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1h Iran denies role as Fujairah oil facilities attacked amid rising tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
1h Iran denies role as Fujairah oil facilities attacked amid rising tensions
▼ Iran military action against neighbors
24% (was 25%, ▼1¢ in 1h)
⚡ Iran airspace closure: 24% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Iran military action against neighbors
2 articles
Developing
24%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 24% FLAT
1h 2h Iran urges Gulf states to reject foreign military reliance amid tensions
NO ▲1¢
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 2h ago
13%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 14% FLAT
2h Netanyahu pressured Trump on Iran military action, claims Tucker Carlson
NO ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
· 2h ago
24%
▼1¢
✓ 42h US strikes Iranian vessels, escalating tensions and airspace closure risk
2h Explosions in Iran heighten tensions, potential airspace closure looms
YES ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
· 2h ago
28%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 27% FLAT
2h Trump launches ‘Project Freedom’ amid Iranian strikes on UAE port
3h Renewed attacks in Hormuz suggest ongoing US-Iran tensions
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
99.5%
▲1¢
⚡ US GDP growth Q1 2026 100% FLAT
3h US economic indicators hit 0.84, matching 2008 crisis low
YES ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 3h ago
28%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 27% FLAT
3h Trump signals limited escalation with Iran amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran tensions threaten oil transit, WTI crude may hit $150 in May
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Crypto stocks rally as Clarity Act advances in US Senate
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h White House considers pre-release reviews for Anthropic’s AI model Mythos
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
99.7%
▼0¢
1h Solana faces ecosystem disruptions despite $750M USDC minting and Visa ties
Likely YES
Spirit airlines shutdown
2 articles
Developing
100%
just now Spirit Airlines files for bankruptcy, seeks retention payments amid shutdown
✓ 23h Spirit Airlines shuts down, JetBlue offers rescue fares after bailout denial
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 4
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
5m US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire $532.3M in Bitcoin amid regulatory clarity push
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
5 articles
Developing
28%
▼0¢
27m South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz
✓ 31h US maintains naval blockade against Iran, impacting Hormuz traffic normalization
2h US-flagged ship transits Hormuz with military escort amid tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 5
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
29m Fidelity’s alleged $184M Bitcoin purchase fuels institutional interest speculation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 332m Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, highest since January
51m US Treasury targets Iranian exchange houses amid rising tensions with Iran
2h Iran missile strikes UAE targets amid US-Iran conflict tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
45m Bitwise fund approval boosts mainstream crypto access
1h Bitcoin open interest hits $60.9B amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Strait of Hormuz closure fuels oil price surge amid global shortages
3h Oil prices surge as US-Israel-Iran tensions disrupt supply routes
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
1h Stablecoin yield compromise boosts Bitcoin’s long-term regulatory outlook
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Hezbollah rejects talks as tensions rise, impacting Israeli withdrawal odds
Likely NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation timeline
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Mexico deploys top security officials to Sinaloa amid cartel violence escalation
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
2h Meta secures $13B financing for Texas AI data center with Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
2h USS Truxtun, USS Mason attacked by Iran in Hormuz, escalating tensions
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 3% FLAT
2h Philippine inflation amid Middle East tensions, impacting global markets
Likely NO
Trump speaking engagements in may
1 article
· 2h ago
15%
▼0¢
2h Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts oil supply amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 2h ago
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 8% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
2h IDF warns of forceful removal of Iran’s enriched uranium amid stalled talks
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
✓ 23h US intelligence reports limited new damage to Iran’s nuclear program
Likely NO
Ethereum price on may 5
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 7 100% FLAT
3h Iranian drone attacks on UAE pressure US bond market, yields surge
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Bitcoin surpasses $80k amid low on-chain activity, up 22% in 5 weeks
Likely NO
UAE and qatar diplomatic relations in 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼0¢
3h Qatar condemns Iran attack on UAE, strengthens Gulf unity
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
3 articles
Developing
9%
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 8% FLAT
1m Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
✓ 228m South Korean vessel fire heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions amid US-Iran standoff
3h US military escorts Maersk ship through Hormuz, easing passage tensions
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
2 articles
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
✓ 33h Iran tensions rise as attacks hit UAE, ships; oil prices expected to climb
✓ 23h US deploys F-16s in Project Freedom amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
2h “The Devil Wears Prada 2” earns $233M globally in opening weekend
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on may 4
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on may 5 100% FLAT
4h European stock futures fall amid US trade tensions and Middle East conflicts
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
4h Trump calls Xi meeting important, highlights US AI leadership