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2h Bitcoin long-term holders stop panic selling, market stabilizes
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
2h Bitcoin long-term holders stop panic selling, market stabilizes
▲ What price will Bitcoin hit in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 2h)
YES ▲100¢
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
2h 3h BlackRock clients buy $167M in Bitcoin amid US-Iran tensions
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
· 4h ago
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 24 0% FLAT
4h Bitcoin rally stalls amid Japanese inflation and Iran tensions
YES ▲19¢
Kash patel out by date
1 article
· 3h ago
28%
▲19¢
✓ 23h Trump plans to fire FBI Director Kash Patel amid negative media coverage
NO ▲3¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
2 articles
Developing
56%
▼3¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 57% FLAT
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 57% FLAT
✓ 41h Iran refuses talks with Pakistan amid US blockade standoff
4h Iran firm on uranium enrichment demands, agreement unlikely by April 30
NO ▲1¢
Fed decisions from january to april
1 article
· 2h ago
39%
▼1¢
⚡ Fed rate cuts in 2026 39% FLAT
2h Consumer pessimism on job security doubles, Fed rate cut speculation rises
YES ▲1¢
Trump Iran demands (april)
3 articles
· 2h ago
2%
▲1¢
2h Iran’s low-pressure oil fields risk permanent loss amid supply strain
3h US open to Iran uranium enrichment in potential nuclear deal shift
3h US may allow Iran uranium enrichment, impacting Trump negotiation dynamics
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▲1¢
⚡ Ships transit the strait of hormuz by april 3% FLAT
✓ 43h US Navy intercepts sanctioned vessel M/V Sevan in Arabian Sea
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 2% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
3h Trump comments cast doubt on Iran ceasefire continuation
NO ▲1¢
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
· 3h ago
86%
▼1¢
✓ 23h DOJ ends Powell probe, clearing path for Warsh’s Fed Chair confirmation
YES ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
12%
▲1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 13% FLAT
3h Iran seeks diplomacy with US via third-party talks in Pakistan, Oman
YES ▲1¢
Iranian demands Trump agreement
1 article
· 4h ago
2%
▲1¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 3% FLAT
4h Trump’s “Anaconda Plan” targets Iran with naval blockade, sanctions
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
3m Israel strikes in Gaza increase pressure on Netanyahu amid political turmoil
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 6% FLAT
✓ 29m Iran offers new negotiation proposal after US trip cancellation
✓ 32h Trump urges journalist to leave Pakistan as Iran peace talks stall
✓ 44h Trump cancels envoy trip to Pakistan, impacting US-Iran peace prospects
Likely NO
Putin's presidency status
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
18m Putin approval hits wartime low, market sees no immediate threat to power
Likely NO
S&P 500 movement on april 16, 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ S&P 500 movement on april 24 100% FLAT
32m Hedge funds dump tech stocks at fastest pace in two years amid market jitters
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for 2026
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
46m Bitcoin reclaims $73,700 support, eyes $96,000 mean reversion target
1h US Admiral Paparo endorses Bitcoin for national security strategy
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
✓ 247m IDF strikes Al-Khaiam amid ongoing clashes with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
3 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 2% FLAT
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 1% FLAT
✓ 252m Baker Hughes warns Strait of Hormuz could remain closed through 2026
1h Iran tensions and oil supply issues fail to boost WTI crude price outlook
✓ 23h Empty oil tankers divert to US amid Middle East supply disruptions
Likely NO
Ethereum price in 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
57m Kelp DAO exploit leaves AAVE with $196M bad debt, Ethereum market steady
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price hit in april 1% FLAT
59m Iran crisis leaves crude oil markets unmoved despite Strait of Hormuz tensions
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
4 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
1h Israel strikes Hezbollah targets, straining fragile ceasefire in Lebanon
✓ 21h Israel urges US to pressure Lebanon over Hezbollah to save ceasefire
✓ 33h Israeli airstrikes hit Hezbollah positions in Lebanon amid ceasefire doubts
Likely NO
US withdrawal from NATO
3 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US NATO withdrawal 0% FLAT
1h Leaked Pentagon memo suggests punitive measures against NATO allies escalate tensions
2h Trump’s frustration with Europe reignites US withdrawal from NATO debate
4h EU explores defense options outside NATO amid US withdrawal concerns
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries conducting military action against Iran by april 30 1% FLAT
1h US embassy warns of arsons targeting UK Jewish sites linked to Iran group
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 11% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 4% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran rules out US meetings in Pakistan or Oman, dampening diplomatic hopes
3h US-Iran diplomatic meeting possible in coming days: WSJ
Likely NO
Third best AI model by april 2026
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
1h Anthropic’s Mythos AI model sparks crypto security concerns
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location 11% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 11% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran pledges trust-building in Oman visit amid nuclear deal uncertainty
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
2h US naval forces intercept sanctioned vessel in Arabian Sea, enforcing blockade
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
2h Trump cancels Iran talks, citing regime infighting and confusion
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
· 2h ago
8%
▼0¢
2h Iran conflict drives oil prices, Latin America responds with subsidies, caps
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Lazarus Group linked to $292M DeFi hack, $13B TVL outflows ensue
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 4% FLAT
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 3% FLAT
3h Iran signals reduced interest in US talks after failed Pakistan negotiations
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
2 articles
· 3h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
3h Unverified report: Iranian F-5 bombed US base in Kuwait, bypassing defenses
✓ 33h Iran warns US against renewed aggression amid conflict fears
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
· 3h ago
7%
▼0¢
✓ 23h Iran delegation returns to Tehran for consultations amid frozen market
Likely NO
Largest company predictions for june
1 article
· 4h ago
99.7%
▼0¢
⚡ Largest company by market cap in april 2026 100% FLAT
4h Nvidia poised to become largest company by market cap amid AI stock surge