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3h Neom port promotion signals shift from Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
3h Neom port promotion signals shift from Strait of Hormuz amid regional tensions
▼ Strait of hormuz ship transit
66% (was 68%, ▼2¢ in 3h)
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit
3 articles
· 3h ago
66%
▼2¢
3h 4h Iran introduces permit system for Strait of Hormuz vessel transit amid tensions
✓ 26h Missile strike on cargo ship near Dubai raises Gulf tensions
YES ▲2¢
SpaceX IPO predictions
1 article
· 5h ago
56%
▲2¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 62% FLAT
✓ 35h Samsung hits $1T market cap amid AI chip demand surge
NO ▲2¢
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 6h ago
34%
▼2¢
⚡ Iran shipping agreement 11% FLAT
6h Iran faces international disapproval over Strait of Hormuz actions
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 5h ago
9%
▼1¢
✓ 25h Brent oil drops 2% as Trump signals progress with Iran
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
9%
▼1¢
5h Middle East tensions and Strait of Hormuz closure impact oil prices
YES ▲1¢
Russia capture kostyantynivka
1 article
· 6h ago
78%
▲1¢
6h Ukraine boosts defenses with Palantir AI amid Russian conflict
YES ▲1¢
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 6h ago
5%
▲1¢
6h Lula to discuss anti-cartel cooperation with Trump amid US-Brazil talks
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
17m UAE marks armed forces’ 50th anniversary amid Iran tensions
✓ 21h Iran engages drones over Qeshm Island amid heightened military alertness
2h Iran continues attacks despite ceasefire, UAE reports over 500 missile strikes
Likely NO
Google stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
47m OpenAI, Anthropic drive US cloud demand, boost Google stock outlook for April
Likely NO
Scotland parliamentary election winner
1 article
Developing
40%
▼0¢
54m UK elections may test Starmer’s leadership amid Labour challenges
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
58m US suspends ‘Project Freedom’ to facilitate Israel-Iran peace talks
1h House Democrats urge Trump to acknowledge Israel’s nuclear program
Likely NO
Marco rubio press briefing statements
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
1h US shifts to defensive posture in Hormuz as ‘Operation Epic Fury’ ends
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
1h Poland holds interest rates steady amid Iran conflict-driven inflation pressures
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 36% FLAT
1h Trump pauses US operation guiding vessels through Strait of Hormuz amid talks
2h Strait of Hormuz closure reroutes shipping, strains African port capacity
✓ 55h US pauses naval escorts in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran talks
Likely NO
Israel withdraws from lebanon
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Israel bombs 21 Lebanese villages amid ceasefire, raising withdrawal concerns
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
1h Netanyahu’s West Bank annexation plan sparks political instability concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 7
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Iran conflict drives oil prices up, impacts Thailand inflation
3h Institutions drive Bitcoin past $80K, targeting $96K by June
✓ 34h US-Iran deal hopes boost Bitcoin sentiment, oil market cautious
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h S&P 500 and NASDAQ hit record highs as AI chip stocks surge
Likely NO
Sharjah secession from UAE
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h UAE exits OPEC amid Gulf tensions, impacting oil market dynamics
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
3 articles
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
2h Strait of Hormuz blockade fuels WTI crude oil price surge concerns
2h USAF reduces presence in Europe, West Asia amid Iran tensions
4h Explosions reported in Iran’s Hormozgan province amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Trump's visit to China
2 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Trump, Xi to discuss Taiwan amid China’s military drills near island
3h China defies US sanctions on Iranian oil ahead of Trump’s Beijing visit
Likely NO
Iran leadership status by end of 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Iran, China discuss ceasefire and Hormuz reopening amid US tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
2 articles
· 2h ago
29%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 6 0% FLAT
2h Strategy reports wider loss amid Bitcoin price slump, geopolitical tensions
✓ 26h Strategy’s potential Bitcoin sale may impact $115K target in May
Likely NO
Billions FDV after launch
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Prophet debuts AI-powered prediction market with $10K capital tranche
Likely NO
MicroStrategy Bitcoin sales timeline
1 article
· 3h ago
29%
▼0¢
✓ 43h Strategy may sell Bitcoin to cover STRC dividends, says Michael Saylor
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entry into Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
12%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 12% FLAT
3h Iran rejects US demands amid ongoing tensions and economic blockade
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may 4-10
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 6 100% FLAT
3h BlackRock clients acquire $251M in Bitcoin amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price april 27-may 3
1 article
· 3h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
3h Strategy reports $12.5B net loss, impacting Bitcoin sentiment for May 2026
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by april 30, 2026
2 articles
· 3h ago
100%
▼0¢
3h Iran strikes UAE as Ukraine expands Gulf security ties
✓ 35h Russian strikes escalate, dimming 2026 Ukraine ceasefire hopes
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 6% FLAT
✓ 44h Trump announces progress in US-Iran talks, pauses Project Freedom
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 3% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 61% FLAT
✓ 34h Trump pauses Project Freedom amid Hormuz blockade negotiations
Likely NO
Balance of power in 2026 midterms
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
4h VP Vance campaigns in Iowa as GOP fears grow for 2026 midterms
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
5h Middle East tensions, oil prices complicate Fed rate cut outlook for 2026
Likely NO
Anthropic mythos provision to US government
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h Anthropic shifts focus to finance amid US government tensions
Likely NO
ChatGPT app store ranking
1 article
· 6h ago
100%
▼0¢
6h ChatGPT tops US Apple Store as GPT-5.5 Instant boosts downloads