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2h Apple names John Ternus CEO, Tim Cook becomes executive chairman
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
2h Apple names John Ternus CEO, Tim Cook becomes executive chairman
▲ Next CEO of apple
100% (was 99%, ▲1¢ in 2h)
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
· 2h ago
99.5%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap on april 30 99% FLAT
2h Tesla beats EPS but misses revenue; Nvidia market cap odds unchanged
NO ▲1¢
MegaETH token launch predictions
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼1¢
2h MegaETH nears token launch with two apps left for countdown trigger
NO ▲1¢
Candidates advancing to 2026 peru presidential runoff
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Peru presidential election 2026 candidates 5% FLAT
✓ 22h Roberto Sánchez leads by 20,000 votes, closing López Aliaga’s runoff path
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
2m Iran conflict impacts Bitcoin dip market amid rising oil prices
✓ 226m Long-term holders absorb 303K Bitcoin, stabilizing price above $60K
3h Aberdeen sees £2.9B outflows in Q1 amid US-Iran conflict volatility
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
1h Zelensky warns Iran conflict may limit Ukraine’s US air defense access
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 23 100% FLAT
1h BlackRock clients invest $246.8M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical hedge strategy
2h AAVE deposits plunge $16.2B after KelpDAO exploit, Ethereum market pressured
Likely NO
USD.AI FDV after launch
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h CHIP token hits $830M market cap, confirming USD.AI FDV question resolution
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 17% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
1h Ian Bremmer: Trump loses leverage in Iran talks, oil sanctions relief unlikely
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
Developing
37%
▼0¢
1h Morpho absorbs $8B from AAVE amid Kelp exploit without triggering bank run
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
1h Iran displays ballistic missile as US-Iran talks collapse
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
3 articles
Developing
7%
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 6% FLAT
just now CENTCOM orders blockade against Iran, impacting Hormuz shipping routes
2h Iran seizes vessels in Strait of Hormuz, Panama condemns as maritime security threat
3h US intercepts Iranian tankers near India, Malaysia amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
3m Netanyahu focuses on military strategy in Lebanon amid diplomatic odds tension
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries sending warships through hormuz 3% FLAT
9m Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil flow
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
10m Swiss National Bank reports CHF 8.2B loss on foreign currency holdings
2h Nordea Bank suffers losses amid rising rate expectations and Middle East conflict
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
76%
▼0¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 3% FLAT
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 76% FLAT
✓ 211m Iran seizes ships in Hormuz Strait after US halts attacks
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
2 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
12m Iran seizes ships, US intercepts missiles as tensions rise
1h White House extends Iran ceasefire by 3-5 days
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
15m US informs Israel ceasefire with Iran to end Sunday
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran regime fall 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran leadership change 38% FLAT
23m Iran halts executions of eight women after Trump appeal
✓ 32h Israel kills journalist in southern Lebanon ‘double-tap’ attack
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
32m Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, raising oil supply concerns
1h Ukrainian drones strike Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery, impacting crude supply
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Another country conducting military action against Iran 0% FLAT
44m Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
3h Explosions in Tehran raise fears of renewed hostilities amid fragile ceasefire
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
2 articles
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 18% FLAT
1h Trump admits Iran leadership strikes complicate peace talks
1h Trump signals second round of US-Iran talks possible by Friday
Likely NO
Trump visit to China
1 article
Developing
76%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 9% FLAT
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
1h China positions as peacemaker amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
US blockade of hormuz
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 76% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
1h Trump drops missile demands in US-Iran talks, peace deal remains elusive
Likely NO
Israel suspension of lebanon offensive
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Israeli forces leave southern Lebanon village in ruins amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts in hormuz 6% FLAT
2h US uses half of Patriot missiles in Iran conflict, limiting military options
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h Iran escalates in Strait of Hormuz, crude oil focus intensifies
2h Iran oil supply disruption pressures global markets, impacts China imports
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire without new end date
Likely NO
Starmer out prediction markets
1 article
· 2h ago
42%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out timing predictions 42% FLAT
2h Keir Starmer risks leadership amid Whitehall conflict, tensions escalate
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
2 articles
Developing
3%
✓ 220m Hegseth fires Navy Secretary Phelan amid Pentagon leadership shake-up
✓ 31h Navy Secretary Phelan exits amid Pentagon turmoil during Hormuz blockade
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Indonesian rupiah hits record low as Iran closes Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Iran regime fall
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 6% FLAT
2h US officials: Iran retains military strength despite US, Israeli strikes
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 23h IAF technicians accused of spying for Iran, Lebanon PM calls Israel actions war crimes
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 25
1 article
· 3h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
3h Russia approves crypto use for foreign trade amidst sanctions
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts in 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
37%
▼0¢
3h Kinder Morgan profit beats estimates as natural gas demand rises
Likely NO
Military action against Iran ends
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts in hormuz 6% FLAT
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 6% FLAT
3h US deploys USS George H.W. Bush to Middle East amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h Circle launches USDC Nanopayments testnet for gas-free micro-transactions