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4m Trump to hold national security meeting on Iran stalemate amid Bitcoin market watch
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
4m Trump to hold national security meeting on Iran stalemate amid Bitcoin market watch
▲ Bitcoin price predictions for april 24
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 4m)
NO ▲2¢
Fed chair confirmation predictions
1 article
Developing
89%
▼2¢
⚡ Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation 1% FLAT
50m Powell’s final Fed press conference boosts Warsh confirmation prospects
YES ▲2¢
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
1 article
Developing
17%
▲2¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 15% FLAT
59m Dollar steady amid potential US-Iran talks, central bank decisions
NO ▲2¢
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
1 article
Developing
67%
▼2¢
1h 4M barrels of Iranian oil pass US blockade, six tankers turned back
NO ▲2¢
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
Developing
92%
▼2¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in june 94% FLAT
✓ 31h Apple iPhone sales surge 13% in March, low-end demand hits margins
NO ▲2¢
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
Developing
92%
▼2¢
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 94% FLAT
1h Apple shares fall 1.7% amid US-China trade tensions, Nvidia market cap lead widens
NO ▲2¢
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
92%
▼2¢
1h Northland downgrades AMD, highlights Nvidia’s AI dominance
YES ▲1¢
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
2 articles
Developing
17%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
✓ 447m Seven ships transit Strait of Hormuz amid continued low activity
✓ 21h Germany’s Merz confirms partial mining of Strait of Hormuz, impacting ship transit
YES ▲1¢
Iran coup attempt
1 article
Developing
17%
▲1¢
55m Iran bans Israeli-affiliated ships in Strait of Hormuz control plan
YES ▲1¢
Crude oil price predictions by end of june
1 article
Developing
17%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
✓ 21h US sanctions Chinese refinery, targets Iranian oil shipping amid tensions
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
54m Hezbollah adopts Ukraine-style drone tactics, complicating Israel ceasefire talks
✓ 21h Lebanese president calls for ceasefire as prerequisite for Israel talks
✓ 21h Hezbollah refusal to disarm complicates Israel ceasefire prospects
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 24
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
57m Strait of Hormuz reopens under restrictions amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
Developing
69%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 40% FLAT
1h Labour insiders resist inquiry into Starmer’s Mandelson appointment amid vetting issues
Likely YES
Crude oil all time high by april 30
2 articles
Developing
1%
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
1m Iran blocks Strait of Hormuz, oil markets show limited reaction
56m Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, oil prices rise
Likely NO
Ethereum price on april 24
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
4m Tom Lee, Bitmine amass over 5M Ethereum, hit “Alchemy of 5%” target
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 1% FLAT
✓ 36m Iran integrates caspian sea into supply chain amid hormuz tensions
2h Iran mines Strait of Hormuz, reroutes global shipping through national waters
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
✓ 37m BitMine boosts Ethereum holdings to 5.078M ETH, 4.2% of total supply
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 2% FLAT
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 17% FLAT
✓ 213m Iranian foreign minister’s Moscow visit complicates US-Iran diplomatic prospects
✓ 358m Iran FM leaves Islamabad without US meeting, marking diplomatic setback
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ US acquisition of Iranian enriched uranium 6% FLAT
20m Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, complicating US uranium talks
1h Bitcoin hits 12-week high at $79,488 amid Iran nuclear proposal talks
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
27m Iran aims to export oil to China via rail, bypassing Strait of Hormuz
1h Oil prices climb amid stalled US-Iran peace talks, traders reassess exposure
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's tenure 6% FLAT
29m Eisenkot urges Zionist opposition to unite against Netanyahu coalition
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
57%
▼0¢
✓ 534m US naval blockade pressures Iran into drastic oil export measures
1h Iranian tankers bypass US blockade, reach India via coastal routes
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
✓ 2143m Strategy buys 3,273 Bitcoin for $255M, reinforcing institutional demand
1h Bitcoin retreats from $79,500 as oil surge triggers crypto selloff
1h Silver price forecast cut to $78/oz for 2026, $73.1/oz for 2027
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
1h Goldman lifts oil forecast to $90 Brent, $83 WTI amid Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
✓ 51h Israeli military strikes Hezbollah sites in Lebanon amid ceasefire doubts
Likely NO
Iran uranium surrender
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
1h Iran offers to delay nuclear deal for Strait of Hormuz reopening
Likely NO
Trump and putin meeting locations
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
✓ 21h EU bans Russia-based crypto providers in latest sanctions package
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 3% FLAT
1h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz, Trump open to phone negotiations
1h US-Iran peace deal odds plummet as diplomatic progress stalls
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
1h US-Iran nuclear deal draft enters negotiations amid trader skepticism
Likely NO
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ GPT-5.5 release dates 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Musk, Altman trial may impact OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release timeline
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
✓ 31h Maersk warns of unpredictable security in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 21h EU energy bill surges $32B amid Iran conflict, inflation pressures persist
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Iran backs Hezbollah, complicating Israel-Lebanon diplomacy prospects
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
Developing
3%
⚡ Who will meet with Iran 1% FLAT
2m Trump to hold national security meeting on Iran stalemate
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
1h US-Iran talks collapse, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely
Likely NO
XRP price in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ XRP price in april 0% FLAT
2h Clarity Act stalled in Senate, XRP traders see slim odds for $2.6 April target
Likely NO
Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 3% FLAT
2h US sanctions Hengli Petrochemical over Iranian oil purchases
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
2h Ethereum Foundation sells $33.5M ETH, retains $214.8M amid market skepticism