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✓ 55h Iran refuses talks with Pakistan amid US blockade standoff
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 55h Iran refuses talks with Pakistan amid US blockade standoff
▼ Iran uranium enrichment agreement
54% (was 59%, ▼5¢ in 5h)
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings: 57% FLAT · Trump's hormuz blockade announcement: 57% FLAT
NO ▲5¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
· 5h ago
54%
▼5¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 57% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 57% FLAT
✓ 55h 
YES ▲3¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 6h ago
14%
▲3¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 13% FLAT
6h Iran seeks diplomacy with US via third-party talks in Pakistan, Oman
NO ▲1¢
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
14%
▼1¢
✓ 217m Israel and Lebanon hold US-hosted talks amid Hezbollah tensions
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
2h Trump halts US-Iran peace talks, April 30 deal market plummets
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 4% FLAT
2h Iran proposes talks framework with US, highlights deep trust issues
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 6% FLAT
✓ 33h Iran offers new negotiation proposal after US trip cancellation
✓ 35h Trump urges journalist to leave Pakistan as Iran peace talks stall
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
3 articles
· 4h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 2% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 34h Baker Hughes warns Strait of Hormuz could remain closed through 2026
4h Iran tensions and oil supply issues fail to boost WTI crude price outlook
✓ 26h Empty oil tankers divert to US amid Middle East supply disruptions
NO ▲1¢
Crude oil all time high by april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price hit in april 1% FLAT
4h Iran crisis leaves crude oil markets unmoved despite Strait of Hormuz tensions
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 11% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 4% FLAT
✓ 24h Iran rules out US meetings in Pakistan or Oman, dampening diplomatic hopes
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 11% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 11% FLAT
✓ 25h Iran pledges trust-building in Oman visit amid nuclear deal uncertainty
NO ▲1¢
Fed decisions from january to april
1 article
· 5h ago
39%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts in 2026 39% FLAT
5h Consumer pessimism on job security doubles, Fed rate cut speculation rises
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
· 6h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 2% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
6h Trump comments cast doubt on Iran ceasefire continuation
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
4h Kelp DAO exploit leaves AAVE with $196M bad debt, Ethereum market steady
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
3 articles
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
4h Israel strikes Hezbollah targets, straining fragile ceasefire in Lebanon
✓ 25h Israel urges US to pressure Lebanon over Hezbollah to save ceasefire
✓ 36h Israeli airstrikes hit Hezbollah positions in Lebanon amid ceasefire doubts
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
2 articles
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US NATO withdrawal 0% FLAT
4h Leaked Pentagon memo suggests punitive measures against NATO allies escalate tensions
5h Trump’s frustration with Europe reignites US withdrawal from NATO debate
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries conducting military action against Iran by april 30 1% FLAT
4h US embassy warns of arsons targeting UK Jewish sites linked to Iran group
Likely NO
Third best AI model by april 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
97%
▼0¢
5h Anthropic’s Mythos AI model sparks crypto security concerns
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
· 5h ago
1%
▼0¢
5h US naval forces intercept sanctioned vessel in Arabian Sea, enforcing blockade
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
2 articles
· 5h ago
1%
▼0¢
5h Iran’s low-pressure oil fields risk permanent loss amid supply strain
6h US open to Iran uranium enrichment in potential nuclear deal shift
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
· 5h ago
8%
▼0¢
5h Iran conflict drives oil prices, Latin America responds with subsidies, caps
Likely NO
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
· 6h ago
87%
▼0¢
✓ 26h DOJ ends Powell probe, clearing path for Warsh’s Fed Chair confirmation
Likely YES
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
9%
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
1m Trump vows to win war against Iran, impacting market odds
Likely NO
Kash patel out by date
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
3m FBI Director Kash Patel likely to be fired, White House official claims
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 3% FLAT
8m Trump claims US operations prevented Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 25
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
44m BIS warns crypto exchanges acting as “shadow banks,” raising systemic risk concerns
Likely NO
Trump out as president by april 30
1 article
Developing
69%
▼0¢
57m Trump returns to White House, announces imminent press conference
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026 5% FLAT
1h Karaganov’s remarks complicate Russia-Ukraine ceasefire prospects by 2026
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
1h Bitcoin sharks accumulate 37,920 BTC as Middle East tensions ease
5h Bitcoin long-term holders stop panic selling, market stabilizes
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 4% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
1h Iran ramps up executions as regime maintains control amid protests
5h Trump cancels Iran talks, citing regime infighting and confusion
Likely NO
Russia's entry into dovha balka
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
2h Iran-linked hackers expose Israeli special ops officers’ identities
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 26 0% FLAT
2h Balancer attacker converts $48.7M ETH to 617 BTC, retains 1k ETH
6h Lazarus Group linked to $292M DeFi hack, $13B TVL outflows ensue
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
· 2h ago
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 54% FLAT
2h Iran intensifies efforts to keep Strait of Hormuz shut amid US blockade
✓ 46h US Navy intercepts sanctioned vessel M/V Sevan in Arabian Sea
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 372h Trump evacuated from White House dinner amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
3h Israel strikes in Gaza increase pressure on Netanyahu amid political turmoil
Likely NO
Putin's presidency status
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Putin approval hits wartime low, market sees no immediate threat to power
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ S&P 500 movement on april 24 100% FLAT
3h Hedge funds dump tech stocks at fastest pace in two years amid market jitters
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Bitcoin reclaims $73,700 support, eyes $96,000 mean reversion target
5h US Admiral Paparo endorses Bitcoin for national security strategy
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
✓ 34h IDF strikes Al-Khaiam amid ongoing clashes with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon