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2h Iran conflict reroutes shipping, Panama Canal lane prices soar 10x
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
2h Iran conflict reroutes shipping, Panama Canal lane prices soar 10x
▼ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
5% (was 7%, ▼2¢ in 2h)
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april: 6% FLAT · WTI crude oil prices in april 2026: 1% FLAT
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼2¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 6% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
2h 
YES ▲1¢
Iran diplomatic meetings
1 article
Developing
74%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 73% FLAT
44m Lindsey Graham hints at possible global expansion of US blockade on Iran
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
14%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 0% FLAT
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
✓ 41h Trump says no time pressure on Iran ceasefire talks as peace deal odds drop
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran claims US breaches stalling talks as Strait of Hormuz tensions rise
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting attendance
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
4m Pakistan’s Munir brokers US-Iran ceasefire talks, reducing strike risk
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
4 articles
Developing
74%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
5m Iran calls US blockade act of war, escalating tensions in Strait of Hormuz
✓ 21h Iran seizes ships in Hormuz, Trump demands talks within days
2h Trump confirms US naval blockade on Iran to persist until deal reached
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in june 90% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by market cap on april 30 99% FLAT
7m Tesla acquires AI hardware firm for up to $2B in stock
Likely NO
USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
9m Japan’s finance minister boosts coordination to stabilize JGB market
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
10m Russia urges OPEC+ action on Hormuz blockade as oil volumes decline
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
15m Hezbollah lawmaker opposes direct Israel talks, complicating diplomacy
Likely NO
CEOs out before 2027
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Kharg island oil terminal attack 8% FLAT
16m Pentagon fires Navy Secretary amid US-Iran conflict escalation
Likely NO
Largest company by market cap in june
2 articles
Developing
91%
▼0¢
20m SK Hynix profits soar five-fold on AI demand, boosting Nvidia supply chain
2h SK Hynix profit soars five-fold on AI chip demand, eyes US ADR listing
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
24m US Treasury denies $14B Iran sanctions relief claim, nuclear deal odds fall
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Solana price april 13-19 100% FLAT
28m Solana’s PropAMM hits $19.8B March volume, outpaces centralized exchanges
2h OCBC launches $526M tokenized gold fund on Solana
Likely NO
What price will Ethereum hit in april
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
34m Binance trading volume surpasses $1.0T in 2026 amid institutional demand
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO deadlines
1 article
Developing
71%
▼0¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO timing 71% FLAT
38m Honeywell sells unit for $1.4B; SpaceX projects $28.5T market in S-1 filing
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
✓ 244m Israel establishes military zone in southern Lebanon amid ceasefire
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
45m US-brokered Israel-Lebanon talks face Hezbollah disarmament deadlock
1h US hosts talks as Lebanon seeks ceasefire extension with Israel
1h Israeli soldiers looting homes in Lebanon could strain ceasefire efforts
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
✓ 249m Pentagon: Mine clearance in Strait of Hormuz may take six months
✓ 350m Iran collects first revenue from Strait of Hormuz tolls, deterring ships
Likely NO
China annual GDP growth 2026
1 article
Developing
38%
▼0¢
51m China considers slower lending rate cuts amid economic stability focus
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ XRP price in april 0% FLAT
52m SoFi adds XRP trading amid stagnant market odds for price surge
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 18% FLAT
57m US Senate rejects resolution to limit Trump’s war powers on Iran
✓ 21h Iran halts US talks unless Washington admits defeat, says deputy speaker
Likely NO
Meetings with Iran by april 30
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 3% FLAT
1h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz over ceasefire breaches, complicating US talks
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Iran halts oil exports as Strait of Hormuz blockade impacts prices
Likely NO
ECB interest rates in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Hezbollah commits to ceasefire if Israel complies, diplomatic talks possible
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h Trump reveals ‘gift from China’ on seized Iranian tanker amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Silver price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Bank of japan decision in april 2026 0% FLAT
1h Iran war boosts European solar demand, pressures silver, oil prices
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
✓ 41h US intercepts Iranian oil supertankers, escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h IRGC Navy seizes container ship in Strait of Hormuz, contradicts Trump claims
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Israeli airstrike in Gaza kills five civilians, raises regional tensions
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Gulf state military action against Iran 4% FLAT
1h State Department urges Americans to exit Middle East amid Iran tensions
Likely NO
Iran peace deals
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 16% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 16% FLAT
1h US intercepts Iranian oil tankers, complicating peace deal prospects
Likely NO
Fed decisions from march to june
1 article
Developing
17%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 16% FLAT
1h Treasury yields rise amid US-Iran standoff; traders eye April PMI data
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 21h Oil tops $100 as Iranian boats fire on ships in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
XRP price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h GraniteShares launching 3x leveraged XRP ETFs amid $55M inflow
Likely NO
Netanyahu out of power
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
2h Israel Supreme Court chaos adds pressure on Netanyahu amid inquiry demands
Likely NO
XRP price on april 15
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h Regulators scrutinize $3T private credit sector, raising S&P 500 risk concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h Kevin Warsh nominated as Fed Chair, Bitcoin traders eye Clarity Act impact
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 6% FLAT
2h Israeli army launches interceptor missile near Lebanon amid Hezbollah operations
Likely NO
USD.AI FDV after launch
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Bitcoin holds above $68K amid US-Iran tensions ahead of April 24 resolution
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
2h US uses nearly 50% of Patriot interceptors in Iran conflict, munitions strain mounts