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Stacks introduces Dual Stacking for BTC rewards, boosting Bitcoin sentiment

Stacks · 1h ago
YES 37% ▼1¢ since publish
Dec 31 Updated just now

Stacks has introduced Dual Stacking, a feature enabling Bitcoin holders to earn BTC-denominated rewards. The market on whether Bitcoin will reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026 is now at 38% YES, up from 30% a week ago.

Dual Stacking lets Bitcoin function as a yield-generating asset through the Stacks protocol. The 38% odds reflect a notable jump in bullish sentiment over the past week, coinciding with broader institutional adoption trends. The $150,000 target holds at 10% YES, slightly down from 24 hours ago but up from 8% a week ago.

The $100,000 market trades $1,776 in daily USDC volume, while the $150,000 market has far less liquidity at $411 in daily USDC trades. It takes $10,824 to shift the $100,000 market by 5 points, suggesting reasonable depth. Only $2,129 is needed for the same move in the $150,000 market, making it vulnerable to volatility from larger trades.

Regulatory actions or macroeconomic shifts could still weigh on Bitcoin’s trajectory regardless of protocol-level developments like Dual Stacking. A YES share at 38¢ for the $100,000 target pays $1 if it hits, a 2.63x return. That bet requires confidence in strong institutional and retail adoption within the year.

Watch for BlackRock and MicroStrategy activity, along with any SEC regulatory changes. ETF inflows or additional Bitcoin purchases by these firms could move prices and shift these markets.

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Term Structure
Contract Odds Δ since publish Volume 24h
$100,000 36.5% -1¢ $6K Trade →
$150,000 9.5% 0.0¢ $1K Trade →
Updated just now