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1h Powell defends Fed autonomy amid political pressure for rate cuts
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
1h Powell defends Fed autonomy amid political pressure for rate cuts
▲ Fed decision april and june
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
⚡ Fed rate decisions: 0% FLAT
YES ▲100¢
Fed decision april and june
2 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
1h 6h Treasury yields hit highest since 2026 amid US-Iran conflict
YES ▲100¢
Fed chair confirmation
2 articles
Developing
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
✓ 21h Kevin Warsh to become FOMC Chair as Powell stays on as Fed Governor
✓ 73h Senate Banking advances Warsh nomination as DOJ drops Powell probe
YES ▲100¢
Solana price predictions in april
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▲100¢
4h Solana RWA ecosystem hits $2.5B ATH with nearly 200,000 holders
YES ▲22¢
James comey arrest predictions
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▲22¢
✓ 44h James Comey indicted, faces arrest warrant for allegedly threatening Trump
YES ▲1¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
21m Powell to remain Fed governor despite Trump’s ‘unprecedented’ criticism
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate decisions
5 articles
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
46m Fed rate hike odds rise amid memory shortage, energy disruptions
2h Fed signals elevated inflation, no rate cuts expected in 2026 amid energy price rise
✓ 42h Fed meeting sees highest dissent since 1992, no rate cut expected
NO ▲1¢
Bitcoin price targets
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼1¢
1h Bitcoin ETFs see $823M inflows led by BlackRock’s IBIT amid US-Iran tensions
3h Canada’s proposed crypto ATM ban impacts Bitcoin $80K April market
6h Bitcoin conviction buyers grow 69% in Q1 2026, but $80K target fades
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
2 articles
· 2h ago
6%
▼1¢
2h Ukraine inks defense deals with Germany, Norway, Netherlands amid conflict
6h Russia scales back Victory Day parade citing Ukraine threat, ceasefire hopes dim
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic normalization
1 article
· 3h ago
9%
▼1¢
⚡ Trump's blockade of hormuz announcement 44% FLAT
3h Chinese naval fleet heads to Strait of Hormuz amid US blockade tensions
YES ▲1¢
Iran uranium stockpile surrender
1 article
· 3h ago
24%
▲1¢
✓ 33h Netanyahu to discuss Iran proposal with Trump after rejection
NO ▲1¢
WTI crude oil price predictions for may 2026
1 article
· 3h ago
2%
▼1¢
3h DeFi raises $300M for Kelp’s rsETH holders after exploit, no ETH price impact
YES ▲1¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 3h ago
99.7%
▲1¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for may 99% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 29 0% FLAT
3h Bitcoin falls below $76,000 amid geopolitical tensions, technical pressures
4h Fed rate decision, Powell speech coincide with Middle East tensions
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
· 3h ago
8%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Iran’s economic crisis deepens as state media issues blunt warnings
4h Iran’s rial hits record low as US naval blockade tightens economic grip
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions in april 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▼0¢
4h US-Iran conflict disrupts Strait of Hormuz, crude oil prices soar 30%
Likely NO
Israel withdrawal from lebanon
2 articles
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
4h Israeli strikes kill 2,534 in Lebanon amid military escalation
4h IDF drone strike kills Hezbollah member in southern Lebanon amid rising tensions
Likely NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium
2 articles
· 5h ago
8%
▼0¢
✓ 25h US spends $25B on Iran conflict, ceasefire unlikely by April 30
5h IAEA in talks with Russia on Iran’s enriched uranium transfer
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for may
1 article
· 5h ago
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Jerome powell out as Fed chair 5% FLAT
5h Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination signals likely Powell exit by June 30
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
3 articles
Developing
100%
⚡ Largest company by market cap predictions 91% FLAT
3m Amazon Q1 earnings beat raises questions on Nvidia’s market cap lead
3h Microsoft stock suffers worst quarterly decline since 2008 crisis
4h Tesla Q1 earnings beat expectations, Nvidia likely to remain top by market cap
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 1% FLAT
29m Iran threatens to capture US soldiers, sink ships amid deadlock
Likely NO
Bitcoin price above on may 1
1 article
Developing
99.7%
▼0¢
39m Eurozone confidence hits low as Bitcoin market remains steady above $68K
Likely NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
Developing
10%
▼0¢
⚡ Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions 0% FLAT
✓ 245m Trump discusses Ukraine ceasefire with Putin in phone call
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
24%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 22% FLAT
52m Iran offers combat insights to SCO allies, impacting US-Iran ceasefire outlook
1h Turkey eyes demining role in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran-US peace talks
4h US warns NATO on Iran support, ceasefire prospects dim
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
3 articles
Developing
8%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
58m Iran threatens retaliation for Khamenei’s killing amid leadership instability
2h Putin backs Iran, complicates US ceasefire hopes amid low market odds
✓ 33h Iran demands US concessions, narrowing path to diplomatic talks
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
1h IDF destroys Hezbollah rocket launcher in civilian building, escalating conflict
Likely NO
US invasion of Iran
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 1% FLAT
✓ 21h Trump hints at further action against Iran after military strikes
✓ 24h Trump rejects Iran’s offer to reopen Strait of Hormuz, tensions remain high
Likely NO
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 1% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 0% FLAT
2h Iran security council unifies on war decisions, reinforcing regime stability
Likely NO
Crude oil prices by end of june
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 1% FLAT
2h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz to US, excludes nuclear terms
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire extensions
2 articles
· 2h ago
99.8%
▼0¢
2h Israeli president mediates in Netanyahu trial, potential political exit deal
3h Hezbollah drone deployment in Lebanon complicates Israel’s security strategy
Likely NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 5h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran ceasefire 2% FLAT
5h Yemen backs Iran, warns US against military actions in escalating conflict