Prediction Markets

N▲1

✓ 226m

US halts $500M Iraq oil shipment to curb Iran-linked militias

N▲1

33m

Pakistan boosts Islamabad security amid possible US-Iran talks

N▲1

41m

US Embassy urges Americans to leave Lebanon as ceasefire collapses

Y↑

✓ 21h

UN backs US-Iran ceasefire extension, market odds drop sharply

N▲3

✓ 23h

Trump expects Iran’s Araghchi to stay in talks amid ceasefire uncertainty

N▲2

3h

US Navy blockade of Strait of Hormuz spikes Brent crude to $101.9

N↑

✓ 34h

Iran accuses US of hypocrisy over Strait of Hormuz blockade

N▲3

✓ 55h

Trump halts execution of eight Iranian women protesters, four released

Y▲1

✓ 55h

Iran negotiator links ceasefire to lifting maritime blockade

Y↑

6h

US-Iran peace talks may resume Friday amid tense ceasefire

Y▲1

✓ 66h

Iran military on high alert as US ceasefire deadline approaches

N↑

✓ 57h

Iran calls US blockade an act of war, impacting ceasefire odds

Y↑

✓ 67h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire, market skeptical of formal end by April 30

N↑

✓ 57h

Iran rejects US talks Friday, ceasefire odds fall

Y▲3

✓ 78h

Trump sets April 30 deadline for Iran to propose negotiation plan

Y▲4

✓ 29h

US and Iran near nuclear framework, ceasefire odds remain low

Y▲4

9h

Iran drone attacks close Strait of Hormuz, doubling Dutch TTF gas prices

Y▲3

10h

Iran calls US naval blockade an “act of war,” demands forceful response

Y↑

11h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifting focus to diplomacy

Y▲3

11h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire as Tehran showcases missiles in parade

N↑

12h

Trump claims Iran “collapsing financially” amid US naval blockade

Y▲3

12h

Iran maps Persian Gulf undersea cables, raising cyber threat concerns

Y▲3

13h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, but formal peace deal remains unlikely

N↑

13h

Iranian President’s praise for Revolutionary Guard dims ceasefire hopes by April 30

Y↑

12m

Iran ceasefire boosts Bitcoin speculation, $80K contract surges

Y↑

1h

Bitcoin $80K April 2026 odds jump as tokenization gains momentum

Y↑

3h

BlackRock buys $900M in Bitcoin via iShares Bitcoin Trust

N↑

✓ 34h

UK crackdown on illegal crypto trading sites in London

Y↑

5h

$350M in crypto shorts liquidated as Bitcoin rally gains momentum

Y↑

6h

Bitcoin hits $75K as institutional demand, spot ETFs drive rally

N↑

7h

Iran strike disrupts helium supply, impacts tech sector stability

Y↑

✓ 68h

Bitcoin surpasses $79k amid US-Iran-Israel tensions

Y↑

10h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, Bitcoin target $80K odds rise

Y↑

11h

Bitcoin hits $78K after US-Iran ceasefire extension

N↑

13h

Crypto market hit by $415M liquidation wave amid US-Iran tensions

Y↑

13h

Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination boosts Bitcoin sentiment amid crypto holdings disclosure

Y↑

27m

Iranian group threatens Trump family amid domestic unrest

Y↑

1h

White House warns of worsening situation for Iranian regime amid failed talks

Y↑

✓ 22h

White House asserts US leverage over Iran amid naval blockade

Y↑

4h

US State Department orders Americans to leave Iran amid rising tensions

N↑

5h

Iran commutes death sentences for eight women protesters amid tensions

N↑

8h

Iran threatens power plant retaliation if US strikes escalate

N↑

✓ 211h

US-Iran talks collapse over uranium, ceasefire deal by April 30 unlikely

N↑

✓ 912h

Iran seizes two vessels, maintains control in Persian Gulf

Y↑

13h

Iran war disrupts global oil supply, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts markets

N↑

46m

Fed rate cuts delayed to late 2026 amid Iran conflict inflation risks

Y↑

✓ 31h

US military intercepts Iranian oil tankers, escalating Strait of Hormuz crisis

Y▲2

✓ 214h

US blocks Iraq dollar shipments to pressure Iran-backed militias

Y↑

6h

US margin debt drops $32B in March, remains 39% higher year-over-year

Y↑

10h

Iran tensions, stock bubble fears drive US recession odds by 2026