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✓ 23h Trump plans extended Hormuz blockade, WTI crude oil hits $160 in April
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 23h Trump plans extended Hormuz blockade, WTI crude oil hits $160 in April
▼ WTI crude oil price april 2026
45% (was 50%, ▼5¢ in 3h)
NO ▲4¢
Bitcoin price predictions by 2026
4 articles
Developing
4%
▼4¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 11% FLAT
✓ 21h Bitcoin steady above $77K despite ETF outflows, Powell’s FOMC meeting looming
2h Paul Tudor Jones calls Bitcoin best inflation hedge amid Middle East tensions
4h Czech National Bank eyes 1% Bitcoin reserve allocation for improved returns
NO ▲3¢
James comey arrest predictions
3 articles
Developing
75%
▼3¢
✓ 26m James Comey indicted, faces arrest warrant for allegedly threatening Trump
2h Ty Cobb calls Comey indictment ‘vindictive,’ predicts dismissal
✓ 35h Justice Department indicts former FBI Director Comey over threats to Trump
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price targets
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼2¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% FLAT
1h Bitcoin conviction buyers grow 69% in Q1 2026, but $80K target fades
✓ 25h Bitcoin spot volumes hit 2-year low amid US-Iran tensions
6h 75% of institutions see Bitcoin as undervalued, potential buying interest grows
NO ▲2¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 6h ago
1%
▼2¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
6h Iran asserts defense rights, casting doubt on US-Iran ceasefire stability
NO ▲1¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
1%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 2% FLAT
1h Yemen backs Iran, warns US against military actions in escalating conflict
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
· 2h ago
23%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran uranium stockpile surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 32h Iran issues military warning over US vessel seizures amid uranium tensions
NO ▲1¢
US recession 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
85%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed decisions in june and july 4% FLAT
4h US-Iran tensions heighten economic uncertainty, recession fears grow
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
23%
▲1¢
✓ 54h Trump warns Iran amid Hegseth’s Capitol Hill testimony
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair
2 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed chair confirmation 92% FLAT
2h Powell may stay at Fed past chair term, impacting Warsh confirmation timeline
✓ 34h Jerome Powell’s final Fed rate decision could come April 29 amid regime change
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
2 articles
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 22h Netanyahu not invited to Washington amid US-Iran tensions
5h Hezbollah’s Qassem rejects talks with Israel, vows response to aggression
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
3 articles
Developing
100%
2m Tesla Q1 earnings beat expectations, Nvidia likely to remain top by market cap
4h Missile strikes in Qatar spike costs, impact Nvidia supply chain
✓ 25h Iran Strait closure raises market tensions, Bitcoin faces potential volatility
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
Developing
99%
▼0¢
⚡ S&P 500 movement on april 29 0% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 99% FLAT
8m Fed rate decision, Powell speech coincide with Middle East tensions
2h Tech giants report earnings today; Fed rate decision at 2 PM ET
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
✓ 216m US spends $25B on Iran conflict, ceasefire unlikely by April 30
55m IAEA in talks with Russia on Iran’s enriched uranium transfer
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Jerome powell out as Fed chair 5% FLAT
24m Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination signals likely Powell exit by June 30
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
1h Russia scales back Victory Day parade citing Ukraine threat, ceasefire hopes dim
4h Putin scales back Victory Day parade amid Ukrainian strike concerns
Likely NO
Fed decision april and june
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
1h Treasury yields hit highest since 2026 amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
1h Democrats consider lawsuit against Trump over Iran conflict
Likely NO
US x Iran ceasefire extensions
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
✓ 71h White House considers extending Iran blockade, impacting ceasefire odds
✓ 21h Trump urges Iran deal amid potential US blockade extension
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
4 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Iran, Hezbollah regroup during Israel ceasefire, warns Israeli spokesperson
✓ 24h Israeli strike in Bint Jbeil kills two, including Lebanese soldier
5h Trump extends Israel-Lebanon ceasefire as Hezbollah launches rockets
Likely NO
Gold price by end of june
1 article
· 2h ago
5%
▼0¢
2h Investor bets against gold as Fed meeting approaches
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
3 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
3h Iranian embassies recruit for “sacrifice of life” campaign amid US tensions
✓ 35h UN reports Iran executes 21, arrests 4,000 amid Israel conflict crackdown
✓ 45h Iran’s rial hits record low amid US-Israel ceasefire, oil prices expected to rise
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Binance Gold Futures hit $100B volume, traders eye $8,000 gold target
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's visits to pakistan 8% FLAT
✓ 33h Pakistan PM Sharif mediates US-Iran peace amid Trump visit speculation
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 4h ago
0%
▼0¢
4h Strait of Hormuz remains closed despite Iran’s reopening announcement
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors by april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h French Rafale jets intercept Iranian drones targeting UAE bases
Likely NO
Solana price predictions in april
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 25h Circle mints $500M USDC on Solana amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
· 5h ago
8%
▼0¢
5h UAE oil stocks plummet 66% to record lows amid US-Iran conflict
Likely YES
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
8%
3m Iran’s rial hits record low as US naval blockade tightens economic grip
Likely NO
Which party will win the house in 2026?
1 article
· 6h ago
0%
▼0¢
6h DOJ cuts voting rights staff, shifts focus to voter fraud investigations