Bitcoin leads $1.1B inflows amid US-Iran ceasefire boost

Digital asset investment products saw inflows of $1.1 billion last week, with Bitcoin capturing $871 million. Bitcoin’s price above $60,000 by April 12 is at 100% YES.

The inflows came during a temporary U.S.-Iran ceasefire, which eased inflation fears and boosted risk appetite. The Bitcoin above $60,000 on April 12 market now sits at 100% YES. The Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by December 31, 2026 market is at 35.5% YES, up but still constrained by long-term geopolitical uncertainty.

Volume for the $100,000 price target was $6,019 in USDC traded over the past 24 hours, with a 3-point drop at 4:02 AM. The $150,000 target is far less active at 9.5% YES, up from 8% a week ago but with only $48 in daily USDC volume, a sign of thin conviction.

The ceasefire has shifted short-term dynamics, but core U.S.-Iran disputes remain unresolved. Traders buying YES on Bitcoin reaching $100,000 by year’s end at 35.5% are betting on sustained peace and positive regulatory developments. A YES share at 36¢ pays $1 if resolved, a 2.78x return. That bet requires continued institutional inflows and geopolitical stability.

Watch U.S.-Iran relations and institutional activity. Renewed tensions or large ETF flows could move these markets quickly. BlackRock and MicroStrategy announcements or SEC regulatory moves are the specific catalysts to track.

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