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12m UAE intercepts missiles from Iran, escalating Gulf tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
12m UAE intercepts missiles from Iran, escalating Gulf tensions
▲ Iran military action against neighbors
24% (was 23%, ▲1¢ in 12m)
⚡ Iran airspace closure: 24% FLAT
YES ▲1¢
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
Developing
24%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 24% FLAT
12m 25m Iran threatens retaliation as US-Israel military campaign intensifies
2h Iran denies role as Fujairah oil facilities attacked amid rising tensions
NO ▲1¢
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ ECB interest rates april 2026 100% FLAT
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
39m Middle East conflict drives oil prices to $119, impacting global inflation
3h Philippine inflation amid Middle East tensions, impacting global markets
YES ▲1¢
Meta platforms stock price predictions
2 articles
Developing
79%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 70% FLAT
53m China blocks US funding for AI startups amid Meta acquisition tensions
3h Meta secures $13B financing for Texas AI data center with Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 8% FLAT
1h Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
✓ 21h South Korean vessel fire heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions amid US-Iran standoff
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran tensions threaten oil transit, WTI crude may hit $150 in May
NO ▲1¢
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 3h ago
13%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 14% FLAT
3h Netanyahu pressured Trump on Iran military action, claims Tucker Carlson
NO ▲1¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
· 3h ago
24%
▼1¢
✓ 43h US strikes Iranian vessels, escalating tensions and airspace closure risk
3h Explosions in Iran heighten tensions, potential airspace closure looms
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
Developing
13%
just now Vessels cluster near Dubai as Iran asserts control over Hormuz strait
3h Trump launches ‘Project Freedom’ amid Iranian strikes on UAE port
Likely NO
Ethereum price on may 5
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
22m Iran tensions, oil shortages impact Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
4h Iranian drone attacks on UAE pressure US bond market, yields surge
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
5 articles
Developing
27%
▼0¢
45m Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US talks for potential blockade lift
1h South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz
✓ 32h US maintains naval blockade against Iran, impacting Hormuz traffic normalization
Likely NO
Scotland parliamentary election winner
1 article
Developing
40%
▼0¢
49m SNP projected to win fifth term in 2026 Scottish Parliament election
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
51m Iran-US ceasefire on brink as military actions escalate
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
59m Iran-US diplomatic talks expected soon amid nuclear tensions
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Spirit Airlines files for bankruptcy, seeks retention payments amid shutdown
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 4
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire $532.3M in Bitcoin amid regulatory clarity push
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 5
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1h Fidelity’s alleged $184M Bitcoin purchase fuels institutional interest speculation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
✓ 31h Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, highest since January
1h US Treasury targets Iranian exchange houses amid rising tensions with Iran
3h Iran missile strikes UAE targets amid US-Iran conflict tensions
Likely NO
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 3h ago
0%
3h “The Devil Wears Prada 2” earns $233M globally in opening weekend
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
1h Bitwise fund approval boosts mainstream crypto access
2h Bitcoin open interest hits $60.9B amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Strait of Hormuz closure fuels oil price surge amid global shortages
4h Oil prices surge as US-Israel-Iran tensions disrupt supply routes
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
2h Stablecoin yield compromise boosts Bitcoin’s long-term regulatory outlook
Likely NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation timeline
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Mexico deploys top security officials to Sinaloa amid cartel violence escalation
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Crypto stocks rally as Clarity Act advances in US Senate
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h White House considers pre-release reviews for Anthropic’s AI model Mythos
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 3h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
3h Solana faces ecosystem disruptions despite $750M USDC minting and Visa ties
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
3h USS Truxtun, USS Mason attacked by Iran in Hormuz, escalating tensions
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
Developing
8%
1m Israel orders evacuations in southern Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
2h Hezbollah rejects talks as tensions rise, impacting Israeli withdrawal odds
Likely NO
Trump speaking engagements in may
1 article
· 3h ago
15%
▼0¢
3h Strait of Hormuz closure disrupts oil supply amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 4h ago
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 8% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 15% FLAT
4h IDF warns of forceful removal of Iran’s enriched uranium amid stalled talks
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal
1 article
· 4h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ US obtains Iranian enriched uranium 8% FLAT
✓ 24h US intelligence reports limited new damage to Iran’s nuclear program
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Bitcoin surpasses $80k amid low on-chain activity, up 22% in 5 weeks