Prediction Markets

Y▲2

1h

Bitcoin hits $78K after US-Iran ceasefire extension

Y▲3

2h

Crypto market hit by $415M liquidation wave amid US-Iran tensions

Y▲3

2h

Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination boosts Bitcoin sentiment amid crypto holdings disclosure

Y▲3

✓ 24h

Russia’s State Duma passes crypto bill, Bitcoin demand may rise

N▲1

6h

BlackRock buys $900M in Bitcoin, boosting April 2026 $80K odds

Y▲8

✓ 27h

Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $11.8M amid geopolitical stabilization

Y▲15

✓ 49h

Bitcoin surges past $77K as $40M in shorts liquidated amid US-Iran tensions

Y▲26

10h

Goldman Sachs files for Bitcoin Premium Income ETF amid market volatility

Y▲26

11h

Strategy makes 3rd-largest BTC purchase with $1.1B acquisition

Y▲35

12h

Bitcoin falls below $75,500 amid US-Iran tensions

Y▲35

12h

Bitcoin exchange reserves hit lowest since 2017, institutional interest grows

N▲1

3h

US blocks Iraq dollar shipments to pressure Iran-backed militias

Y↑

6h

Iran Revolutionary Guards warn of ‘silent battlefield’ amid ceasefire doubts

N▲1

8h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifts focus to diplomacy

N▲1

8h

US blocks Iraq dollar shipments to pressure Iran-backed militias: WSJ

Y↑

2m

Iran tensions, stock bubble fears drive US recession odds by 2026

Y↑

25m

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, shifting focus to diplomacy

Y↑

43m

Trump extends Iran ceasefire as Tehran showcases missiles in parade

N↑

1h

Trump claims Iran “collapsing financially” amid US naval blockade

N↑

1h

Iran maps Persian Gulf undersea cables, raising cyber threat concerns

Y↑

2h

Trump extends US-Iran ceasefire, but formal peace deal remains unlikely

N↑

2h

Iranian President’s praise for Revolutionary Guard dims ceasefire hopes by April 30

N▲1

✓ 64h

IRGC gunboat attacks container ship off Oman amid ceasefire extension

Y↑

✓ 54h

UN chief sees Iran–US ceasefire extension as diplomatic opportunity

N↑

5h

Iran ready to negotiate if US lifts naval blockade, market odds drop

N▲1

✓ 45h

Iran open to talks if US lifts blockade, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

N↑

✓ 26h

Iran rejects ceasefire extension, US blames Mojtaba Khamenei

N▲1

✓ 136h

Trump extends Iran ceasefire indefinitely, naval blockade remains

N▲1

✓ 27h

Iran ready to strike as US ceasefire odds fall

N▲1

✓ 27h

Iran rejects US talks, ceasefire by April 30 unlikely

N▲1

7h

Trump cites Iran’s cash crunch amid delayed military salaries

N▲1

8h

US-Iran compromise deal seen as inevitable despite market skepticism

N▲1

✓ 28h

Iran calls US blockade an ‘act of war’ as ceasefire chances dwindle

N▲1

9h

CIA operatives killed in Mexico amid Iran ceasefire doubts

N↑

10h

Rumors of coup attempt in Iran highlight factional divides in Tehran

Y↑

✓ 310h

Oil prices dip amid potential US-Iran ceasefire extension

Y↑

11h

White House claims victory in Operation Epic Fury, market skeptical of April 30 end

N▲2

✓ 311h

Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates US-Iran tensions, disrupts energy supply

N▲2

11h

Pakistan’s diplomatic push impacts US-Iran ceasefire odds as deadline nears

N▲5

12h

Military planners meet in London to discuss reopening Strait of Hormuz

N▲8

14h

Iran cancels talks in Pakistan, escalating US tensions

N↑

27m

US-Iran talks collapse over uranium, ceasefire deal by April 30 unlikely

N↑

✓ 41h

Iran seizes two vessels, maintains control in Persian Gulf

Y↑

2h

Iran war disrupts global oil supply, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts markets

Y↑

✓ 37h

Trump claims Iran is financially collapsing, markets remain skeptical

Y↑

8h

Iran faces oil shut-ins in 15 days amid sanctions, war damage

Y↑

12h

Iran shifts to military-security governance amid rising instability risks

N↑

5h

Trump urges Fed nominee Warsh to cut rates despite low market confidence

Y↑

11h

Kevin Warsh calls for regime change at Fed, eyes rate cuts

N↑

✓ 211h

Warsh’s Senate testimony boosts US 10Y yields, dims Fed rate cut hopes