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1h Bitcoin futures see $600M in long liquidations, highest since February
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h Bitcoin futures see $600M in long liquidations, highest since February
▲ Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 1h)
NO ▲2¢
US crude oil reserves by may 1
1 article
· 4h ago
6%
▼2¢
⚡ Iran successfully targets ships by april 30 59% FLAT
4h Fuel crisis grips Tuvalu amid Strait of Hormuz blockades
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼1¢
54m Macron backs Trump after armed attack as US-Iran talks stall
NO ▲1¢
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire predictions
1 article
Developing
0%
▼1¢
✓ 21h Zelensky urges end to Russian nuclear threats on Chornobyl anniversary
NO ▲1¢
Epstein client list release
1 article
· 5h ago
7%
▼1¢
5h Gunman targets Trump at White House Correspondents’ Dinner, leaders evacuated
NO ▲1¢
Peru presidential election first round - 4th place
1 article
· 5h ago
2%
▼1¢
5h Bomb attack in Colombia kills 14 ahead of presidential election
Likely NO
Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
16m Lebanon frees last Hezbollah detainees on minimal bail amid ceasefire concerns
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
17m Netanyahu orders strikes on Hezbollah after ceasefire violations
19m Israeli attacks in Lebanon kill 2,490 amid ceasefire market certainty
2h Lebanon PM criticizes focus on minor issues over Hezbollah disarmament
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure from power
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu out 6% FLAT
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
✓ 218m Israeli president delays Netanyahu pardon, pushes for plea deal
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
✓ 223m Israel drops leaflets over Sour, straining Lebanon ceasefire
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
24m UK, US collaborate on security as King Charles plans US visit amid oil tensions
26m Iran arrests four linked to Kerman shooting amid oil market tensions
4h Iran missile strikes on GCC states threaten Gulf-backed deals, oil supply
Likely NO
Next to leave Trump cabinet
2 articles
Developing
14%
▼0¢
✓ 325m Gunman targets Trump officials at White House dinner, raising security concerns
✓ 91h Gunman opens fire at White House Correspondents’ Dinner, Trump evacuated
Likely NO
Diplomatic meetings with Iran
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 3% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 14% FLAT
✓ 226m US cancels envoy travel to Pakistan, shifts strategy from talks to pressure on Iran
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
3 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
31m US-Iran talks stall, odds of Trump meeting drop to near zero by April 30
✓ 23h Iran refuses US talks under pressure, nuclear deal deadlock persists
✓ 25h US cancels Iran peace talks, protests erupt in Tel Aviv
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 233m Iran refuses to restore Strait of Hormuz normalcy amid peace deal doubts
✓ 24h Trump escalates Iran strategy with naval blockade, frozen crypto assets
Likely NO
Iranian regime fall
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran regime fall 0% FLAT
51m Iranian lawmaker suggests preemptive strikes against US possible
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
55m Iran airs footage from seized vessel in Strait of Hormuz escalation
Likely NO
Anthropic IPO market cap predictions
1 article
Developing
97%
▼0¢
1h US Treasury meets bank CEOs over Anthropic’s Mythos cybersecurity risks
Likely NO
Iran control and regime fall
1 article
Developing
13%
▼0¢
1h Israel’s haredi draft crisis threatens Netanyahu’s coalition stability
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
1h Bitcoin nears $80K, $2.2B in short positions at risk of liquidation
3h Bitcoin unlikely to dip to $60,000 in April, market shows
4h Bitcoin hits $78,000 amid US-Iran tensions, traders eye ETF flows
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
3 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 7% FLAT
1h Iran rejects demands on Strait of Hormuz, uranium enrichment halt
3h Tehran-Washington talks stall, casting doubt on Iran uranium deal by April 30
5h Iran refuses talks under pressure, reinforcing uranium enrichment deadlock
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 14% FLAT
1h 600 ships stranded in Strait of Hormuz, disrupting regional trade
Likely NO
Iran's uranium stockpile surrender
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30 3% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
✓ 22h Oman mediates US-Iran talks, no breakthrough on uranium stockpile surrender
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h US crude exports hit record 5.2M barrels amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
✓ 23h Trump cancels envoy trip, Iran talks stall as diplomatic market collapses
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
⚡ Fall of the Iranian regime 4% FLAT
3h US considers nuclear option as Iran tensions escalate
4h US-Iran nuclear talks collapse, raising nuclear strike risk: Lt. Col. Aguilar
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire
1 article
· 3h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 13% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 3% FLAT
3h Iran’s foreign minister to visit Pakistan before Moscow talks
Likely NO
Next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location
1 article
· 3h ago
14%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting dates 0% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
3h Iran prioritizes regional alliances over US talks, dims hope for near-term meeting
Likely NO
Ethereum price hit in april
1 article
· 3h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
✓ 33h Ethereum Foundation unstakes $48.9M in ETH, raising selling pressure concerns
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼0¢
3h Iran war disrupts oil supply, crude hits $90 by June draws interest
Likely NO
Starmer out timing predictions
1 article
· 3h ago
47%
▼0¢
⚡ Starmer out prediction markets 46% FLAT
✓ 23h Starmer’s Labour Party projected to lose seats in May 7 UK elections
Likely NO
Best Chinese AI company by april 2026
1 article
· 4h ago
97%
▼0¢
4h DeepSeek delays V4 model release, shifts to Chinese chips amid US restrictions
Likely NO
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
· 4h ago
14%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action by april 30 100% FLAT
4h US-Iran tensions rise as decapitation strike prediction complicates ceasefire
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price prediction for 2026 4% FLAT
4h Morgan Stanley Bitcoin ETF hits $184M inflows amid US-Iran ceasefire
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire
1 article
· 5h ago
1%
▼0¢
5h Russia-Ukraine ceasefire unlikely as military buildup continues
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
1 article
· 5h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
5h Iran conflict drives pistachio prices to 8-year high amid Hormuz blockade
Likely NO
Countries sending warships through hormuz
1 article
· 5h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
⚡ Warships through the strait of hormuz 1% FLAT
5h Iran mining in Strait of Hormuz renews UK warship deployment speculation