Prediction Markets

Y▲5

✓ 29h

US blocks Iraq dollar shipments to pressure Iran-backed militias

Y↑

12h

Iran Revolutionary Guards warn of ‘silent battlefield’ amid ceasefire doubts

Y▲5

14h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifts focus to diplomacy

N▲3

1h

$350M in crypto shorts liquidated as Bitcoin rally gains momentum

N▲6

2h

Bitcoin hits $75K as institutional demand, spot ETFs drive rally

N▲5

2h

Iran strike disrupts helium supply, impacts tech sector stability

N▲4

✓ 53h

Bitcoin surpasses $79k amid US-Iran-Israel tensions

Y▲7

5h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, Bitcoin target $80K odds rise

Y▲11

7h

Bitcoin hits $78K after US-Iran ceasefire extension

Y▲12

8h

Crypto market hit by $415M liquidation wave amid US-Iran tensions

Y▲12

8h

Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination boosts Bitcoin sentiment amid crypto holdings disclosure

Y▲12

✓ 39h

Russia’s State Duma passes crypto bill, Bitcoin demand may rise

Y▲8

12h

BlackRock buys $900M in Bitcoin, boosting April 2026 $80K odds

Y▲17

✓ 213h

Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $11.8M amid geopolitical stabilization

Y↑

17m

Trump halts execution of eight Iranian women protesters, four released

Y▲4

✓ 449m

Iran negotiator links ceasefire to lifting maritime blockade

Y▲3

1h

US-Iran peace talks may resume Friday amid tense ceasefire

Y▲1

✓ 21h

Iran military on high alert as US ceasefire deadline approaches

Y▲3

✓ 42h

Iran calls US blockade an act of war, impacting ceasefire odds

Y▲3

✓ 32h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire, market skeptical of formal end by April 30

Y▲3

✓ 53h

Iran rejects US talks Friday, ceasefire odds fall

Y▲6

✓ 64h

Trump sets April 30 deadline for Iran to propose negotiation plan

Y▲7

✓ 24h

US and Iran near nuclear framework, ceasefire odds remain low

Y▲7

5h

Iran drone attacks close Strait of Hormuz, doubling Dutch TTF gas prices

Y▲6

5h

Iran calls US naval blockade an “act of war,” demands forceful response

Y↑

6h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifting focus to diplomacy

Y▲6

6h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire as Tehran showcases missiles in parade

N↑

7h

Trump claims Iran “collapsing financially” amid US naval blockade

Y▲6

7h

Iran maps Persian Gulf undersea cables, raising cyber threat concerns

Y▲6

8h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, but formal peace deal remains unlikely

N↑

8h

Iranian President’s praise for Revolutionary Guard dims ceasefire hopes by April 30

Y▲5

✓ 109h

IRGC gunboat attacks container ship off Oman amid ceasefire extension

Y↑

✓ 610h

UN chief sees Iran–US ceasefire extension as diplomatic opportunity

N↑

11h

Iran ready to negotiate if US lifts naval blockade, market odds drop

Y▲5

✓ 411h

Iran open to talks if US lifts blockade, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

N↑

✓ 212h

Iran rejects ceasefire extension, US blames Mojtaba Khamenei

Y▲5

✓ 1412h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, naval blockade remains

Y▲5

✓ 213h

Iran ready to strike as US ceasefire odds fall

Y▲5

✓ 213h

Iran rejects US talks, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

Y▲5

13h

Trump cites Iran’s cash crunch amid delayed military salaries

Y▲5

14h

US-Iran compromise deal seen as inevitable despite market skepticism

N↑

44m

Iran commutes death sentences for eight women protesters amid tensions

N↑

3h

Iran threatens power plant retaliation if US strikes escalate

N↑

✓ 26h

US-Iran talks collapse over uranium, ceasefire deal by April 30 unlikely

N↑

✓ 97h

Iran seizes two vessels, maintains control in Persian Gulf

Y↑

8h

Iran war disrupts global oil supply, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts markets

Y↑

✓ 313h

Trump claims Iran is financially collapsing, markets remain skeptical

Y↑

1h

US margin debt drops $32B in March, remains 39% higher year-over-year

Y▲9

5h

Iran tensions, stock bubble fears drive US recession odds by 2026

N↑

11h

Trump urges Fed nominee Warsh to cut rates despite low market confidence