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✓ 1519h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
Prediction Markets
Understanding how real-world events are reflected in market pricing.
✓ 1519h Iran tensions push oil prices above $120, potential for further increases
▲ WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 19h)
YES ▲100¢
WTI crude oil prices in may 2026
2 articles
· 19h ago
100%
▲100¢
✓ 1519h ✓ 420h Trump reviews US troop levels in Germany amid Iran standoff
NO ▲18¢
Largest company by market cap predictions
1 article
· 20h ago
78%
▼18¢
20h Amazon eyes AI hardware sales as Nvidia market cap odds shift
YES ▲5¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 19h ago
36%
▲5¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting 31% FLAT
19h Iran threatens to close Strait of Hormuz amid US tensions
NO ▲2¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
3 articles
· 16h ago
42%
▼2¢
✓ 416h Trump rejects Iran proposal, keeps naval blockade amid nuclear deal stalemate
19h Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, tensions rise with US strategy mockery
21h US-Iran talks stall, Hormuz blockade resolution unlikely by May 31
NO ▲2¢
Jerome powell out as Fed chair timeline
2 articles
· 17h ago
2%
▼2¢
✓ 817h DOJ ends Powell probe, reducing urgency for Warsh confirmation
✓ 221h Senate Banking Committee advances Warsh for Fed Chair, Powell’s exit likely
NO ▲2¢
Iran leadership change
1 article
· 20h ago
42%
▼2¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 44% FLAT
✓ 420h Trump orders extended Iran blockade to force nuclear concessions
YES ▲2¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 20h ago
13%
▲2¢
20h Putin meets Iran’s FM, complicating US-Iran diplomatic prospects
YES ▲1¢
Iran military action
1 article
Developing
9%
▲1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
27m US-Israel airstrikes hit Iran industries, spark economic turmoil
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
7%
▼1¢
34m Russia launches 170 drones in Ukraine, Odesa hit, ceasefire unlikely
YES ▲1¢
Fed decision april and june
1 article
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
1h Fed holds rates steady amid global risks, economic growth concerns
YES ▲1¢
Fed rate cuts predictions for 2026
3 articles
Developing
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Fed decision june and july 3% FLAT
1h Ray Dalio warns US stagflation risk amid Iran conflict impacts inflation
✓ 221h Powell: US economy growing at ‘solid pace’ despite Iran war energy shock
✓ 621h US war in Iran costs $25B, impacting Fed rate cut expectations for 2026
YES ▲1¢
US forces enter Iran
1 article
· 16h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
16h Iranian jet bombs US base in Kuwait, challenges air defense systems
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
· 17h ago
9%
▲1¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
17h US Army eyes control of Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions
✓ 221h Hormuz shipping traffic trickles as US-Iran tensions escalate
YES ▲1¢
Iranian regime fall
1 article
· 17h ago
9%
▲1¢
✓ 317h Iranian rial hits record low amid US naval blockade intercepting oil shipments
YES ▲1¢
MegaETH market cap predictions
1 article
· 17h ago
100%
▲1¢
TW✓ 1617h Upbit lists MEGA token with KRW, BTC, USDT trading pairs in South Korea
NO ▲1¢
Iran's enriched uranium surrender
1 article
· 17h ago
20%
▼1¢
✓ 217h Iran refuses to surrender enriched uranium by April 2026 deadline
Likely NO
Fed rate decisions
2 articles
· 17h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
17h Bond market sees higher odds of Fed rate hike by year-end amid inflation concerns
17h BlackRock’s Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
2 articles
· 18h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 0% FLAT
18h Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary
20h Iran holds pro-government rallies amid regime stability concerns
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
2 articles
· 18h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 418h Bitmine buys 65,000 ETH worth $147M in 24 hours, signals institutional interest
19h Middle East tensions pressure crypto markets, Bitcoin $94K odds falter
Likely NO
Ethereum future price predictions
1 article
· 20h ago
4%
▼0¢
✓ 220h Tether proposes merger of XXI, Strike, Elektron Energy into public entity
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions by june
1 article
Developing
100%
just now UAE’s OPEC exit adds 1M barrels capacity, may lower oil prices
Likely NO
Brazil presidential election 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
15m Brazil Congress overrides Lula veto, boosting Bolsonaro allies ahead of 2026 election
20h Brazil Senate rejects Lula’s Supreme Court nominee, impacting 2026 election strategy
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 40% FLAT
32m Mojtaba Khamenei leads Iranian negotiations amid US-Iran tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price targets
2 articles
Developing
99.8%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price above on may 3 99% FLAT
36m Bitcoin ETFs see $819.7M inflows amid US-Iran ceasefire
21h RWA private credit on blockchain surges to $4.5B, Ethereum price outlook steady
Likely NO
SpaceX IPO market cap
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
46m Blue Owl sells half its SpaceX stake at $1.2T valuation amid IPO buzz
Likely NO
Largest company by end of april
5 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by december 2026 1% FLAT
⚡ Meta platforms stock price predictions 2% FLAT
1h Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta plan $710B AI investment by 2026
✓ 218h Nvidia market cap surpasses India’s entire stock market
✓ 519h Samsung profit surges eight-fold on AI demand, beating estimates
Likely NO
Meta platforms stock price predictions
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by end of april 100% FLAT
1h Google and Microsoft report strong Q1 AI-driven earnings growth
Likely NO
XRP price in april
2 articles
· 16h ago
99.9%
▼0¢
16h Ripple partners with Kbank to boost XRP institutional demand in South Korea
✓ 218h Ripple partners with Kbank to deploy institutional-grade digital asset wallets
Likely NO
Military actions against Iran
3 articles
· 17h ago
6%
▼0¢
17h CENTCOM to brief Trump on unprecedented military options against Iran
✓ 217h Iran stockpiling missiles to counter US attacks, says Senator Kennedy
✓ 419h US plans Middle East deployment of Dark Eagle hypersonic missiles against Iran
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
· 17h ago
0%
▼0¢
⚡ Military actions against Iran 0% FLAT
17h CENTCOM plans targeted strikes on Iran amid military escalation talks
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 21h ago
0%
▼0¢
21h Trump urges Netanyahu to limit Lebanon strikes as ceasefire falters