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Prediction Markets

News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.

MarketWatch1h

Iran ceasefire boosts Bitcoin speculation, $80K contract surges

▼ Bitcoin price targets
67% (was 75%, ▼8¢ in 1h)
⚡ Iranian regime fall: 1% FLAT
Likely YES US-Iran ceasefire 25 articles Developing
18%
Y↑
CNBC1m
Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely amid regional tensions
N↑
Axios35m
Trump ultimatum threatens Iran ceasefire as deadline looms
N▲1
Al Jazeera (Main)IranIntl_En✓ 21h
US halts $500M Iraq oil shipment to curb Iran-linked militias
Likely NO Fed rate decisions 1 article · 2h ago
0% ▼0¢
N↑
Reuters2h
Fed rate cuts delayed to late 2026 amid Iran conflict inflation risks
Likely NO US forces enter Iran 1 article · 3h ago
17% ▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 16% FLAT
Y↑
FinancialjuiceWalter BloombergZerohedgeNew York Post✓ 43h
US military intercepts Iranian oil tankers, escalating Strait of Hormuz crisis