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19h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
19h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
▼ Largest company by market cap predictions
77% (was 96%, ▼19¢ in 19h)
YES ▲5¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 18h ago
36%
▲5¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
18h Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲3¢
Brazil presidential election 2026
1 article
· 19h ago
21%
▼3¢
19h Brazil Senate rejects Lula’s Supreme Court nominee, impacting 2026 election strategy
NO ▲2¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
· 15h ago
42%
▼2¢
✓ 415h Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
18h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
20h US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
NO ▲2¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
3 articles
· 16h ago
2%
▼2¢
✓ 816h DOJ ends Powell probe, reducing urgency for Warsh confirmation
✓ 220h Senate Banking Committee advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Powell’s exit likely
✓ 221h Kevin Warsh clears Senate committee, markets react to potential Fed leadership change
NO ▲2¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 18h ago
42%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% FLAT
✓ 418h Trump orders extended Iran blockade to force nuclear concessions
YES ▲2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 19h ago
13%
▲2¢
19h Putin meets Iran’s FM, complicating US-Iran diplomatic prospects
NO ▲2¢
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 19h ago
1%
▼2¢
✓ 219h Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
NO ▲2¢
Bitcoin price targets
1 article
· 20h ago
1%
▼2¢
⚡ Ethereum future price predictions 4% FLAT
20h RWA private credit on blockchain surges to $4.5B, Ethereum price outlook steady
YES ▲1¢
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 15h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
15h Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
3 articles
· 16h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
16h US Army eyes control of Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
✓ 220h Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
20h UN maritime agency rejects Iran’s toll plan for Strait of Hormuz shipping
YES ▲1¢
MegaETH market cap predictions
2 articles
· 16h ago
100%
▲1¢
TW✓ 1516h Upbit lists MEGA token with KRW, BTC, USDT trading pairs in South Korea
20h Coinbase supports MegaETH deposits ahead of April 30 token event
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 16h ago
20%
▼1¢
✓ 216h Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
NO ▲1¢
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
2 articles
· 17h ago
8%
▼1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
17h Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
19h Iran holds pro-government rallies amid regime stability concerns
YES ▲1¢
US invasion of Iran
1 article
· 20h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 32% FLAT
20h Trump discusses new Iran proposal with national security aides
NO ▲1¢
Fed decision june and july
1 article
· 21h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed rate decisions 0% FLAT
21h Fed rate hike probability for 2027 rises amid geopolitical tensions
YES ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
· 21h ago
8%
▲1¢
21h Ukrainian drones strike Russian oil refinery in Orenburg Oblast
YES ▲1¢
Gensyn FDV predictions
1 article
· 21h ago
100%
▲1¢
21h Gensyn AI token debuts on Coinbase, market skeptical of $600M valuation
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
5 articles
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 2% FLAT
9m Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta plan $710B AI investment by 2026
✓ 217h Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
✓ 518h Samsung profit surges eight-fold on AI demand, beating estimates
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
13m Google and Microsoft report strong Q1 AI-driven earnings growth
Likely NO
Fed decision april and june
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
15m Fed holds rates steady amid global risks, economic growth concerns
Likely NO
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
22m Ray Dalio warns US stagflation risk amid Iran conflict impacts inflation
✓ 220h Powell: US economy growing at ‘solid pace’ despite Iran war energy shock
✓ 620h US war in Iran costs $25B, impacting Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
Likely NO
XRP price in april
2 articles
· 15h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
15h Ripple partners with Kbank to boost XRP institutional demand in South Korea
✓ 217h Ripple partners with Kbank to deploy institutional-grade digital asset wallets
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
3 articles
· 15h ago
6%
▼0¢
15h CENTCOM to brief Trump on unprecedented military options against Iran
✓ 216h Iran stockpiling missiles to counter US attacks, says Senator Kennedy
✓ 418h US plans Middle East deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles against Iran
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 16h ago
8%
▼0¢
✓ 316h Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 16h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
16h CENTCOM plans targeted strikes on Iran amid military escalation talks
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
2 articles
· 16h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
16h Bond market sees higher odds of Fed rate hike by year-end amid inflation concerns
16h BlackRock’s Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 17h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 417h Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
18h Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Likely NO
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 18h ago
0%
▼0¢
✓ 1518h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
✓ 419h Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran standoff
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 20h ago
0%
▼0¢
20h Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters