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22h Lufthansa to resume Israel flights in June, easing airspace closure concerns
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
22h Lufthansa to resume Israel flights in June, easing airspace closure concerns
▼ Israel airspace closure
21% (was 31%, ▼10¢ in 22h)
NO ▲8¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
· 16h ago
16%
▼8¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 100% FLAT
✓ 3916h Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Governor, likely next Fed Chair
YES ▲8¢
Next UK prime minister in 2026
1 article
· 20h ago
21%
▲8¢
⚡ Starmer out timing 48% FLAT
✓ 620h Wes Streeting eyes Labour leadership as Starmer faces potential ouster by 2026
YES ▲6¢
Starmer out timing
2 articles
· 4h ago
44%
▲6¢
4h Wes Streeting prepares to challenge Keir Starmer amid Labour Party turmoil
✓ 623h Wes Streeting secures MP backing, eyes Labour leadership challenge
NO ▲3¢
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼3¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 14 0% FLAT
✓ 34h Bitcoin ETF outflows hit $635M amid Middle East tensions
YES ▲2¢
Warships through strait of hormuz by may 31
1 article
· 15h ago
34%
▲2¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 32% FLAT
15h UK deploys HMS Dragon to Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
NO ▲2¢
S&P 500 predictions for week of may 4, 2026
1 article
· 16h ago
10%
▼2¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 12% FLAT
✓ 516h US alleges secret Chinese arms sales to Iran amid regional tensions
YES ▲2¢
S&P 500 up or down on may 7
1 article
· 17h ago
8%
▲2¢
✓ 217h S&P 500 hits all-time high amid easing geopolitical tensions
YES ▲2¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by june
1 article
· 17h ago
58%
▲2¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 56% FLAT
17h Iran confirms no nuclear talks with US amid diplomatic stalemate
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 1d ago
3%
▼2¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions above for may 13 100% FLAT
✓ 71d Bitcoin hits $80k, selling pressure eases as short-term losses drop
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin all time high predictions
1 article
· 1d ago
3%
▼2¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 81d Charles Schwab launches Bitcoin services for 50M customers, boosting crypto adoption
NO ▲1¢
Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 6h ago
10%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by june 26% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal 11% FLAT
6h Iran ‘frighteningly close’ to nuclear weapons, warns US energy secretary
YES ▲1¢
Israel strikes in 2026
1 article
· 6h ago
5%
▲1¢
⚡ Israel ceasefire extension 4% FLAT
✓ 26h Hezbollah escalates conflict with three attacks on Israeli forces
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran peace deal
1 article
· 13h ago
5%
▼1¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 3% FLAT
13h Iran conflict impacts energy markets as Trump heads to China for talks
YES ▲1¢
GameStop acquisition of ebay
1 article
· 16h ago
17%
▲1¢
✓ 216h GameStop’s $56B bid for eBay rejected, market doubts acquisition success
YES ▲1¢
Cerebras IPO market cap predictions
2 articles
· 18h ago
3%
▲1¢
✓ 318h Cerebras Systems sets IPO price, targets $48.8B valuation amid high demand
✓ 219h Arm and SoftBank approach Cerebras for acquisition ahead of IPO
NO ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
· 19h ago
7%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 0% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 44% FLAT
✓ 719h CENTCOM enforces Hormuz blockade, impacting market expectations
YES ▲1¢
NVIDIA price predictions for may 2026
2 articles
· 20h ago
96%
▲1¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 86% FLAT
✓ 420h Nvidia market cap surpasses $5.5T as stock hits record high
✓ 221h Nvidia market cap hits $5.4T despite zero China revenue amid US export controls
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic by may
1 article
· 22h ago
7%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 44% FLAT
22h Iran halts crude exports as US sanctions impact Strait of Hormuz traffic
Likely NO
Xi meets with Iranian officials by may 15
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 24% FLAT
1h Iran’s Hormuz closure threatens global trade, raises hunger crisis fears
✓ 41h Trump, Xi agree to keep Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
SpaceX public ticker predictions
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ SpaceX IPO predictions 70% FLAT
1h SpaceX IPO anticipation grows with June 2026 target amid market interest
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
28%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump project freedom restart dates 2% FLAT
2h Iran restores missile capabilities, raising US military escalation risks
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit
4 articles
· 2h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 0% FLAT
✓ 42h Ship seized off UAE coast, heading toward Iran amid regional tensions
15h Iran bypasses US blockade of Hormuz via Caspian Sea, rail to China
✓ 321h Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, barring US weapons passage
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors
4 articles
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel withdraws from lebanon 10% FLAT
2h Israel strikes Hezbollah in southern Lebanon amid ongoing conflict
16h Saudi Arabia launches airstrikes on Iran, escalating regional conflict
19h Iran conflict raises airspace closure concerns in Middle East
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for may
1 article
· 6h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on may 14 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 86h Solana drops 5%, Bitcoin below $80K amid US-China tensions over Taiwan
Likely NO
Trump project freedom restart dates
1 article
· 9h ago
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz ship transit 47% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic by may 0% FLAT
9h Iran deploys submarines to Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
Likely NO
WTI crude oil predictions for may 8, 2026
2 articles
· 9h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 2% FLAT
9h US embargo on Hormuz Strait impacts Cuba’s energy supply
14h Middle East conflict closes Strait of Hormuz, spikes crude oil prices
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
1 article
· 19h ago
5%
▼0¢
19h Iran conflict closes Strait of Hormuz, cutting oil supply by 12.8M bpd
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
1 article
· 22h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 3% FLAT
22h US-Israeli conflict with Iran disrupts oil markets, Turkey hikes inflation forecast
Likely NO
Fed rate cut timing
1 article
· 22h ago
2%
▼0¢
✓ 222h Wall Street inflation fears rise as CPI hits highest since 2022
Likely YES
Trump's xi summit attendance
1 article
· 12h ago
8%
✓ 912h Melania Trump confirmed at Trump-Xi summit in China
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
· 15h ago
17%
▼0¢
✓ 815h Netanyahu’s secret UAE visit amid Iran conflict signals stronger military ties
23h Israeli strikes on Iranian universities escalate conflict, impact peace deal prospects
Likely NO
Netanyahu out
2 articles
· 16h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Next Israeli prime minister 40% FLAT
⚡ Next leader out of power before 2027 0% FLAT
✓ 416h Knesset dissolution vote looms, threatening Netanyahu’s coalition stability
✓ 323h Netanyahu’s coalition moves to dissolve Knesset amid political instability
Likely NO
Fed decision june and july
2 articles
· 19h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026 70% FLAT
⚡ Fed rate cut timing 2% FLAT
✓ 219h Fed’s Collins warns inflation to persist, no rate cuts expected through 2026
✓ 419h Fed likely to maintain restrictive policy amid inflation concerns, Collins says
Likely NO
Iran airspace closure
1 article
· 1d ago
28%
▼0¢
⚡ US invasion of Iran 28% FLAT
✓ 31d Iran threatens US retaliation as Trump considers ending ceasefire
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 1d ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026 3% FLAT
✓ 61d Trump criticizes Iran plan, hints at possible US military escalation