Earn with Nexo
✓ 31h James Comey indicted, faces arrest warrant for allegedly threatening Trump
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 31h James Comey indicted, faces arrest warrant for allegedly threatening Trump
▲ James comey arrest predictions
98% (was 78%, ▲20¢ in 1h)
YES ▲20¢
James comey arrest predictions
2 articles
Developing
98%
▲20¢
✓ 31h 3h Ty Cobb calls Comey indictment ‘vindictive,’ predicts dismissal
NO ▲6¢
WTI crude oil price april 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
44%
▼6¢
✓ 25h Trump plans extended Hormuz blockade, WTI crude oil hits $160 in April
NO ▲3¢
Bitcoin price predictions by 2026
4 articles
· 2h ago
5%
▼3¢
⚡ Bitcoin price targets 11% FLAT
✓ 22h Bitcoin steady above $77K despite ETF outflows, Powell’s FOMC meeting looming
3h Paul Tudor Jones calls Bitcoin best inflation hedge amid Middle East tensions
6h Czech National Bank eyes 1% Bitcoin reserve allocation for improved returns
YES ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
4%
▲1¢
2h Russia scales back Victory Day parade citing Ukraine threat, ceasefire hopes dim
5h Putin scales back Victory Day parade amid Ukrainian strike concerns
YES ▲1¢
Military action against Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Trump's visits to pakistan 8% FLAT
✓ 34h Pakistan PM Sharif mediates US-Iran peace amid Trump visit speculation
NO ▲1¢
US recession 2026
1 article
· 5h ago
85%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed decisions in june and july 4% FLAT
5h US-Iran tensions heighten economic uncertainty, recession fears grow
Likely NO
Trump out as president
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Democrats consider lawsuit against Trump over Iran conflict
Likely NO
US x Iran ceasefire extensions
2 articles
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 92h White House considers extending Iran blockade, impacting ceasefire odds
✓ 33h Trump urges Iran deal amid potential US blockade extension
Likely NO
Jerome powell out as Fed chair
2 articles
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed chair confirmation 92% FLAT
✓ 23h Powell may stay at Fed past chair term, impacting Warsh confirmation timeline
✓ 35h Jerome Powell’s final Fed rate decision could come April 29 amid regime change
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 3h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
✓ 23h Netanyahu not invited to Washington amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
2 articles
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Iran, Hezbollah regroup during Israel ceasefire, warns Israeli spokesperson
✓ 26h Israeli strike in Bint Jbeil kills two, including Lebanese soldier
Likely NO
Gold price by end of june
1 article
· 4h ago
5%
▼0¢
4h Investor bets against gold as Fed meeting approaches
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by date
1 article
· 4h ago
22%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium stockpile surrender 0% FLAT
✓ 34h Iran issues military warning over US vessel seizures amid uranium tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 24h Binance Gold Futures hit $100B volume, traders eye $8,000 gold target
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 5h ago
0%
▼0¢
5h Strait of Hormuz remains closed despite Iran’s reopening announcement
Likely YES
Bitcoin price predictions in april
3 articles
Developing
99%
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 29 0% FLAT
3m Bitcoin falls below $76,000 amid geopolitical tensions, technical pressures
1h Fed rate decision, Powell speech coincide with Middle East tensions
3h Tech giants report earnings today; Fed rate decision at 2 PM ET
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions in april 100% FLAT
12m Canada’s proposed crypto ATM ban impacts Bitcoin $80K April market
2h Bitcoin conviction buyers grow 69% in Q1 2026, but $80K target fades
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
3 articles
Developing
99.9%
▼0¢
20m Microsoft stock suffers worst quarterly decline since 2008 crisis
1h Tesla Q1 earnings beat expectations, Nvidia likely to remain top by market cap
5h Missile strikes in Qatar spike costs, impact Nvidia supply chain
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
⚡ US x Iran ceasefire extensions 0% FLAT
25m US warns NATO on Iran support, ceasefire prospects dim
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's blockade of hormuz announcement 44% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic normalization 10% FLAT
✓ 229m Trump rejects Iran’s offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz, tensions remain high
✓ 55h Trump warns Iran amid Hegseth’s Capitol Hill testimony
Likely NO
Solana price predictions in april
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
35m Solana RWA ecosystem hits $2.5B ATH with nearly 200,000 holders
✓ 26h Circle mints $500M USDC on Solana amid geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions in april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
39m US-Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, crude oil prices soar 30%
Likely NO
Fed decision april and june
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
2h Treasury yields hit highest since 2026 amid US-Iran conflict
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions
1 article
Developing
100%
⚡ Israel withdrawal from lebanon 0% FLAT
5m Hezbollah drone deployment in Lebanon complicates Israel’s security strategy
Likely NO
Israel withdrawal from lebanon
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
46m Israeli strikes kill 2,534 in Lebanon amid military escalation
1h IDF drone strike kills Hezbollah member in southern Lebanon amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
8%
▼0¢
1h Iran’s rial hits record low as US naval blockade tightens economic grip
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
2 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
✓ 21h US spends $25B on Iran conflict, ceasefire unlikely by April 30
2h IAEA in talks with Russia on Iran’s enriched uranium transfer
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Jerome powell out as Fed chair 5% FLAT
1h Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination signals likely Powell exit by June 30
Likely NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 2% FLAT
2h Yemen backs Iran, warns US against military actions in escalating conflict
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
3 articles
Developing
24%
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 25% FLAT
7m Iran demands US concessions, narrowing path to diplomatic talks
4h Iranian embassies recruit for “sacrifice of life” campaign amid US tensions
✓ 36h UN reports Iran executes 21, arrests 4,000 amid Israel conflict crackdown
Likely NO
Iran military action against neighbors by april 30
1 article
· 5h ago
100%
▼0¢
5h French Rafale jets intercept Iranian drones targeting UAE bases