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56m DeepMind CEO highlights China’s AI advancements challenging Google’s dominance
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
56m DeepMind CEO highlights China’s AI advancements challenging Google’s dominance
▲ Best AI model by may
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 56m)
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by end of april
5 articles
Developing
77%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
16m Nvidia stock hits all-time high as AI momentum boosts market cap prospects
✓ 22h Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta plan $710B AI investment by 2026
✓ 219h Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
14%
▼1¢
43m Iranian leaders push to dismiss foreign minister amid internal power struggle
YES ▲1¢
Iran military action
1 article
Developing
9%
▲1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
1h US-Israel airstrikes hit Iran industries, spark economic turmoil
YES ▲1¢
Fed decision april and june
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
2h Fed holds rates steady amid global risks, economic growth concerns
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
2h Ray Dalio warns US stagflation risk amid Iran conflict impacts inflation
YES ▲1¢
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 18h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
18h Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 18h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
18h US Army eyes control of Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
YES ▲1¢
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 18h ago
9%
▲1¢
✓ 318h Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
YES ▲1¢
MegaETH market cap predictions
1 article
· 18h ago
100%
▲1¢
TW✓ 1618h Upbit lists MEGA token with KRW, BTC, USDT trading pairs in South Korea
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 18h ago
20%
▼1¢
✓ 218h Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 99% FLAT
1h Bitcoin ETFs see $819.7M inflows amid US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO market cap
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
1h Blue Owl sells half its SpaceX stake at $1.2T valuation amid IPO buzz
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
2h Google and Microsoft report strong Q1 AI-driven earnings growth
Likely NO
XRP price in april
2 articles
· 18h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
18h Ripple partners with Kbank to boost XRP institutional demand in South Korea
✓ 219h Ripple partners with Kbank to deploy institutional-grade digital asset wallets
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 18h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
18h CENTCOM plans targeted strikes on Iran amid military escalation talks
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
2 articles
· 19h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
19h Bond market sees higher odds of Fed rate hike by year-end amid inflation concerns
19h BlackRock’s Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
· 19h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
19h Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
3 articles
Developing
100%
1m Geopolitical tensions, SPR releases fail to sway oil $90 prediction by June
33m Venezuelan oil boost lowers odds of $160 WTI crude by April 2026
1h UAE’s OPEC exit adds 1M barrels capacity, may lower oil prices
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
3m Legal experts question validity of Comey indictment over Instagram post
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
77%
▼0¢
4m Apple Services hits $120B run rate, impacts Nvidia market cap odds
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 2
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin above on april 30 100% FLAT
6m US stocks rally on strong earnings despite US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Starmer out timing
1 article
Developing
42%
▼0¢
10m Reform UK eyes gains as Starmer faces pressure ahead of May 2026 elections
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 34% FLAT
12m US warns of sanctions on Iranian airlines amid rising geopolitical tensions
✓ 1520h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 42% FLAT
18m Rubio rejects Iranian proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, tensions persist
1h Trump emphasizes Rubio’s role in ongoing US-Iran negotiations
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
20m Strait of Hormuz blockade strands 20,000 seafarers amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 417h Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price on april 30 0% FLAT
✓ 335m Crypto hacks in April hit record high, impact Ethereum price sentiment
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 2% FLAT
✓ 252m Trump backs Warsh as Fed Chair, Senate panel advances nomination
✓ 819h DOJ ends Powell probe, reducing urgency for Warsh confirmation
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
59m Trump claims Iran’s military severely weakened amid ongoing US-Israel campaign
18h CENTCOM to brief Trump on unprecedented military options against Iran
✓ 218h Iran stockpiling missiles to counter US attacks, says Senator Kennedy
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
1h Leaked intel contradicts Trump’s claim of obliterating Iran’s nuclear program
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Collins breaks with GOP on Iran war powers, signals potential party fracture
Likely NO
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Brazil Congress overrides Lula veto, boosting Bolsonaro allies ahead of 2026 election
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 40% FLAT
1h Mojtaba Khamenei leads Iranian negotiations amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Russia launches 170 drones in Ukraine, Odesa hit, ceasefire unlikely
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 20h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 420h Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
20h Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter