
US Treasury yields rise as US-Iran tensions escalate
NO ▲1¢ Iranian demands Trump 1 article · 8h ago
63% ▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 12% FLAT
N▲1
FinancialjuiceWalter BloombergFirstSquawkTenet_researchStockMKTNewzZerohedgeBusinessAxios✓ 88h
US Vice President Vance cancels Pakistan trip amid US-Iran peace uncertainty
NO ▲1¢ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 1 article · 8h ago
5% ▼1¢
N▲1
CHItraderFinancialjuiceWalter BloombergKobeissiLetterTenet_researchSolidintel_xWallstengineBusinessMarioNawfalSolanaFloorJerusalem PostIranIntl_En✓ 128h
Iran skips US talks in Pakistan, complicates ceasefire efforts
Likely NO US-Iran ceasefire 19 articles Developing
15% ▼0¢
N↑
MarioNawfal6m
Iran ready to strike as US ceasefire odds fall
N↑
Reuters8m
Iran rejects US talks, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely
Y↑
FirstSquawk21m
Trump cites Iran’s cash crunch amid delayed military salaries
Likely NO Trump's Iranian demands 1 article · 8h ago
4% ▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 3% FLAT
N↑
Jerusalem Post8h
US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran weapon suppliers
Likely NO Gold price predictions by end of june 1 article · 8h ago
100% ▼0¢
N↑
FirstSquawk8h
Spot gold drops 3% amid Iran conflict and US dollar strength
Likely NO Trump public insults by april 2026 1 article · 8h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Who will Trump publicly insult by april 30? 100% FLAT
Y↑
MarioNawfal8h
Tucker Carlson apologizes for Trump support, market expects Trump insult
Likely NO Israel military action against Iran 2 articles · 8h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
Y↑
MarioNawfal8h
IRGC showcases missiles in Tehran amid low odds of Israeli military action
N↑
AJEnglishReuters✓ 28h
Hezbollah attacks northern Israel, raising doubts over US-brokered ceasefire
Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for april 21 1 article · 8h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 6% FLAT
Y↑
BTCtreasuries8h
Strategy gains $3.6B from Bitcoin as holdings surpass BlackRock