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✓ 111h EBay rejects GameStop’s $125 per share takeover proposal
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 111h EBay rejects GameStop’s $125 per share takeover proposal
▼ GameStop acquisition of ebay
14% (was 22%, ▼8¢ in 1h)
NO ▲7¢
Cerebras IPO market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
14%
▼7¢
1h Cerebras partners with OpenAI, targets $50B market cap on IPO day
NO ▲5¢
Next UK prime minister in 2026
1 article
Developing
45%
▼5¢
⚡ 2026 UK local elections: 2nd place 0% FLAT
⚡ Starmer out timing 52% FLAT
1h Reform UK’s election gains pressure Starmer’s leadership amid EU push
YES ▲5¢
WTI crude oil predictions for may 8, 2026
2 articles
· 10h ago
56%
▲5¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 3% FLAT
✓ 210h Strait of Hormuz closure pressures WTI Crude Oil towards $110
✓ 216h Strait of Hormuz tensions threaten global oil supply, WTI prices may rise
NO ▲5¢
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 18h ago
17%
▼5¢
18h US-Iran conflict drives energy prices, fuels inflation concerns
NO ▲4¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 14h ago
34%
▼4¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 38% FLAT
14h US Navy strike on Iranian supertanker raises regional tensions
NO ▲3¢
Warships through strait of hormuz by may 31
1 article
· 11h ago
10%
▼3¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 38% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 1% FLAT
✓ 211h Pentagon reveals nuclear sub location amid US-Iran tension in Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲3¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 13h ago
10%
▼3¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 1% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 3% FLAT
13h US considers military action to open Strait of Hormuz amid Iran tensions
NO ▲2¢
Starmer out timing
5 articles
Developing
45%
▼2¢
⚡ Next UK prime minister in 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 236m UK Labour turmoil intensifies as MPs call for Starmer’s resignation
✓ 92h UK minister resigns, calls for Starmer to quit amid party turmoil
✓ 910h Labour MPs revolt against Starmer amid leadership instability and low ratings
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼2¢
⚡ Warships through strait of hormuz by may 31 8% FLAT
✓ 32h IRGC expands control in Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions and naval activity
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
2 articles
· 6h ago
38%
▼2¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 40% FLAT
6h Iran blocks Strait of Hormuz, escalating US tensions
✓ 510h US sanctions target Iran’s oil shipments to China amid rising tensions
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 10h ago
10%
▼2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 46% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 1% FLAT
10h Iran deploys mini subs in Hormuz, escalating US naval standoff
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions may 14
1 article
Developing
98%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 12 100% FLAT
32m Bitcoin hits $83k amid short squeeze, futures interest up, spot volumes low
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
6 articles
Developing
56%
▼1¢
45m US-Iran tensions drive WTI Crude Oil price expectations to $110
✓ 24h US-Iran tensions threaten oil supply via Strait of Hormuz
✓ 26h US-Iran tensions rise, impacting oil and Bitcoin market predictions
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 7h ago
98%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 12 100% FLAT
7h Bitcoin support at $80,000 firm amid ETF inflows, geopolitical easing
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 16h ago
59%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 3% FLAT
16h Bank of America delays Fed rate cuts to 2027 amid persistent inflation
YES ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
3 articles
· 18h ago
29%
▲1¢
⚡ US invasion of Iran 26% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 30% FLAT
✓ 1218h Trump to discuss military options on Iran as tensions rise
19h Trump rejects Iran proposal, dims hopes for nuclear deal by May 31
✓ 419h Trump statement stalls US-Iran talks, dims nuclear deal prospects
YES ▲1¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 18h ago
7%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 46% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 30% FLAT
✓ 618h Iran excludes uranium removal in US proposal, complicating nuclear talks
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 19h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 10% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran 4% FLAT
19h Iran leaders reportedly assassinated, complicating US nuclear deal prospects
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
14m Trump admits US armed Iranian dissidents, complicating peace talks
18h Israel operates secret military base in Iraq, escalating regional tensions
Likely NO
Next prime minister of romania
1 article
Developing
74%
▼0¢
⚡ Romanian PM bolojan departure 98% FLAT
1h Romania’s president to appoint new PM after government collapse
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
5 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel strikes in 2026 33% FLAT
1h Israel intensifies assault on Lebanon, violating US-brokered ceasefire
1h Iran escalates drone warfare, complicates peace talks with Israel
✓ 63h Israel deploys Iron Dome to UAE amid Iran conflict, raising regional tensions
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
2 articles
· 4h ago
19%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 46% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 6% FLAT
✓ 34h Iran threatens 90% uranium enrichment if US resumes strikes
16h Iran rejects 20-year enrichment freeze, US refuses reparations amid nuclear talks
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions above for may 13
1 article
· 6h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high predictions 2% FLAT
6h Bitcoin briefly surpasses $82,000 amid easing geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
3 articles
· 8h ago
19%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 10% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
8h Netanyahu vows Iran conflict persists until uranium removal
✓ 614h Trump suspends gas tax, signals prolonged Iran conflict and high energy costs
✓ 217h Iran ready to downblend uranium amid US-Iran nuclear talks
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 9h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 97% FLAT
⚡ Fed chair confirmation predictions 100% FLAT
✓ 49h Senate advances Kevin Warsh nomination for Fed Chair, Powell exit unlikely by May
Likely NO
Next prime minister of denmark
1 article
· 13h ago
8%
▼0¢
13h Troels Lund Poulsen tasked with forming Denmark’s new center-right government
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by june
1 article
· 14h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 16% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 10% FLAT
✓ 814h Trump rejects Iran peace proposal, impacting US-Iran nuclear deal prospects
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
1 article
· 17h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions above for may 13 100% FLAT
✓ 417h Bitcoin surges above $82,000 amid US-Iran de-escalation signals