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1h Iran claims unblockable oil exports amid war tensions
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h Iran claims unblockable oil exports amid war tensions
▲ Crude oil predictions for june
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
YES ▲1¢
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 17% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 17% FLAT
24m Iran reviews Trump’s negotiation request amid low sanction relief odds
YES ▲1¢
Iran military action
1 article
Developing
17%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
✓ 21h Criticism mounts over US strategy in Iran conflict amid strained relations
YES ▲1¢
Fed decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
41%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts in 2026 40% FLAT
1h Fed likely to hold rates through 2026 amid strong US economy, inflation pressures
NO ▲1¢
Trump's potential visit to China
1 article
Developing
84%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump visit China 0% FLAT
1h Trump’s China visit by May 31 looks unlikely amid tariff tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 24
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26 0% FLAT
1h Bitcoin falls 24% in Q1 2026; $TRX gains 9%
1h Bitcoin closes two consecutive negative quarters, traders see no further drop
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
1h Iran conflict drives oil prices above $120 amid global fossil fuel talks
Likely NO
USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
1h Crypto capital shifts to AI, deep tech as USD.AI hits $300M FDV
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's tenure 6% FLAT
1h Israeli High Court orders probe framework by July 1, pressures Netanyahu government
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 58% FLAT
✓ 21h Pakistan opens new trade route to Iran, challenging US blockade
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h BitMine’s largest 2026 Ethereum buy boosts holdings to 5M ETH amid US-Iran tensions
2h Bitmine amasses $13.3B treasury with 5.08M ETH, aims for 5% supply
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
✓ 61h Trump meets with national security team on stalled Iran talks
Likely NO
Fed chair confirmation predictions
1 article
Developing
90%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 1% FLAT
1h Tillis lifts block on Warsh Fed Chair nomination after DOJ drops Powell probe
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
✓ 41h Circle Ventures buys AAVE tokens amid USDC liquidity crisis
Likely NO
Iran peace deals
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 61h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz amid sovereignty talks with Putin
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Lebanon’s Aoun defends Israel talks, accuses Hezbollah of prolonging conflict
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high predictions
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
1h Spot Bitcoin ETFs surpass $102B AUM amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
1h Shell’s $14B Canadian shale deal marks largest acquisition in a decade
Likely YES
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
Developing
3%
⚡ Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile 1% FLAT
1m EU sanctions pressure keeps Iran uranium surrender odds near zero
1h Putin backs Iran’s new leader, signals Moscow-Tehran alignment
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
3m Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz if US ends hostilities
Likely NO
ECB interest rates in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
5m Iran conflict threatens Middle East urea output, global food inflation concerns rise
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
5 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
✓ 210m Germany’s Merz: Iran humiliates US as diplomatic talks stall
✓ 519m Iran foreign minister blames US tactics for blocking diplomatic progress with Putin
20m Iran accuses US of obstructing nuclear talks amid diplomatic impasse
Likely NO
Meetings with Iran by april 30
1 article
Developing
18%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 18% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
11m IRGC’s Javani says US can’t open Strait of Hormuz by force
Likely NO
Bank of Russia decision in april
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
20m Iran foreign minister criticizes US in talks with Putin, citing “destructive habits”
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
21m Hezbollah denounces Beirut-Israel talks, releases drone strike footage
46m Lebanon reports 2,521 dead, 7,804 wounded in ongoing conflict with Israel
47m Israeli defense minister rules out Lebanon ceasefire amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Fed decisions from march to june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
25m US 2-year note yield drops as Fed rate cut bets rise
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
27m US-Iran conflict pushes Brent crude over $100, WTI trades YES
Likely NO
Next prime minister of Israel
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
32m Bennett and Lapid form alliance to challenge Netanyahu’s government
Likely NO
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
33m Emirates NBD plans first Gulf public debt sale since Iran war began
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
35m Israel, Hezbollah engage in limited ceasefire violations: Al Jazeera
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 237m Circle mints 500M USDC on Solana amid regulatory clarity, institutional interest
1h Solana sees $31.8M inflows as Bitcoin hits $79K, April $150 target unlikely
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
37m Middle East war triggers largest energy crisis in history: IEA
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
✓ 542m Iran proposes ending Hormuz attacks, lifting blockade, delaying nuclear talks
43m Iran offers to halt Hormuz attacks if US lifts blockade
✓ 31h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz to end US war
Likely NO
Iran diplomatic meetings
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 652m US warns Iran against controlling Strait of Hormuz, dims hope for talks
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 354m US oil prices rise above $97 amid stalled US-Iran peace talks
1h Iran tanker seizures, Trump order fail to impact oil markets
Likely NO
Crypto FDV predictions after launch
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
⚡ USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch 96% FLAT
1h USD.AI poised for $300M FDV post-launch as Hermes agent tops GitHub stars