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Prediction Markets

News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.

What price will Bitcoin hit in april 100% ▲100¢ Strait of hormuz traffic 57% ▼18¢ Kash patel out by date 14% ▲2¢ US-Iran peace deal 3% ▼1¢ Peru presidential election first round - 4th place 2% ▼1¢ Crude oil all time high by april 30 14% ▲1¢ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 14% ▼1¢ Crude oil price by end of june 2% ▲1¢ Bitcoin price hit in april 2% ▲1¢ US crude oil reserves by may 1 7% ▼1¢ Epstein client list release 7% ▼1¢ Iran leadership status 2% US-Iran ceasefire 3% ▼0¢ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% ▼0¢ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 4% ▼0¢ Iranian regime fall 9% ▼0¢ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 3% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 5% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire 1% ▼0¢ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 14% ▼0¢ Trump's end of military operations against Iran 14% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil price in april 2026 2% ▼0¢ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 2% ▼0¢ Starmer out timing predictions 47% ▼0¢ Starmer out prediction markets 47% ▼0¢ Trump out as president by april 30 69% ▼0¢ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% ▼0¢ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 7% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for april 25 100% ▼0¢ Putin's presidency status 3% ▼0¢ Netanyahu's tenure 6% ▼0¢ Countries sending warships through hormuz 1% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% ▼0¢ Best Chinese AI company by april 2026 97% ▼0¢ Ethereum price hit in april 4% ▼0¢ Crypto hack predictions for 2023 4% ▼0¢ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% ▼0¢ Trump insult prediction market 100% ▼0¢ Russia's entry into dovha balka 100% ▼0¢ S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026 100% ▼0¢ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% ▼0¢ What price will Bitcoin hit in april 100% ▲100¢ Strait of hormuz traffic 57% ▼18¢ Kash patel out by date 14% ▲2¢ US-Iran peace deal 3% ▼1¢ Peru presidential election first round - 4th place 2% ▼1¢ Crude oil all time high by april 30 14% ▲1¢ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 14% ▼1¢ Crude oil price by end of june 2% ▲1¢ Bitcoin price hit in april 2% ▲1¢ US crude oil reserves by may 1 7% ▼1¢ Epstein client list release 7% ▼1¢ Iran leadership status 2% US-Iran ceasefire 3% ▼0¢ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% ▼0¢ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 4% ▼0¢ Iranian regime fall 9% ▼0¢ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 3% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 5% ▼0¢ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire 1% ▼0¢ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 14% ▼0¢ Trump's end of military operations against Iran 14% ▼0¢ WTI crude oil price in april 2026 2% ▼0¢ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 2% ▼0¢ Starmer out timing predictions 47% ▼0¢ Starmer out prediction markets 47% ▼0¢ Trump out as president by april 30 69% ▼0¢ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% ▼0¢ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 7% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for april 25 100% ▼0¢ Putin's presidency status 3% ▼0¢ Netanyahu's tenure 6% ▼0¢ Countries sending warships through hormuz 1% ▼0¢ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% ▼0¢ Best Chinese AI company by april 2026 97% ▼0¢ Ethereum price hit in april 4% ▼0¢ Crypto hack predictions for 2023 4% ▼0¢ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% ▼0¢ Trump insult prediction market 100% ▼0¢ Russia's entry into dovha balka 100% ▼0¢ S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026 100% ▼0¢ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% ▼0¢
Coingecko30m

