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2h DeepMind CEO highlights China’s AI advancements challenging Google’s dominance
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2h DeepMind CEO highlights China’s AI advancements challenging Google’s dominance
▲ Best AI model by may
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 2h)
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
34%
▼1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 34% FLAT
43m Iran accuses US of maritime piracy, impacting ceasefire talks
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by end of april
2 articles
Developing
79%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 68% FLAT
1h Nvidia stock hits all-time high as AI momentum boosts market cap prospects
✓ 23h Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta plan $710B AI investment by 2026
NO ▲1¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 2h ago
14%
▼1¢
2h Iranian leaders push to dismiss foreign minister amid internal power struggle
YES ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 2h ago
76%
▲1¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 2% FLAT
✓ 22h Trump backs Warsh as Fed Chair, Senate panel advances nomination
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 3h ago
99%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 99% FLAT
3h Bitcoin ETFs see $819.7M inflows amid US-Iran ceasefire
YES ▲1¢
Fed decision april and june
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
3h Fed holds rates steady amid global risks, economic growth concerns
YES ▲1¢
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 19h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
19h Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
YES ▲1¢
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 20h ago
9%
▲1¢
✓ 320h Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
22m Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts energy, pharma supplies amid US-Iran conflict
19h US Army eyes control of Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Iran military action
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
23m Israel deploys advanced defense systems to UAE amid Iran tensions
50m IDF struggles with Hezbollah drone threat, impacting Lebanon withdrawal plans
2h US-Israel airstrikes hit Iran industries, spark economic turmoil
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 4% FLAT
27m US economy grows 2% as layoffs hit 55-year low amid inflation concerns
3h Ray Dalio warns US stagflation risk amid Iran conflict impacts inflation
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap predictions
3 articles
Developing
79%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
29m Apple iPhone revenue jumps 22% to $57B amid chip shortages
39m Nvidia may surpass Apple as largest company by market cap, odds suggest
1h Apple Services hits $120B run rate, impacts Nvidia market cap odds
Likely NO
Nobel peace prize winner 2026
1 article
Developing
19%
▼0¢
32m Trump nominated for 2026 Nobel Peace Prize with support from Cambodia, Israel, Pakistan
Likely NO
Largest company by december 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
45m Alphabet market cap surges $0.4T after strong earnings, challenges Microsoft
Likely NO
DHS shutdown end dates
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 258m Trump ends 76-day government shutdown with DHS funding bill
Likely NO
Bitcoin above on april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 5% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 1 100% FLAT
1h US Secretary of War endorses Bitcoin as strategic power tool amid China rivalry
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
1h Trump criticizes NYT, CNN for ‘seditious’ Iran war coverage amid stalled talks
Likely NO
Jimmy kimmel fired/resigns
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h FCC clarifies Disney TV license review focuses on DEI, not Kimmel remarks
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entry into Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Iran leadership change 41% FLAT
1h Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, impacting global energy supplies
3h Mojtaba Khamenei leads Iranian negotiations amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
1h US seeks hypersonic missile deployment amid Iran tensions: Bloomberg
2h Trump claims Iran’s military severely weakened amid ongoing US-Israel campaign
19h CENTCOM to brief Trump on unprecedented military options against Iran
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Geopolitical tensions, SPR releases fail to sway oil $90 prediction by June
1h Venezuelan oil boost lowers odds of $160 WTI crude by April 2026
2h UAE’s OPEC exit adds 1M barrels capacity, may lower oil prices
Likely NO
James comey sentenced to prison in 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Legal experts question validity of Comey indictment over Instagram post
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 2
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin above on april 30 100% FLAT
1h US stocks rally on strong earnings despite US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Starmer out timing
1 article
Developing
42%
▼0¢
1h Reform UK eyes gains as Starmer faces pressure ahead of May 2026 elections
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 34% FLAT
1h US warns of sanctions on Iranian airlines amid rising geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 42% FLAT
1h Rubio rejects Iranian proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, tensions persist
2h Trump emphasizes Rubio’s role in ongoing US-Iran negotiations
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
41%
▼0¢
1h Strait of Hormuz blockade strands 20,000 seafarers amid US-Iran tensions
✓ 419h Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price on april 30 0% FLAT
✓ 31h Crypto hacks in April hit record high, impact Ethereum price sentiment
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
· 2h ago
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium surrender 0% FLAT
2h Leaked intel contradicts Trump’s claim of obliterating Iran’s nuclear program
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Collins breaks with GOP on Iran war powers, signals potential party fracture
Likely NO
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Brazil Congress overrides Lula veto, boosting Bolsonaro allies ahead of 2026 election
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
8%
▼0¢
3h Russia launches 170 drones in Ukraine, Odesa hit, ceasefire unlikely
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO market cap
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
3h Blue Owl sells half its SpaceX stake at $1.2T valuation amid IPO buzz
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
3h Google and Microsoft report strong Q1 AI-driven earnings growth
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
· 19h ago
100%
▼0¢
19h Ripple partners with Kbank to boost XRP institutional demand in South Korea