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40m Trump demands Iran proposal as uranium deadline nears
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
40m Trump demands Iran proposal as uranium deadline nears
▼ Trump Iran demands (april)
11% (was 12%, ▼1¢ in 40m)
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement: 11% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
Developing
11%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 11% FLAT
40m 
YES ▲1¢
SpaceX IPO in 2026
1 article
Developing
72%
▲1¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO timing 70% FLAT
⚡ SpaceX IPO deadlines 70% FLAT
✓ 21h SpaceX acquisition of Cursor draws regulatory scrutiny, impacts IPO timeline
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
Developing
16%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 16% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 1% FLAT
1h US extends ceasefire with Iran, no new peace talks scheduled
NO ▲1¢
CEOs out before 2027
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼1¢
✓ 42h US Navy chief’s sudden exit adds to Trump administration departures
NO ▲1¢
Iran regime fall
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Military action against Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 22h Explosions reported in Tehran amid potential ceasefire breach
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
4m IAF technicians accused of spying for Iran, Lebanon PM calls Israel actions war crimes
2h IDF: Hundreds of Hezbollah operatives killed before Israel-Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 25
1 article
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
11m Russia approves crypto use for foreign trade amidst sanctions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 6% FLAT
13m US intercepts Iranian tankers near India, Malaysia amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 21h US directs 31 vessels to turn back in Iran maritime blockade
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
3 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Another country military action against Iran 6% FLAT
14m Explosions in Tehran raise fears of renewed hostilities amid fragile ceasefire
1h Tehran explosions part of air defense drill, not attack, markets react
2h Ballistic missiles launched from Kuwait toward Iran amid 2026 conflict
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts in 2026
1 article
Developing
37%
▼0¢
14m Kinder Morgan profit beats estimates as natural gas demand rises
Likely NO
Military action against Iran ends
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts in hormuz 6% FLAT
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 6% FLAT
19m US deploys USS George H.W. Bush to Middle East amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
24m Aberdeen sees £2.9B outflows in Q1 amid US-Iran conflict volatility
33m Bitcoin $60K dip in April sees odds decline as traders price out drop
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
28m Circle launches USDC Nanopayments testnet for gas-free micro-transactions
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
35m Bennett’s Haredi enlistment critique pressures Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 3% FLAT
42m UK to deploy mine-sweepers in Strait of Hormuz for de-mining effort
2h Shipping execs delay Strait of Hormuz operations amid security concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
46m Schwab launches Bitcoin, Ethereum trading with 0.7% fee per trade
1h AAVE deposits fall to $29.6B after KelpDAO exploit, $16.2B outflows recorded
✓ 21h BlackRock surpasses Strategy with $900M Bitcoin acquisition
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran 6% FLAT
52m Over 100 Basij members poisoned in Tehran, one dead, others hospitalized
✓ 31h Israel kills Lebanese journalist as Tehran-US talks stall
Likely NO
Silver price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Lotus Wiper malware hits Venezuela energy sector before US captures Maduro
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO lead bank predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h North Korean hackers target financial firms with macOS malware using AppleScript
Likely YES
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
3 articles
Developing
76%
⚡ Trump visit China 1% FLAT
⚡ Trump visit to China 1% FLAT
just now Iran oil supply disruption pressures global markets, impacts China imports
39m Traders bet $430M on falling oil prices before Trump extends Iran ceasefire
1h Iran ceasefire fails to impact WTI Crude Oil market odds
Likely NO
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
✓ 31h Pentagon reviews Middle East military presence after Iran strikes
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h US Navy redirects 31 ships amid Iran blockade, Strait traffic stalls
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
91%
▼0¢
1h SK Hynix HBM demand to outstrip capacity, impacting Nvidia supply chain
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
4 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Japan manufacturing PMI rises to 54.9, impacting BOJ rate decision
1h New Zealand inflation may by 2025-26 if Iran war continues
1h India holds repo rate amid Iran-Israel-USA conflict uncertainty
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
1h Trump pushes for indefinite ceasefire with Iran amid Tehran’s resistance
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Meetings with Iran by april 30 4% FLAT
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 20% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran blames aggressors for Strait of Hormuz instability amid diplomatic tensions
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ US NATO withdrawal 0% FLAT
1h NATO vows to defend Turkey amid Russian aggression, US exit seen as unlikely
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h DeSantis, Jeffries clash over Florida maps as Democrats eye 2026 House control
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
· 2h ago
76%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 76% FLAT
2h Iran blames US for stalled Hormuz talks, reopening deemed “impossible”
2h Iran envoy suggests US may lift Hormuz blockade amid diplomatic signals
Likely NO
Claude 4.7 release dates
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Claude release dates 100% FLAT
2h Anthropic launches Claude Design with Claude Opus 4.7, resolving market timelines
Likely NO
Gold price predictions by end of june
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h South Korea aligns fiscal, monetary policies amid gold market focus
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entering Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
2h Explosions hit Iranian cities amid US-Israeli campaign, regime stability in focus
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
2h Iran seizes vessels, oil prices surge; StanChart sets $95 as new equilibrium
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO timing
1 article
· 2h ago
91%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 90% FLAT
✓ 22h Tesla’s $25B capex hike may impact SpaceX IPO plans by June 2026
Likely NO
Epstein client list release
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 22h House oversight chair: Some open to Trump pardoning Ghislaine Maxwell