Keir Starmer is reportedly close to resigning as UK Prime Minister, with multiple outlets including the Financial Times, the Observer, and the Guardian suggesting he may announce a timeline for his departure as early as June 22, 2026.

A senior ally reportedly pegged Starmer’s chances of remaining in his leadership role at just 25%.

What triggered the crisis

The proximate cause is a by-election in Makerfield on June 18, 2026, where Andy Burnham won with 54.8% of the vote.

Burnham’s decisive victory came against a backdrop of disappointing Labour performances across local and regional elections. Senior Labour peers have reportedly begun advocating openly for a leadership transition.

Why crypto investors should pay attention

In March 2026, Starmer’s government implemented a temporary ban on crypto donations to UK political parties. That moratorium was framed as a response to concerns about foreign interference and the difficulty of tracing the origins of digital asset contributions.

Andy Burnham, the man whose by-election victory helped precipitate this crisis, has not publicly staked out detailed positions on crypto regulation. A new leader could double down on the moratorium and push for permanent restrictions on crypto in political finance, or view the ban as Starmer’s baggage and quietly let it expire.

The broader regulatory picture matters too. The UK has been positioning itself as a serious player in digital asset oversight, with the Financial Conduct Authority expanding its remit over crypto firms.

The competitive landscape for UK crypto policy

The EU’s MiCA framework is fully operational. The US has been oscillating between enforcement-heavy and legislation-friendly approaches depending on the political winds. Dubai and Singapore continue to aggressively court crypto firms with clear, business-friendly rules.

The identity of Starmer’s successor, their stance on fintech and digital assets, and whether the crypto donation moratorium gets extended, modified, or scrapped will tell the real story.