Last week, BTC, ETH, and XRP spot ETFs experienced net inflows, while SOL spot ETFs saw a net outflow. Bitcoin’s odds of reaching $100,000 by the end of 2026 sit at 35.5% YES.

The net inflows point to institutional buying across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, while Solana moved in the opposite direction. The $100,000 Bitcoin market trades at 35.5%, even after falling 3 points earlier today. The $150,000 target sits at 9.5% YES, up from 8% a week ago.

Trading volumes show real activity: $6,019 in actual USDC across both markets, with $4,757 needed to shift the $100,000 market by 5 points. This is moderate liquidity, where institutional-sized trades could move prices but not dramatically swing them. The largest move was a 3-point dip this morning, likely a reaction to broader market conditions rather than a change in fundamentals.

The ETF inflows are bullish for price targets because they represent new institutional capital entering Bitcoin. A YES share at 36¢ pays $1 if Bitcoin hits $100,000, a 2.78x return. That bet requires conviction in continued institutional inflows or a favorable macro environment.

Watch for announcements from BlackRock, Grayscale, or SEC regulatory shifts on crypto ETFs. Any of these could move the odds significantly.

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