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16m First LNG shipment through Hormuz signals possible Middle East de-escalation
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
16m First LNG shipment through Hormuz signals possible Middle East de-escalation
▲ Bitcoin price predictions in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 16m)
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
16m 1h Bitcoin contract YES amid US-Iran tensions
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price on april 24
1 article
· 3h ago
100%
▲100¢
3h US economic confidence hits lowest since Nov 2023 amid trade, Iran tensions
NO ▲2¢
US withdrawal from NATO
1 article
· 2h ago
17%
▼2¢
✓ 22h Rubio rejects Iran’s tolling demands in Strait of Hormuz, prolonging standoff
NO ▲2¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 2h ago
17%
▼2¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 58% FLAT
2h UN Security Council deadlocked on Strait of Hormuz reopening
NO ▲2¢
Iranian demands Trump
1 article
· 2h ago
17%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's Iranian demands 3% FLAT
✓ 22h US warns firms servicing Iran’s airlines of potential sanctions
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
2 articles
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
1h Iran demands US-Israeli guarantees for Gulf security before peace talks
2h EU considers sanctions on Israeli entities over Russian grain imports
Likely NO
Trump's Iranian demands
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
✓ 31h Rubio accuses Iran of using Strait of Hormuz as “economic nuclear weapon”
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Hezbollah adopts Ukraine-style drones, complicating Israel ceasefire talks
Likely NO
US escorts in hormuz
2 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action 100% FLAT
1h Iran accuses US of piracy over naval blockade amid Hormuz tensions
2h US deploys three aircraft carriers to Middle East amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
1h Ethereum faces bearish outlook as $2.4K resistance holds firm
Likely NO
Bitcoin price in april
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
2h Novogratz: US retail Bitcoin demand resurges with ETF inflows, Strategy buys
Likely NO
Starmer out prediction markets
1 article
· 2h ago
69%
▼0¢
2h Labour MPs soften stance on welfare cuts, boosting Starmer’s leadership stability
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
2h Israel threatens to “burn” Lebanon as Hezbollah rejects peace talks
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap 92% FLAT
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 2026 100% FLAT
2h Nvidia hits $5.2T market cap, poised to be largest by April 30
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's tenure 6% FLAT
2h Bennett and Lapid form alliance to challenge Netanyahu’s leadership
Likely NO
Silver price predictions by end of june
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Goldman warns of petrochemical shock, crude oil market eyes supply disruptions
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
✓ 42h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz, hints at US talks by April 30
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Iran peace deal prospects dim as US-Israel conflict continues
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
3h US and Iran clash at UN amid nuclear deal deadline tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
· 3h ago
6%
▼0¢
✓ 23h US blockade threatens Iran oil supply, potential crude price spike by June
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
0%
just now Kazimir hints at possible ECB rate hike amid Iran conflict pressures
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO timing
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
5m Tech stocks hit bear territory as US-Iran tensions rise, Nvidia remains strong
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
9m BlackRock’s Larry Fink predicts Bitcoin could hit $500K–$700K
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
12m Lazarus Group linked to 10 crypto protocol exploits in past week
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
4 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
18m Japan’s 40-year bond yield falls amid BOJ rate cut speculation
✓ 31h Japan signals potential forex intervention amid yen weakness and oil price impact
1h Japan 10-year JGB yield rises amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
23m US sends third aircraft carrier as Iran talks collapse, diplomatic freeze looms
Likely NO
Ethereum price prediction for 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
24m GSR’s Crypto Core3 ETF debuts on NASDAQ with Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana
Likely NO
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
27m GOP senators doubt Hegseth’s leadership amid Pentagon turmoil
Likely NO
Claude 4.7 release dates
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
32m Anthropic’s Claude AI deletes PocketOS production database
Likely NO
Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
✓ 236m First LNG shipment exits Strait of Hormuz since 2026 Iran war began
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
✓ 241m Brent crude nears $110 as US-Iran talks stall
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
✓ 31h US rejects Iran proposal, nuclear deal by April 30 unlikely
✓ 31h Trump rejects Iran proposal, dims chance of US-Iran meeting by June 2026
3h Trump doubts Iran’s nuclear intentions, dims hope for June US-Iran talks
Likely NO
Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Israel and Lebanon pursue peace talks, Hezbollah excluded
Likely NO
2026 midterms balance of power
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Schumer pushes for sixth War Powers vote to end Iran war this week
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
1h Trump team reviews Iranian peace proposal amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 1% FLAT
1h US-Iran nuclear deal talks stall, odds plummet
1h Iran and US blockades of Hormuz fail to spike oil price expectations
1h Iran blockade of Strait of Hormuz disrupts global oil transit routes
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
✓ 21h USS Rafael Peralta intercepts tanker bound for Iran amid Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Stablecoins depeg before 2027
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
1h Morgan Stanley offers stablecoin issuers access to $10M money market fund
Likely NO
Best Chinese AI company by april 2026
1 article
Developing
84%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump China visit 0% FLAT
1h US accuses Chinese firms of AI theft, impacting Alibaba AI market expectations
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 3% FLAT
1h Iran fears inevitable protests amid economic crisis: Iran Intl