Earn with Nexo
✓ 314h Hezbollah escalates conflict with three attacks on Israeli forces
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 314h Hezbollah escalates conflict with three attacks on Israeli forces
▼ Israel strikes in 2026
49% (was 61%, ▼12¢ in 14h)
⚡ Israel ceasefire extension: 4% FLAT
NO ▲12¢
Israel strikes in 2026
1 article
· 14h ago
49%
▼12¢
⚡ Israel ceasefire extension 4% FLAT
✓ 314h 
NO ▲11¢
Next UK prime minister in 2026
1 article
· 1d ago
5%
▼11¢
⚡ Starmer out timing 48% FLAT
✓ 61d Wes Streeting eyes Labour leadership as Starmer faces potential ouster by 2026
NO ▲4¢
SpaceX public ticker predictions
1 article
· 9h ago
58%
▼4¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO predictions 70% FLAT
9h SpaceX IPO anticipation grows with June 2026 target amid market interest
YES ▲4¢
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 14h ago
7%
▲4¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 14 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 914h Solana drops 5%, Bitcoin below $80K amid US-China tensions over Taiwan
NO ▲4¢
Israel airspace closure
1 article
· 1d ago
27%
▼4¢
1d Lufthansa to resume Israel flights in June, easing airspace closure concerns
NO ▲3¢
S&P 500 predictions for week of may 4, 2026
1 article
· 1d ago
9%
▼3¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 12% FLAT
✓ 51d US alleges secret Chinese arms sales to Iran amid regional tensions
NO ▲2¢
Israel ceasefire extension
1 article
· 5h ago
49%
▼2¢
5h Israel and Lebanon begin peace talks in Washington amid ceasefire uncertainty
NO ▲2¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 14h ago
9%
▼2¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 26% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 11% FLAT
✓ 214h Iran ‘frighteningly close’ to nuclear weapons, warns US energy secretary
YES ▲2¢
S&P 500 up or down on may 7
1 article
· 1d ago
8%
▲2¢
✓ 21d S&P 500 hits all-time high amid easing geopolitical tensions
NO ▲2¢
Cerebras IPO market cap predictions
2 articles
· 1d ago
2%
▼2¢
✓ 31d Cerebras Systems sets IPO price, targets $48.8B valuation amid high demand
✓ 21d Arm and SoftBank approach Cerebras for acquisition ahead of IPO
YES ▲2¢
NVIDIA price predictions for may 2026
2 articles
· 1d ago
97%
▲2¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 86% FLAT
✓ 41d Nvidia market cap surpasses $5.5T as stock hits record high
✓ 21d Nvidia market cap hits $5.4T despite zero China revenue amid US export controls
YES ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
· 3h ago
40%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump project freedom restart dates 3% FLAT
3h US Centcom redirects 70 vessels amid Hormuz blockade enforcement
✓ 71d CENTCOM enforces Hormuz blockade, impacting market expectations
NO ▲1¢
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 4h ago
37%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 38% FLAT
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 40% FLAT
✓ 44h Saudi Arabia, UAE conduct secret attacks in Iran, escalating regional tensions
✓ 210h Israel strikes Hezbollah in southern Lebanon amid ongoing conflict
23h Saudi Arabia launches airstrikes on Iran, escalating regional conflict
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
4 articles
· 4h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 0% FLAT
4h Iran maintains control over Strait of Hormuz, impacting shipping traffic
✓ 710h Ship seized off UAE coast, heading toward Iran amid regional tensions
23h Iran bypasses US blockade of Hormuz via Caspian Sea, rail to China
YES ▲1¢
Xi meets with Iranian officials by may 15
2 articles
· 9h ago
8%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 24% FLAT
9h Iran’s Hormuz closure threatens global trade, raises hunger crisis fears
✓ 109h Trump, Xi agree to keep Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Starmer out timing
1 article
· 12h ago
37%
▼1¢
✓ 712h Wes Streeting prepares to challenge Keir Starmer amid Labour Party turmoil
YES ▲1¢
Trump project freedom restart dates
1 article
· 16h ago
8%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 47% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 0% FLAT
✓ 216h Iran deploys submarines to Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil predictions for may 8, 2026
2 articles
· 17h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 2% FLAT
✓ 217h US embargo on Hormuz Strait impacts Cuba’s energy supply
22h Middle East conflict closes Strait of Hormuz, spikes crude oil prices
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
· 21h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 3% FLAT
21h Iran conflict impacts energy markets as Trump heads to China for talks
YES ▲1¢
Warships through strait of hormuz by may 31
1 article
· 23h ago
33%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 32% FLAT
23h UK deploys HMS Dragon to Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
YES ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 1d ago
25%
▲1¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 100% FLAT
✓ 391d Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Governor, likely next Fed Chair
YES ▲1¢
GameStop acquisition of ebay
1 article
· 1d ago
17%
▲1¢
✓ 21d GameStop’s $56B bid for eBay rejected, market doubts acquisition success
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by june
1 article
· 1d ago
57%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 56% FLAT
1d Iran confirms no nuclear talks with US amid diplomatic stalemate
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 1d ago
2%
▼1¢
1d Iran conflict closes Strait of Hormuz, cutting oil supply by 12.8M bpd
Likely NO
Clarity act signed into law in 2026
1 article
Developing
69%
▼0¢
9m Senate panel advances Clarity Act, boosting crypto regulation prospects
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 23h ago
17%
▼0¢
✓ 823h Netanyahu’s secret UAE visit amid Iran conflict signals stronger military ties
Likely YES
Trump's xi summit attendance
1 article
· 20h ago
8%
✓ 920h Melania Trump confirmed at Trump-Xi summit in China
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership status by end of 2026 3% FLAT
9m Pezeshkian emphasizes unity as Iran consolidates post-Khamenei transition
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
2 articles
Developing
49%
▼0¢
⚡ Israeli parliament dissolution 48% FLAT
⚡ Next Israeli prime minister 40% FLAT
10m Netanyahu coalition fast-tracks laws as Knesset dissolution looms
✓ 41d Knesset dissolution vote looms, threatening Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit may 2024
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 64% FLAT
✓ 22h 30 China-linked vessels transit Strait of Hormuz under Iranian supervision
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
2%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 2% FLAT
✓ 22h IMF warns Iran conflict threatens global growth, impacts oil supply
1d US-Israeli conflict with Iran disrupts oil markets, Turkey hikes inflation forecast
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 9h ago
28%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump project freedom restart dates 2% FLAT
9h Iran restores missile capabilities, raising US military escalation risks
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 12h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 14 0% FLAT
✓ 312h Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $635M amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Fed decision june and july
2 articles
· 1d ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 70% FLAT
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 2% FLAT
✓ 21d Fed’s Collins warns inflation to persist, no rate cuts expected through 2026
✓ 41d Fed likely to maintain restrictive policy amid inflation concerns, Collins says
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 1d ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 21d Wall Street inflation fears rise as CPI hits highest since 2022
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
1 article
· 1d ago
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 44% FLAT
1d Iran halts crude exports as US sanctions impact Strait of Hormuz traffic