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✓ 44h US strikes Iranian vessels, escalating tensions and airspace closure risk
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 44h US strikes Iranian vessels, escalating tensions and airspace closure risk
▼ Iran airspace closure
23% (was 25%, ▼2¢ in 4h)
NO ▲2¢
Iran airspace closure
2 articles
· 4h ago
23%
▼2¢
✓ 44h 4h Explosions in Iran heighten tensions, potential airspace closure looms
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
3 articles
Developing
26%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 26% FLAT
28m South Korean vessel explosion adds to Strait of Hormuz instability
2h Iran tensions rise as hackers leak US Navy officer data in Persian Gulf
✓ 22h South Korean vessel fire heightens Strait of Hormuz tensions amid US-Iran standoff
NO ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
2 articles
Developing
26%
▼1¢
1h Vessels cluster near Dubai as Iran asserts control over Hormuz strait
4h Trump launches ‘Project Freedom’ amid Iranian strikes on UAE port
YES ▲1¢
Ethereum price on may 5
1 article
Developing
3%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
1h Iran tensions, oil shortages impact Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
NO ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
5 articles
Developing
26%
▼1¢
1h Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz amid US talks for potential blockade lift
2h South Korea joins talks to ensure safe passage through Strait of Hormuz
✓ 33h US maintains naval blockade against Iran, impacting Hormuz traffic normalization
YES ▲1¢
Meta platforms stock price predictions
2 articles
Developing
79%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 70% FLAT
1h China blocks US funding for AI startups amid Meta acquisition tensions
4h Meta secures $13B financing for Texas AI data center with Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan
NO ▲1¢
Netanyahu out
1 article
· 4h ago
13%
▼1¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 14% FLAT
4h Netanyahu pressured Trump on Iran military action, claims Tucker Carlson
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
5 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
6m Bitmine stakes $10.2B in Ethereum amid geopolitical tensions
✓ 32h Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, highest since January
3h US Treasury targets Iranian exchange houses amid rising tensions with Iran
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
26%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 26% FLAT
16m US destroyers cross Strait of Hormuz under Iranian fire, escalating tensions
4h USS Truxtun, USS Mason attacked by Iran in Hormuz, escalating tensions
Likely NO
XRP price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
52m Bitcoin surges past $81,000 amid US-Iran tensions, reinforcing safe-haven status
Likely NO
The devil wears prada 2 opening weekend box office
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
4h “The Devil Wears Prada 2” earns $233M globally in opening weekend
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
33m Geopolitical tensions in Hormuz impact ECB rate cut expectations for April 2026
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Western Union launches stablecoin on Solana, boosting network confidence
4h Solana faces ecosystem disruptions despite $750M USDC minting and Visa ties
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Israel orders evacuations in southern Lebanon amid ongoing military operations
3h Hezbollah rejects talks as tensions rise, impacting Israeli withdrawal odds
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
Developing
23%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 24% FLAT
✓ 21h UAE intercepts missiles from Iran, escalating Gulf tensions
1h Iran threatens retaliation as US-Israel military campaign intensifies
3h Iran denies role as Fujairah oil facilities attacked amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Bank of brazil decision in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates april 2026 100% FLAT
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
1h Middle East conflict drives oil prices to $119, impacting global inflation
4h Philippine inflation amid Middle East tensions, impacting global markets
Likely NO
Scotland parliamentary election winner
1 article
Developing
40%
▼0¢
1h SNP projected to win fifth term in 2026 Scottish Parliament election
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Iran-US ceasefire on brink as military actions escalate
Likely NO
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Iran-US diplomatic talks expected soon amid nuclear tensions
Likely NO
Spirit airlines shutdown
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Spirit Airlines files for bankruptcy, seeks retention payments amid shutdown
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on may 4
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 42h US Spot Bitcoin ETFs acquire $532.3M in Bitcoin amid regulatory clarity push
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 5
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
2h Fidelity’s alleged $184M Bitcoin purchase fuels institutional interest speculation
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 4 100% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 8 100% FLAT
2h Bitwise fund approval boosts mainstream crypto access
3h Bitcoin open interest hits $60.9B amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Strait of Hormuz closure fuels oil price surge amid global shortages
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin future price predictions 4% FLAT
3h Stablecoin yield compromise boosts Bitcoin’s long-term regulatory outlook
Likely NO
U.S. anti-cartel operation timeline
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Mexico deploys top security officials to Sinaloa amid cartel violence escalation
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 2% FLAT
✓ 23h Iran tensions threaten oil transit, WTI crude may hit $150 in May
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Crypto stocks rally as Clarity Act advances in US Senate
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h White House considers pre-release reviews for Anthropic’s AI model Mythos