Earn with Nexo
2h Neom port promotion signals shift from Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
2h Neom port promotion signals shift from Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions
▲ Strait of hormuz ship transit
70% (was 68%, ▲2¢ in 2h)
YES ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
3 articles
· 2h ago
70%
▲2¢
2h 3h Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transit amid tensions
✓ 25h Missile strike on cargo ship near Dubai raises Gulf tensions
NO ▲2¢
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
52%
▼2¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 62% FLAT
✓ 34h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand surge
NO ▲2¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
2 articles
· 4h ago
8%
▼2¢
✓ 24h Brent oil drops 2% as Trump signals progress with Iran
5h Trump dismisses gas price concerns amid Iran conflict escalation
NO ▲2¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 4h ago
8%
▼2¢
4h Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz closure impact oil prices
✓ 95h WTI oil drops 2.5% as Trump pauses Project Freedom, impacting price forecasts
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
2 articles
Developing
28%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 6 0% FLAT
1h Strategy reports wider loss amid Bitcoin price slump, geopolitical tensions
✓ 24h Strategy’s potential Bitcoin sale may impact $115K target in May
NO ▲1¢
MicroStrategy Bitcoin sales timeline
1 article
Developing
28%
▼1¢
✓ 41h Strategy may sell Bitcoin to cover STRC dividends, says Michael Saylor
YES ▲1¢
Russia capture kostyantynivka
1 article
· 5h ago
78%
▲1¢
5h Ukraine boosts defenses with Palantir AI amid Russian conflict
YES ▲1¢
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
5%
▲1¢
5h Lula to discuss anti-cartel cooperation with Trump amid US-Brazil talks
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
9m Poland holds interest rates steady amid Iran conflict-driven inflation pressures
Likely NO
Billions FDV after launch
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Prophet debuts AI-powered prediction market with $10K capital tranche
5h Jump Crypto’s Firedancer upgrade boosts Solana network performance
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 12% FLAT
1h Iran rejects US demands amid ongoing tensions and economic blockade
Likely YES
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
Developing
6%
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
3m US shifts to defensive posture in Hormuz as ‘Operation Epic Fury’ ends
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
16m Trump pauses US operation guiding vessels through Strait of Hormuz amid talks
50m Strait of Hormuz closure reroutes shipping, strains African port capacity
✓ 54h US pauses naval escorts in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran talks
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
36m Israel bombs 21 Lebanese villages amid ceasefire, raising withdrawal concerns
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
41m Netanyahu’s West Bank annexation plan sparks political instability concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
43m Iran conflict drives oil prices up, impacts Thailand inflation
2h Institutions drive Bitcoin past $80K, targeting $96K by June
✓ 33h US-Iran deal hopes boost Bitcoin sentiment, oil market cautious
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
45m S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs as AI chip stocks surge
Likely NO
Sharjah secession from UAE
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
52m UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, impacting oil market dynamics
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
3 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h Strait of Hormuz blockade fuels WTI crude oil price surge concerns
1h USAF reduces presence in Europe, West Asia amid Iran tensions
3h Explosions reported in Iran’s Hormozgan province amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran airspace closure 6% FLAT
1h Iran continues attacks despite ceasefire, UAE reports over 500 missile strikes
3h Hezbollah’s unjammable drones escalate Israel-Lebanon tensions, impact withdrawal odds
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Trump, Xi to discuss Taiwan amid China’s military drills near island
2h China defies US sanctions on Iranian oil ahead of Trump’s Beijing visit
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Iran, China discuss ceasefire and Hormuz reopening amid US tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
1h BlackRock clients acquire $251M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
1 article
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
2h Strategy reports $12.5B net loss, impacting Bitcoin sentiment for May 2026
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Iran strikes UAE as Ukraine expands Gulf security ties
✓ 34h Russian strikes escalate, dimming 2026 Ukraine ceasefire hopes
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
✓ 42h Trump announces progress in US-Iran talks, pauses Project Freedom
✓ 135h Trump suspends Hormuz operation amid Iran deal progress
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 61% FLAT
✓ 33h Trump pauses Project Freedom amid Hormuz blockade negotiations
5h Iranian missile reportedly strikes cargo vessel in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Balance of power in 2026 midterms
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
3h VP Vance campaigns in Iowa as GOP fears grow for 2026 midterms
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
3h Middle East tensions, oil prices complicate Fed rate cut outlook for 2026
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h Anthropic shifts focus to finance amid US government tensions
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 4h ago
11%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT
4h Iran faces international disapproval over Strait of Hormuz actions
Likely NO
ChatGPT app store ranking
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h ChatGPT tops US Apple Store as GPT-5.5 Instant boosts downloads
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h US-Iran tensions ease, Bitcoin price above $66K likely by May 6