Bitcoin unlikely to dip to $60,000 in April, market shows

▲ What price will Bitcoin hit in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 30m)
YES ▲2¢ Kash patel out by date 1 article · 3h ago
14% ▲2¢
Y▲2
Press TV3h
FBI Director Kash Patel likely to be fired, White House official claims
YES ▲1¢ Crude oil price by end of june 1 article Developing
2% ▲1¢
Y▲1
Reuters27m
Iran war disrupts oil supply, crude hits $90 by June draws interest
NO ▲1¢ US crude oil reserves by may 1 1 article Developing
7% ▼1¢
⚡ Iran successfully targets ships by april 30 59% FLAT
N▲1
FT1h
Fuel crisis grips Tuvalu amid Strait of Hormuz blockades
YES ▲1¢ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1 article Developing
14% ▲1¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 13% FLAT
Y▲1
FT1h
Iran missile strikes on GCC states threaten Gulf-backed deals, oil supply
NO ▲1¢ Epstein client list release 1 article Developing
7% ▼1¢
N▲1
MarioNawfal1h
Gunman targets Trump at White House Correspondents’ Dinner, leaders evacuated
YES ▲1¢ Bitcoin price hit in april 1 article Developing
2% ▲1¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
Y▲1
FT1h
Iran conflict drives pistachio prices to 8-year high amid Hormuz blockade
NO ▲1¢ Peru presidential election first round - 4th place 1 article · 2h ago
2% ▼1¢
N▲1
RPP Noticias2h
Bomb attack in Colombia kills 14 ahead of presidential election
NO ▲1¢ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 1 article · 3h ago
14% ▼1¢
N▲1
Jerusalem Post (sitemap)Middle East Eye✓ 23h
Israel and Lebanon hold US-hosted talks amid Hezbollah tensions
NO ▲1¢ US-Iran peace deal 1 article · 5h ago
3% ▼1¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
N▲1
Al-MonitorReuters✓ 25h
Trump halts US-Iran peace talks, April 30 deal market plummets
Likely NO Iranian regime fall 1 article · 3h ago
9% ▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
Y↑
FirstSquawkIranIntl_EnMarioNawfal✓ 33h
Trump vows to win war against Iran, impacting market odds
Likely NO US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 1 article · 3h ago
3% ▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 3% FLAT
N↑
FirstSquawk3h
Trump claims US operations prevented Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons
Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for april 25 1 article · 4h ago
100% ▼0¢
Y↑
CoinDesk4h
BIS warns crypto exchanges acting as “shadow banks,” raising systemic risk concerns
Likely NO Trump out as president by april 30 1 article · 4h ago
69% ▼0¢
N↑
MarioNawfal4h
Trump returns to White House, announces imminent press conference
Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027 1 article · 4h ago
5% ▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026 5% FLAT
N↑
RT4h
Karaganov’s remarks complicate Russia-Ukraine ceasefire prospects by 2026
Likely NO Russia's entry into dovha balka 1 article · 5h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
Y↑
Press TV5h
Iran-linked hackers expose Israeli special ops officers’ identities
Likely NO Crypto hack predictions for 2023 1 article · 5h ago
4% ▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 26 0% FLAT
Y↑
blockchain24R5h
Balancer attacker converts $48.7M ETH to 617 BTC, retains 1k ETH
Likely NO Netanyahu's tenure 1 article · 6h ago
6% ▼0¢
Y↑
RPP Noticias6h
Israel strikes in Gaza increase pressure on Netanyahu amid political turmoil
Likely NO Putin's presidency status 1 article · 7h ago
3% ▼0¢
Y↑
Reuters7h
Putin approval hits wartime low, market sees no immediate threat to power
Likely NO S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026 1 article · 7h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ S&P 500 movement on april 24 100% FLAT
N↑
Zerohedge7h
Hedge funds dump tech stocks at fastest pace in two years amid market jitters
Likely NO Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 1 article · 7h ago
5% ▼0¢
N↑
Alichartsblockchain24R✓ 27h
Bitcoin reclaims $73,700 support, eyes $96,000 mean reversion target
Likely NO Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 1 article · 7h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
N↑
MarioNawfalNew York PostReuters✓ 37h
IDF strikes Al-Khaiam amid ongoing clashes with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon
Likely NO US-Iran ceasefire 1 article Developing
3% ▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 13% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
N↑
IrnaEnglish12m
Iran’s foreign minister to visit Pakistan before Moscow talks
Likely NO Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 1 article Developing
14% ▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 0% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
N↑
IranIntl_En16m
Iran prioritizes regional alliances over US talks, dims hope for near-term meeting
Likely NO Ethereum price hit in april 1 article Developing
4% ▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
N↑
Arkham26m
Ethereum Foundation unstakes $48.9M in ETH, raising selling pressure concerns
Likely NO Starmer out timing predictions 1 article Developing
47% ▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 46% FLAT
Y↑
BusinessFirstSquawk✓ 241m
Starmer’s Labour Party projected to lose seats in May 7 UK elections
Likely NO Best Chinese AI company by april 2026 1 article Developing
97% ▼0¢
N↑
Business51m
DeepSeek delays V4 model release, shifts to Chinese chips amid US restrictions
Likely NO Trump's end of military operations against Iran 2 articles Developing
14% ▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
N↑
MarioNawfal59m
US-Iran tensions rise as decapitation strike prediction complicates ceasefire
N↑
IranIntl_EnMarioNawfalRemarksFoxNewsJerusalem Post (sitemap)APFaststocknewssKobeissiLetterZerohedgeCBS PoliticsAxiosUnusual_whalesReutersYnetnewsCnnbrkWalter BloombergAJEnglishCHItraderNytimesFTFox News (sitemap)BBCBreakingBusinessCNBCFinancialjuiceCoinbureauWashingtonpostThe GuardianRPP NoticiasTrump Truth SocialNational PostFirstSquawkCz_binanceWhiteHouseLa Repu00fablicaNew York PostMartypartymusicThe HillRTFox News (Main)✓ 406h
Trump evacuated from White House dinner amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO Bitcoin all time high by date 1 article Developing
3% ▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price prediction for 2026 4% FLAT
Y↑
Coinbureau1h
Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF hits $184M inflows amid US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO US-Iran permanent peace deal 2 articles Developing
3% ▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 8% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 8% FLAT
N↑
Ynetnews1h
Trump escalates Iran strategy with naval blockade, frozen crypto assets
N▲1
RPP NoticiasCBS PoliticsMiddle East Eye✓ 37h
Iran offers new negotiation proposal after US trip cancellation
Likely NO Russia-Ukraine ceasefire 1 article Developing
1% ▼0¢
N↑
MarioNawfal1h
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire unlikely as military buildup continues
Likely NO Countries sending warships through hormuz 1 article · 2h ago
1% ▼0¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
Y↑
FT2h
Iran mining in Strait of Hormuz renews UK warship deployment speculation
Likely NO Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1 article · 2h ago
2% ▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 6% FLAT
N↑
FirstSquawk2h
Iran refuses talks under pressure, reinforcing uranium enrichment deadlock
Likely NO Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 1 article · 3h ago
100% ▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
N↑
Jerusalem Post (sitemap)3h
Netanyahu orders IDF to intensify attacks on Hezbollah, ceasefire in doubt
Likely NO Trump insult prediction market 1 article · 3h ago
100% ▼0¢
Y↑
CHItrader3h
Trump criticizes NATO’s role in Iran conflict, questions US alliance commitment
Likely NO Starmer out prediction markets 1 article · 3h ago
47% ▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out timing predictions 46% FLAT
Y↑
BBC News3h
Starmer faces mounting pressure as Labour MPs speculate on leadership
Likely NO Reza pahlavi entering Iran 1 article · 3h ago
7% ▼0¢
N↑
Middle East Eye3h
Israeli military raids West Bank amid escalating settler violence
Likely NO WTI crude oil price in april 2026 1 article · 7h ago
2% ▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 2% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
Y↑
MarioNawfalOilPrice.comNational Post✓ 37h
Baker Hughes warns Strait of Hormuz could remain closed through 2026