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3h Iran ceasefire boosts Bitcoin speculation, $80K contract surges
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
3h Iran ceasefire boosts Bitcoin speculation, $80K contract surges
▼ Bitcoin price targets
66% (was 75%, ▼9¢ in 3h)
⚡ Iranian regime fall: 1% FLAT
YES ▲1¢
Iran military action by april 30
2 articles
Developing
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
⚡ Countries conducting military action against Iran 1% FLAT
35m Tehran explosions part of air defense drill, not attack, markets react
1h Ballistic missiles launched from Kuwait toward Iran amid 2026 conflict
NO ▲1¢
CEOs out before 2027
1 article
Developing
0%
▼1¢
✓ 459m US Navy chief’s sudden exit adds to Trump administration departures
YES ▲1¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location
1 article
Developing
15%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 14% FLAT
1h Iran missile strikes on UAE complicate US-Iran nuclear deal talks
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
5 articles
Developing
17%
▼1¢
1h Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely amid regional tensions
2h Trump ultimatum threatens Iran ceasefire as deadline looms
✓ 23h US halts $500M Iraq oil shipment to curb Iran-linked militias
Likely NO
Silver price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
9m Lotus Wiper malware hits Venezuela energy sector before US captures Maduro
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO in 2026
1 article
Developing
71%
▼0¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO timing 70% FLAT
⚡ SpaceX IPO deadlines 70% FLAT
14m SpaceX acquisition of Cursor draws regulatory scrutiny, impacts IPO timeline
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
✓ 225m US directs 31 vessels to turn back in Iran maritime blockade
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
✓ 227m BlackRock surpasses Strategy with $900M Bitcoin acquisition
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO lead bank predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
28m North Korean hackers target financial firms with macOS malware using AppleScript
Likely NO
Gulf state military action against Iran
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
29m Pentagon reviews Middle East military presence after Iran strikes
1h US deploys 50,000 troops to Middle East amid 2026 Iran conflict
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
33m US Navy redirects 31 ships amid Iran blockade, Strait traffic stalls
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
91%
▼0¢
34m SK Hynix HBM demand to outstrip capacity, impacting Nvidia supply chain
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
4 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
36m Japan manufacturing PMI rises to 54.9, impacting BOJ rate decision
45m New Zealand inflation may by 2025-26 if Iran war continues
47m India holds repo rate amid Iran-Israel-USA conflict uncertainty
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
37m Trump pushes for indefinite ceasefire with Iran amid Tehran’s resistance
1h Iran adviser dismisses Trump ceasefire extension, peace deal hopes plummet
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 16% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 1% FLAT
38m US extends ceasefire with Iran, no new peace talks scheduled
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
39m Israel kills Lebanese journalist as Tehran-US talks stall
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Meetings with Iran by april 30 4% FLAT
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 20% FLAT
43m Iran blames aggressors for Strait of Hormuz instability amid diplomatic tensions
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ US NATO withdrawal 0% FLAT
43m NATO vows to defend Turkey amid Russian aggression, US exit seen as unlikely
1h White House ‘naughty and nice’ list for NATO allies stirs transatlantic tension
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
44m DeSantis, Jeffries clash over Florida maps as Democrats eye 2026 House control
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
76%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 76% FLAT
48m Iran blames US for stalled Hormuz talks, reopening deemed “impossible”
51m Iran envoy suggests US may lift Hormuz blockade amid diplomatic signals
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
49m Shipping execs delay Strait of Hormuz operations amid security concerns
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
54m IDF: Hundreds of Hezbollah operatives killed before Israel-Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
Claude 4.7 release dates
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Claude release dates 100% FLAT
55m Anthropic launches Claude Design with Claude Opus 4.7, resolving market timelines
Likely NO
Gold price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
56m South Korea aligns fiscal, monetary policies amid gold market focus
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entering Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
57m Explosions hit Iranian cities amid US-Israeli campaign, regime stability in focus
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
58m Iran seizes vessels, oil prices surge; StanChart sets $95 as new equilibrium
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO timing
1 article
Developing
91%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 90% FLAT
✓ 21h Tesla’s $25B capex hike may impact SpaceX IPO plans by June 2026
Likely NO
Iran regime fall
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Military action against Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 21h Explosions reported in Tehran amid potential ceasefire breach
Likely NO
Epstein client list release
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
✓ 21h House oversight chair: Some open to Trump pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
76%
▼0¢
1h Brent crude tops $120 as Hormuz closure cuts supply, no path to $160 WTI
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 1% FLAT
1h Ukraine proposes Turkey for Zelensky-Putin talks amid diplomatic stalemate
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Trump extends Iran ceasefire, US stocks hit record highs
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Lebanese PM condemns journalist’s killing, complicates Israel-Hezbollah truce
1h French soldier killed in Lebanon attack attributed to Hezbollah
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Middle East conflict impacts European banks’ earnings as ECB rate cut unlikely
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
1h Trump claims Iran financially collapsing amid Hormuz standoff
3h Iranian group threatens Trump family amid domestic unrest