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✓ 22h Bitcoin surges past $77,000 as Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 22h Bitcoin surges past $77,000 as Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz
▲ Solana price predictions in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 2h)
YES ▲2¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
5 articles
Developing
19%
▲2¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 0% FLAT
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 17% FLAT
59m Iran questions US diplomacy commitment, no meeting likely by June 30
1h Iran’s foreign minister leaves Pakistan without US meeting, impasse continues
✓ 52h Iran foreign minister questions US seriousness in diplomacy efforts
YES ▲1¢
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
Developing
19%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 19% FLAT
✓ 46m Trump dismisses Iran proposal, dims April sanction relief prospects
NO ▲1¢
Karoline leavitt's press briefing statements
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran surrender enriched uranium 2% FLAT
✓ 344m Pakistan offers to mediate in US-Iran conflict amid nuclear tensions
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
1 article
Developing
1%
▼1¢
55m Iran FM Araghchi, Pakistan PM Sharif meet to advance US-Iran talks
YES ▲1¢
Russia entry into kupiansk-vuzlovyi
1 article
Developing
94%
▲1¢
⚡ Russia enter rai-oleksandrivka 100% FLAT
1h Russian attack on Ukraine kills seven, wounds dozens in Kharkiv region
NO ▲1¢
Kharg island oil terminal attack
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Kharg island control 4% FLAT
⚡ Meetings with Iran by april 30 2% FLAT
1h Yuri supertanker halts in Hormuz amid US naval blockade
NO ▲1¢
US obtaining Iranian enriched uranium
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
1h US fails to seize Iran’s enriched uranium, complicating negotiations before May 31
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
1h IRGC declares control of Strait of Hormuz as key strategy in US conflict
NO ▲1¢
Iran nuclear agreement
1 article
Developing
2%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran's uranium stockpile surrender 3% FLAT
1h Iranian foreign minister visits Oman amid nuclear talks
NO ▲1¢
Gulf state military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
1h US deploys F-35B from USS Tripoli in Arabian Sea amid Iran tensions
NO ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal
1 article
· 2h ago
14%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 15% FLAT
2h Iran condemns US blockade of ports as ‘collective punishment’
NO ▲1¢
Iran peace deals
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
2h Trump cancels Kushner, Witkoff Pakistan trip for Iran peace talks
YES ▲1¢
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
· 2h ago
19%
▲1¢
2h Somali pirates resume hijacking oil tankers, impacting crude oil market
Likely NO
Solana price april 13-19
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
1h Solana Foundation issues USDT loan to AAVE amid DeFi liquidity crisis
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Major banks predict Bitcoin could hit $200k by 2026 despite steady market odds
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Pentagon shake-up impacts Iran conflict resolution markets
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 4% FLAT
1h Bitcoin ETFs buy $223M in Bitcoin, reversing four-month outflow streak
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Military action against Iran 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
1h Iranian F-5 reportedly breaches US air defenses in Kuwait
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 2h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's position 6% FLAT
2h Israel’s right-wing figures consider new party to challenge Netanyahu
Likely NO
Iran military action
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ US declaration of war on Iran 8% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran warns US maritime actions risk decisive military response
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting
1 article
· 2h ago
19%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 17% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran’s foreign minister in Oman for US-Iran talks mediation
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 56% FLAT
✓ 22h Iran declares control over Hormuz as definitive strategy amid US tensions
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price prediction for 2026 4% FLAT
2h Spot ETH ETF inflows hit $633M, but $10K prediction market remains flat
Likely YES
Reza pahlavi's entry into Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
2m Trump highlights Iranian leadership infighting, raising opposition profile
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Who will meet with Iran 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 52% FLAT
4m Trump skips Pakistan meetings, dims US-Iran diplomacy hopes
✓ 210m Trump cancels Kushner, Witkoff trip to Pakistan amid Iran leadership divisions
✓ 61h Trump cancels Kushner, Witkoff Pakistan trip for Iran peace talks
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price prediction for 2026 4% FLAT
⚡ Ethereum price on april 26 0% FLAT
7m Bitcoin, Solana, XRP ETFs see inflows; Ethereum faces $75.9M outflow
Likely NO
Trump posts week of april 6, 2023
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
11m Trump cancels Iran trip, impacting Reza Pahlavi entry odds
Likely NO
Largest company by june
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap 92% FLAT
12m Nvidia stock hits all-time high amid easing US-China trade tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price in april
1 article
Developing
99.6%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for april 26 100% FLAT
14m ARK Invest: Bitcoin conviction buyers increase holdings 69% in Q1 despite drop
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 3% FLAT
18m Trump reaffirms US stance against Iran nuclear weapons, market odds plummet
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
25m Hyperliquid whale shorts Bitcoin, nets $5.8M as price falls to $77,480
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
2 articles
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
27m Tel Aviv protests demand Netanyahu resignation amid security failures
58m Funerals held in Gaza for pregnant woman, children killed in Israeli attack
Likely NO
Trump insult prediction market
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
30m Trump rules out ceasefire renewal without Iranian concessions
37m Tucker Carlson criticizes Trump, Polymarket sees 100% chance of Trump insult
Likely NO
Top AI model by june 2026
1 article
Developing
32%
▼0¢
34m Google unveils new TPU chips to challenge Nvidia in AI hardware race
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Reza pahlavi entering Iran 6% FLAT
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
52m Israeli Chief of Staff urges US to green-light Iran military action
Likely NO
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Israel army chief advises US on potential Iran conflict restart
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
1h Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon kill six, threaten Hezbollah ceasefire
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
1h Brent crude tops $106 amid US-Iran tensions in Strait of Hormuz
1h Iran conflict boosts US crude exports to 5.2M barrels per day in April
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
1h Hezbollah launches drones at Israeli forces, IDF strikes back in Lebanon
Likely NO
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries sending warships through hormuz 2% FLAT
2h Iran seizes MSC vessel in Strait of Hormuz amid escalating tensions