Prediction Markets

Y▲4

✓ 210h

US blocks Iraq dollar shipments to pressure Iran-backed militias

Y↑

13h

Iran Revolutionary Guards warn of ‘silent battlefield’ amid ceasefire doubts

Y▲1

✓ 255m

UK crackdown on illegal crypto trading sites in London

Y↑

2h

$350M in crypto shorts liquidated as Bitcoin rally gains momentum

N▲3

3h

Bitcoin hits $75K as institutional demand, spot ETFs drive rally

N▲2

3h

Iran strike disrupts helium supply, impacts tech sector stability

N▲1

✓ 54h

Bitcoin surpasses $79k amid US-Iran-Israel tensions

Y▲10

7h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, Bitcoin target $80K odds rise

Y▲14

8h

Bitcoin hits $78K after US-Iran ceasefire extension

Y▲15

9h

Crypto market hit by $415M liquidation wave amid US-Iran tensions

Y▲15

9h

Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination boosts Bitcoin sentiment amid crypto holdings disclosure

Y▲15

✓ 311h

Russia’s State Duma passes crypto bill, Bitcoin demand may rise

Y▲11

13h

BlackRock buys $900M in Bitcoin, boosting April 2026 $80K odds

Y▲20

✓ 214h

Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $11.8M amid geopolitical stabilization

N↑

8m

US Navy blockade of Strait of Hormuz spikes Brent crude to $101.9

N↑

✓ 21h

Iran accuses US of hypocrisy over Strait of Hormuz blockade

N▲1

✓ 21h

Trump halts execution of eight Iranian women protesters, four released

Y▲3

✓ 52h

Iran negotiator links ceasefire to lifting maritime blockade

Y▲2

3h

US-Iran peace talks may resume Friday amid tense ceasefire

Y▲1

✓ 43h

Iran military on high alert as US ceasefire deadline approaches

Y▲2

✓ 53h

Iran calls US blockade an act of war, impacting ceasefire odds

Y▲2

✓ 34h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire, market skeptical of formal end by April 30

Y▲2

✓ 54h

Iran rejects US talks Friday, ceasefire odds fall

Y▲5

✓ 75h

Trump sets April 30 deadline for Iran to propose negotiation plan

Y▲6

✓ 25h

US and Iran near nuclear framework, ceasefire odds remain low

Y▲6

6h

Iran drone attacks close Strait of Hormuz, doubling Dutch TTF gas prices

Y▲5

7h

Iran calls US naval blockade an “act of war,” demands forceful response

Y↑

7h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifting focus to diplomacy

Y▲5

8h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire as Tehran showcases missiles in parade

N↑

8h

Trump claims Iran “collapsing financially” amid US naval blockade

Y▲5

8h

Iran maps Persian Gulf undersea cables, raising cyber threat concerns

Y▲5

9h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, but formal peace deal remains unlikely

N↑

10h

Iranian President’s praise for Revolutionary Guard dims ceasefire hopes by April 30

Y▲4

✓ 1011h

IRGC gunboat attacks container ship off Oman amid ceasefire extension

Y↑

✓ 611h

UN chief sees Iran–US ceasefire extension as diplomatic opportunity

N↑

12h

Iran ready to negotiate if US lifts naval blockade, market odds drop

Y▲4

✓ 412h

Iran open to talks if US lifts blockade, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

N↑

✓ 213h

Iran rejects ceasefire extension, US blames Mojtaba Khamenei

Y▲4

✓ 1413h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, naval blockade remains

Y▲4

✓ 214h

Iran ready to strike as US ceasefire odds fall

Y▲4

✓ 214h

Iran rejects US talks, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

Y↑

43m

US State Department orders Americans to leave Iran amid rising tensions

N↑

2h

Iran commutes death sentences for eight women protesters amid tensions

N↑

4h

Iran threatens power plant retaliation if US strikes escalate

N↑

✓ 27h

US-Iran talks collapse over uranium, ceasefire deal by April 30 unlikely

N↑

✓ 98h

Iran seizes two vessels, maintains control in Persian Gulf

Y↑

10h

Iran war disrupts global oil supply, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts markets

Y↑

3h

US margin debt drops $32B in March, remains 39% higher year-over-year

Y▲12

7h

Iran tensions, stock bubble fears drive US recession odds by 2026

N↑

12h

Trump urges Fed nominee Warsh to cut rates despite low market confidence