Prediction Markets

N▲3

✓ 212h

Trump halts Iran strikes, cites internal fractures in Iranian government

N▲2

✓ 812h

Trump extends Iran blockade as ceasefire breach deadline looms

Y▲1

12h

US Treasury imposes new sanctions on Iran weapon suppliers

Y↑

36m

US blocks Iraq dollar shipments to pressure Iran-backed militias

Y↑

3h

Iran Revolutionary Guards warn of ‘silent battlefield’ amid ceasefire doubts

N↑

5h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifts focus to diplomacy

Y↑

5h

US blocks Iraq dollar shipments to pressure Iran-backed militias: WSJ

Y↑

1h

Russia’s State Duma passes crypto bill, Bitcoin demand may rise

N▲4

3h

BlackRock buys $900M in Bitcoin, boosting April 2026 $80K odds

Y▲5

✓ 24h

Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $11.8M amid geopolitical stabilization

Y▲12

✓ 46h

Bitcoin surges past $77K as $40M in shorts liquidated amid US-Iran tensions

Y▲23

7h

Goldman Sachs files for Bitcoin Premium Income ETF amid market volatility

Y▲23

8h

Strategy makes 3rd-largest BTC purchase with $1.1B acquisition

Y▲32

9h

Bitcoin falls below $75,500 amid US-Iran tensions

Y▲32

9h

Bitcoin exchange reserves hit lowest since 2017, institutional interest grows

Y▲29

✓ 212h

North Korea’s Lazarus Group launders $290M in crypto via Ethereum, Bitcoin

Y▲31

12h

UAE becomes sixth-largest sovereign Bitcoin holder with $900M investment

N↑

1h

IRGC gunboat attacks container ship off Oman amid ceasefire extension

Y↑

✓ 21h

UN chief sees Iran–US ceasefire extension as diplomatic opportunity

N↑

2h

Iran ready to negotiate if US lifts naval blockade, market odds drop

Y↑

✓ 32h

Iran open to talks if US lifts blockade, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

N↑

3h

Iran rejects ceasefire extension, US blames Mojtaba Khamenei

Y↑

✓ 83h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, naval blockade remains

N↑

✓ 24h

Iran ready to strike as US ceasefire odds fall

N↑

4h

Iran rejects US talks, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

Y↑

4h

Trump cites Iran’s cash crunch amid delayed military salaries

Y↑

5h

US-Iran compromise deal seen as inevitable despite market skepticism

N↑

✓ 25h

Iran calls US blockade an ‘act of war’ as ceasefire chances dwindle

N↑

6h

CIA operatives killed in Mexico amid Iran ceasefire doubts

N↑

7h

Rumors of coup attempt in Iran highlight factional divides in Tehran

Y↑

✓ 37h

Oil prices dip amid potential US-Iran ceasefire extension

Y↑

8h

White House claims victory in Operation Epic Fury, market skeptical of April 30 end

N▲1

✓ 38h

Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates US-Iran tensions, disrupts energy supply

N▲1

8h

Pakistan’s diplomatic push impacts US-Iran ceasefire odds as deadline nears

N▲4

9h

Military planners meet in London to discuss reopening Strait of Hormuz

N▲7

11h

Iran cancels talks in Pakistan, escalating US tensions

N▲7

✓ 511h

Pakistan thanks Trump for US-Iran ceasefire extension amid market caution

Y↑

✓ 2112h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire, cites fractured Iranian government

Y↑

12h

US-Iran ceasefire odds slip as military operations continue

N▲10

✓ 212h

Iran receives US signals to end blockade, but key talks remain stalled

N▲10

✓ 212h

Iran open to talks but demands hinder ceasefire prospects by April 30

N↑

2h

Trump urges Fed nominee Warsh to cut rates despite low market confidence

Y↑

8h

Kevin Warsh calls for regime change at Fed, eyes rate cuts

N↑

✓ 28h

Warsh’s Senate testimony boosts US 10Y yields, dims Fed rate cut hopes

Y↑

✓ 34h

Trump claims Iran is financially collapsing, markets remain skeptical

Y↑

5h

Iran faces oil shut-ins in 15 days amid sanctions, war damage

Y↑

9h

Iran shifts to military-security governance amid rising instability risks

Y↑

12h

IRGC sidelines Iran’s president, takes control of state functions

Y↑

✓ 212h

Democracy Forward’s FOIA request heightens scrutiny on Kash Patel

N↑

12h

Spot gold drops 3% amid Iran conflict and US dollar strength