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1h Iran conflict reroutes shipping, Panama Canal lane prices soar 10x
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h Iran conflict reroutes shipping, Panama Canal lane prices soar 10x
▼ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
6% (was 7%, ▼1¢ in 1h)
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april: 6% FLAT · WTI crude oil prices in april 2026: 1% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
6%
▼1¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 6% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
1h 
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran claims US breaches stalling talks as Strait of Hormuz tensions rise
NO ▲1¢
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼1¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 3% FLAT
1h Pentagon says clearing Hormuz mines may take six months, impacting oil prices
1h US-Israel strikes impact Hormuz shipping, market odds drop sharply
YES ▲1¢
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
15%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
⚡ Who will meet with Iran 3% FLAT
1h Trump’s actions spark fears of global arms race, says Major General Manner
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
Developing
10%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 11% FLAT
1h Iran blames US, Israel for conflict, complicating nuclear deal talks
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
· 2h ago
18%
▼1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions april 20-26 1% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
✓ 22h Crypto Fear & Greed Index sees largest daily rise in three months
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
1m US hosts talks as Lebanon seeks ceasefire extension with Israel
28m Israeli soldiers looting homes in Lebanon could strain ceasefire efforts
1h France mourns soldiers killed in Hezbollah attack in Lebanon
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
15%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
6m Trump says no time pressure on Iran ceasefire talks as peace deal odds drop
Likely NO
ECB interest rates in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
7m Hezbollah commits to ceasefire if Israel complies, diplomatic talks possible
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
Developing
74%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 74% FLAT
✓ 214m Iran seizes ships in Hormuz, Trump demands talks within days
1h Trump confirms US naval blockade on Iran to persist until deal reached
1h Iran refuses to reopen Hormuz as US blockade persists
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
19m Trump reveals ‘gift from China’ on seized Iranian tanker amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Silver price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bank of japan decision in april 2026 0% FLAT
22m Iran war boosts European solar demand, pressures silver, oil prices
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
✓ 222m US intercepts Iranian oil supertankers, escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions
2h WTI Crude Oil unlikely to hit $160 by April amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Warships through the strait of hormuz
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
23m IRGC Navy seizes container ship in Strait of Hormuz, contradicts Trump claims
✓ 21h Iran’s IRGC seizes ships in Strait of Hormuz after Trump extends ceasefire
✓ 22h UK, France lead 30-nation coalition to reopen Strait of Hormuz with ceasefire
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
27m Israeli airstrike in Gaza kills five civilians, raises regional tensions
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Gulf state military action against Iran 4% FLAT
29m State Department urges Americans to exit Middle East amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iran peace deals
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 16% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 16% FLAT
31m US intercepts Iranian oil tankers, complicating peace deal prospects
Likely NO
Fed decisions from march to june
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 16% FLAT
32m Treasury yields rise amid US-Iran standoff; traders eye April PMI data
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 233m Oil tops $100 as Iranian boats fire on ships in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 238m GraniteShares launching 3x leveraged XRP ETFs amid $55M inflow
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
Developing
91%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by june 90% FLAT
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 90% FLAT
39m SK Hynix profit soars five-fold on AI chip demand, eyes US ADR listing
Likely NO
Netanyahu out of power
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
41m Israel Supreme Court chaos adds pressure on Netanyahu amid inquiry demands
Likely NO
XRP price on april 15
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
49m Regulators scrutinize $3T private credit sector, raising S&P 500 risk concerns
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
52m OCBC launches $526M tokenized gold fund on Solana
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Kevin Warsh nominated as Fed Chair, Bitcoin traders eye Clarity Act impact
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 6% FLAT
1h Israeli army launches interceptor missile near Lebanon amid Hezbollah operations
Likely NO
USD.AI FDV after launch
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Bitcoin holds above $68K amid US-Iran tensions ahead of April 24 resolution
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h US uses nearly 50% of Patriot interceptors in Iran conflict, munitions strain mounts
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap after launch
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
1h Qatar Airways resumes flights to Dubai, Sharjah, Damascus amid Iran tensions easing
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Sainsbury’s, WHSmith warn Middle East tensions may impact profits
Likely NO
ECB interest rate predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026 0% FLAT
1h Eurozone PMI falls to 48.6, raising potential for ECB rate cut
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Euro area business activity contracts, services sector downturn blamed
1h Germany’s April PMI drops to 48.3, signals private sector contraction
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 38% FLAT
✓ 31h Khamenei opposes extending US talks, raising conflict risk
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bank of japan decision in april 2026 0% FLAT
1h Honda to exit South Korea auto market by year-end amid market shifts
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
91%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in june 90% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by end of june 90% FLAT
1h Thinking Machines Lab inks multibillion-dollar AI deal with Google Cloud, Nvidia chips
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h Germany to build Europe’s strongest military by 2039 with 460,000 troops
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
1h Ethereum spot ETF inflows hit $96.4M amid US-Iran diplomatic progress
Likely NO
US crude oil reserves by may 1
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
✓ 31h IEA warns of historic energy security threat amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
1h Ceasefire violation in southern Lebanon as target intercepted over IDF troops
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Iran calls US capture of tanker ‘piracy’, threatens retaliation