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52m Apple names John Ternus CEO, Tim Cook becomes executive chairman
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
52m Apple names John Ternus CEO, Tim Cook becomes executive chairman
▲ Next CEO of apple
100% (was 99%, ▲1¢ in 52m)
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
Developing
99.5%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap on april 30 99% FLAT
1h Tesla beats EPS but misses revenue; Nvidia market cap odds unchanged
NO ▲1¢
Trump Iran demands (april)
1 article
· 2h ago
11%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 11% FLAT
2h Trump demands Iran proposal as uranium deadline nears
YES ▲1¢
SpaceX IPO in 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
72%
▲1¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO timing 70% FLAT
⚡ SpaceX IPO deadlines 70% FLAT
✓ 23h SpaceX acquisition of Cursor draws regulatory scrutiny, impacts IPO timeline
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
Developing
37%
▼0¢
13m Morpho absorbs $8B from AAVE amid Kelp exploit without triggering bank run
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
18m White House extends Iran ceasefire by 3-5 days
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
23m Iran displays ballistic missile as US-Iran talks collapse
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
2 articles
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 18% FLAT
25m Trump admits Iran leadership strikes complicate peace talks
32m Trump signals second round of US-Iran talks possible by Friday
Likely NO
Trump visit to China
1 article
Developing
76%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 9% FLAT
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
34m China positions as peacemaker amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
US blockade of hormuz
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 76% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
40m Trump drops missile demands in US-Iran talks, peace deal remains elusive
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
45m Israel kills journalist in southern Lebanon ‘double-tap’ attack
2h Over 100 Basij members poisoned in Tehran, one dead, others hospitalized
Likely NO
Israel suspension of lebanon offensive
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
49m Israeli forces leave southern Lebanon village in ruins amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts in hormuz 6% FLAT
49m US uses half of Patriot missiles in Iran conflict, limiting military options
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
3 articles
Developing
13%
▼0¢
56m Iran seizes vessels in Strait of Hormuz, Panama condemns as maritime security threat
1h US intercepts Iranian tankers near India, Malaysia amid Hormuz tensions
✓ 23h US directs 31 vessels to turn back in Iran maritime blockade
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
4 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran escalates in Strait of Hormuz, crude oil focus intensifies
1h Iran oil supply disruption pressures global markets, impacts China imports
2h Traders bet $430M on falling oil prices before Trump extends Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
MegaETH token launch predictions
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
1h MegaETH nears token launch with two apps left for countdown trigger
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire without new end date
Likely NO
Starmer out prediction markets
1 article
Developing
42%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out timing predictions 42% FLAT
1h Keir Starmer risks leadership amid Whitehall conflict, tensions escalate
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
4 articles
Developing
72%
▼0¢
1h AAVE deposits plunge $16.2B after KelpDAO exploit, Ethereum market pressured
2h Schwab launches Bitcoin, Ethereum trading with 0.7% fee per trade
2h AAVE deposits fall to $29.6B after KelpDAO exploit, $16.2B outflows recorded
Likely NO
Candidates advancing to 2026 peru presidential runoff
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Peru presidential election 2026 candidates 5% FLAT
✓ 21h Roberto Sánchez leads by 20,000 votes, closing López Aliaga’s runoff path
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
Developing
2%
2m Navy Secretary Phelan exits amid Pentagon turmoil during Hormuz blockade
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Indonesian rupiah hits record low as Iran closes Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Nordea Bank suffers losses amid rising rate expectations and Middle East conflict
Likely NO
Iran regime fall
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 6% FLAT
1h US officials: Iran retains military strength despite US, Israeli strikes
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 21h IAF technicians accused of spying for Iran, Lebanon PM calls Israel actions war crimes
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 25
1 article
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
1h Russia approves crypto use for foreign trade amidst sanctions
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Another country military action against Iran 6% FLAT
1h Explosions in Tehran raise fears of renewed hostilities amid fragile ceasefire
3h Tehran explosions part of air defense drill, not attack, markets react
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts in 2026
1 article
Developing
37%
▼0¢
1h Kinder Morgan profit beats estimates as natural gas demand rises
Likely NO
Military action against Iran ends
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts in hormuz 6% FLAT
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 6% FLAT
1h US deploys USS George H.W. Bush to Middle East amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
2 articles
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h Aberdeen sees £2.9B outflows in Q1 amid US-Iran conflict volatility
2h Bitcoin $60K dip in April sees odds decline as traders price out drop
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Circle launches USDC Nanopayments testnet for gas-free micro-transactions
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 2h ago
14%
▼0¢
2h Bennett’s Haredi enlistment critique pressures Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 3% FLAT
2h UK to deploy mine-sweepers in Strait of Hormuz for de-mining effort
Likely NO
Silver price predictions by end of june
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Lotus Wiper malware hits Venezuela energy sector before US captures Maduro
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO lead bank predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h North Korean hackers target financial firms with macOS malware using AppleScript
Likely NO
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 33h Pentagon reviews Middle East military presence after Iran strikes
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h US Navy redirects 31 ships amid Iran blockade, Strait traffic stalls
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
· 3h ago
91%
▼0¢
3h SK Hynix HBM demand to outstrip capacity, impacting Nvidia supply chain