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2h Zelensky warns Iran conflict may limit Ukraine’s US air defense access
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
2h Zelensky warns Iran conflict may limit Ukraine’s US air defense access
▼ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
11% (was 14%, ▼3¢ in 2h)
NO ▲3¢
MegaETH token launch predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼3¢
3h MegaETH nears token launch with two apps left for countdown trigger
NO ▲2¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
74%
▼2¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 3% FLAT
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 76% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran seizes ships in Hormuz Strait after US halts attacks
NO ▲1¢
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
3%
▼1¢
45m Goldman Sachs favors energy stocks as Iran oil supply concerns grow
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap on april 30
1 article
Developing
99.5%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in june 90% FLAT
⚡ Richest person on december 31, 2026 1% FLAT
1h Tesla profit jump fails to impact Nvidia’s top market cap odds
YES ▲1¢
Next CEO of apple
1 article
· 3h ago
99.5%
▲1¢
3h Apple names John Ternus CEO, Tim Cook becomes executive chairman
YES ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
· 3h ago
99.5%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap on april 30 99% FLAT
3h Tesla beats EPS but misses revenue; Nvidia market cap odds unchanged
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
74%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 74% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 74% FLAT
7m Pakistan hopeful for US-Iran talks despite ship seizures in Hormuz Strait
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 23 100% FLAT
10m BlackRock buys $246M in Bitcoin, total reaches $1.8B in 12 days
2h BlackRock clients invest $246.8M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical hedge strategy
4h AAVE deposits plunge $16.2B after KelpDAO exploit, Ethereum market pressured
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
15m Lebanese president condemns journalist’s death in Israeli strike
Likely NO
Silver price predictions for june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
24m Strait of Hormuz blockade pushes silver past $100, gold over $5,000
Likely NO
Meetings with Iran by april 30
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
36m Iran says Strait of Hormuz reopening tied to US ceasefire compliance
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price on april 23 100% FLAT
42m Trump extends Iran ceasefire, WTI crude oil $160 April target dims
3h Iran escalates in Strait of Hormuz, crude oil focus intensifies
Likely NO
Next leader out of power
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
44m Hungary’s PM-elect vows to arrest Netanyahu under ICC warrant
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h US and Israeli strikes damage Iran’s industrial sector, including Mobarakeh Steel
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Iran conflict complicates ECB rate decision ahead of April meeting
1h Swiss National Bank reports CHF 8.2B loss on foreign currency holdings
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
1h Pentagon: Mine clearance in Strait of Hormuz could take six months after conflict
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 6% FLAT
1h CENTCOM orders blockade against Iran, impacting Hormuz shipping routes
3h Iran seizes vessels in Strait of Hormuz, Panama condemns as maritime security threat
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran conflict impacts Bitcoin dip market amid rising oil prices
✓ 21h Long-term holders absorb 303K Bitcoin, stabilizing price above $60K
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Netanyahu focuses on military strategy in Lebanon amid diplomatic odds tension
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries sending warships through hormuz 3% FLAT
1h Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil flow
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
2 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
1h Iran seizes ships, US intercepts missiles as tensions rise
2h White House extends Iran ceasefire by 3-5 days
Likely NO
Fed decisions from march to june
1 article
Developing
5%
⚡ Fed decision in june 2026 5% FLAT
just now Philippine central bank raises interest rate for first time in over two years
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h US informs Israel ceasefire with Iran to end Sunday
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran regime fall 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran leadership change 38% FLAT
1h Iran halts executions of eight women after Trump appeal
✓ 33h Israel kills journalist in southern Lebanon ‘double-tap’ attack
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
1h Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, raising oil supply concerns
2h Ukrainian drones strike Russia’s Tuapse oil refinery, impacting crude supply
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Another country conducting military action against Iran 0% FLAT
1h Iran seizes two ships in Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions
Likely NO
USD.AI FDV after launch
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h CHIP token hits $830M market cap, confirming USD.AI FDV question resolution
Likely NO
Iranian demands Trump
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 17% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
2h Ian Bremmer: Trump loses leverage in Iran talks, oil sanctions relief unlikely
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
37%
▼0¢
2h Morpho absorbs $8B from AAVE amid Kelp exploit without triggering bank run
Likely NO
US declaration of war on Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
13%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
2h Iran displays ballistic missile as US-Iran talks collapse
Likely NO
US-Iran peace deal
2 articles
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 18% FLAT
2h Trump admits Iran leadership strikes complicate peace talks
3h Trump signals second round of US-Iran talks possible by Friday
Likely NO
Trump visit to China
1 article
· 3h ago
76%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 9% FLAT
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
3h China positions as peacemaker amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
US blockade of hormuz
1 article
· 3h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 76% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
3h Trump drops missile demands in US-Iran talks, peace deal remains elusive
Likely NO
Israel suspension of lebanon offensive
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
3h Israeli forces leave southern Lebanon village in ruins amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts in hormuz 6% FLAT
3h US uses half of Patriot missiles in Iran conflict, limiting military options
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
2 articles
Developing
3%
✓ 21h Hegseth fires Navy Secretary Phelan amid Pentagon leadership shake-up
✓ 32h Navy Secretary Phelan exits amid Pentagon turmoil during Hormuz blockade
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire extension
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire without new end date
Likely NO
Starmer out prediction markets
1 article
· 4h ago
42%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out timing predictions 42% FLAT
4h Keir Starmer risks leadership amid Whitehall conflict, tensions escalate