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✓ 42h James Comey indicted, faces arrest warrant for allegedly threatening Trump
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 42h James Comey indicted, faces arrest warrant for allegedly threatening Trump
▲ James comey arrest predictions
99% (was 78%, ▲21¢ in 2h)
YES ▲21¢
James comey arrest predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
99%
▲21¢
✓ 42h 4h Ty Cobb calls Comey indictment ‘vindictive,’ predicts dismissal
NO ▲6¢
WTI crude oil price april 2026
1 article
· 6h ago
44%
▼6¢
✓ 26h Trump plans extended Hormuz blockade, WTI crude oil hits $160 in April
NO ▲5¢
Bitcoin price predictions by 2026
2 articles
· 4h ago
3%
▼5¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 11% FLAT
✓ 24h Bitcoin steady above $77K despite ETF outflows, Powell’s FOMC meeting looming
4h Paul Tudor Jones calls Bitcoin best inflation hedge amid Middle East tensions
YES ▲3¢
Military action against Iran
1 article
· 6h ago
6%
▲3¢
⚡ Trump's visits to pakistan 8% FLAT
✓ 36h Pakistan PM Sharif mediates US-Iran peace amid Trump visit speculation
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼2¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% FLAT
1h Canada’s proposed crypto ATM ban impacts Bitcoin $80K April market
4h Bitcoin conviction buyers grow 69% in Q1 2026, but $80K target fades
YES ▲2¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
· 5h ago
24%
▲2¢
⚡ Iran uranium stockpile surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 35h Iran issues military warning over US vessel seizures amid uranium tensions
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼1¢
14m Ukraine inks defense deals with Germany, Norway, Netherlands amid conflict
3h Russia scales back Victory Day parade citing Ukraine threat, ceasefire hopes dim
YES ▲1¢
Iran uranium stockpile surrender
1 article
Developing
24%
▲1¢
✓ 31h Netanyahu to discuss Iran proposal with Trump after rejection
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price predictions for may 2026
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
1h DeFi raises $300M for Kelp’s rsETH holders after exploit, no ETH price impact
NO ▲1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 2% FLAT
3h Yemen backs Iran, warns US against military actions in escalating conflict
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
3 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
5m Fed meeting sees highest dissent since 1992, no rate cut expected
✓ 58m Fed holds rates at 3.50-3.7% amid Middle East uncertainty
✓ 29m Fed holds rates steady at Powell’s final meeting as chairman
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
17m Putin backs Iran, complicates US ceasefire hopes amid low market odds
✓ 31h Iran demands US concessions, narrowing path to diplomatic talks
5h Iranian embassies recruit for “sacrifice of life” campaign amid US tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil prices by end of june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 1% FLAT
18m Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz to US, excludes nuclear terms
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions
2 articles
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
32m Israeli president mediates in Netanyahu trial, potential political exit deal
1h Hezbollah drone deployment in Lebanon complicates Israel’s security strategy
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's blockade of hormuz announcement 44% FLAT
47m Chinese naval fleet heads to Strait of Hormuz amid US blockade tensions
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
50m Iran’s economic crisis deepens as state media issues blunt warnings
2h Iran’s rial hits record low as US naval blockade tightens economic grip
Likely NO
Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed chair confirmation 96% FLAT
⚡ Jerome powell out as Fed chair 5% FLAT
✓ 31h Senate Banking advances Warsh nomination as DOJ drops Powell probe
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
3 articles
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 29 0% FLAT
1h Bitcoin falls below $76,000 amid geopolitical tensions, technical pressures
2h Fed rate decision, Powell speech coincide with Middle East tensions
5h Tech giants report earnings today; Fed rate decision at 2 PM ET
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
2 articles
Developing
99.7%
▼0¢
1h Microsoft stock suffers worst quarterly decline since 2008 crisis
2h Tesla Q1 earnings beat expectations, Nvidia likely to remain top by market cap
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
1h US warns NATO on Iran support, ceasefire prospects dim
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's blockade of hormuz announcement 44% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 10% FLAT
✓ 21h Trump rejects Iran’s offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz, tensions remain high
Likely NO
Solana price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Solana RWA ecosystem hits $2.5B ATH with nearly 200,000 holders
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h US-Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, crude oil prices soar 30%
Likely NO
Israel withdrawal from lebanon
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Israeli strikes kill 2,534 in Lebanon amid military escalation
2h IDF drone strike kills Hezbollah member in southern Lebanon amid rising tensions
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
2 articles
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
✓ 22h US spends $25B on Iran conflict, ceasefire unlikely by April 30
3h IAEA in talks with Russia on Iran’s enriched uranium transfer
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Jerome powell out as Fed chair 5% FLAT
2h Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination signals likely Powell exit by June 30
Likely NO
Fed decision april and june
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
4h Treasury yields hit highest since 2026 amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
4h Democrats consider lawsuit against Trump over Iran conflict
Likely NO
US x Iran ceasefire extensions
2 articles
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 94h White House considers extending Iran blockade, impacting ceasefire odds
✓ 34h Trump urges Iran deal amid potential US blockade extension
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed chair confirmation 92% FLAT
✓ 24h Powell may stay at Fed past chair term, impacting Warsh confirmation timeline
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 4h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 24h Netanyahu not invited to Washington amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 25h Iran, Hezbollah regroup during Israel ceasefire, warns Israeli spokesperson
Likely NO
Gold price by end of june
1 article
· 5h ago
5%
▼0¢
5h Investor bets against gold as Fed meeting approaches
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 25h Binance Gold Futures hit $100B volume, traders eye $8,000 gold target