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2h Bitcoin price stable amid US-Iran tensions, traders dismiss sub-$68K dip
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
2h Bitcoin price stable amid US-Iran tensions, traders dismiss sub-$68K dip
▲ Bitcoin price predictions in april
100% (was 0%, ▲100¢ in 2h)
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 24: 0% FLAT
YES ▲100¢
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▲100¢
⚡ Bitcoin price on april 24 0% FLAT
2h 
NO ▲1¢
GPT-5.5 release timing
1 article
Developing
33%
▼1¢
⚡ GPT-5.5 release dates 100% FLAT
1h OpenAI GPT-5.5 release by April 30 market confidence
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 2% FLAT
1h Iran demands end to US naval blockade before nuclear talks
YES ▲1¢
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
· 3h ago
61%
▲1¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
✓ 73h Iran offers US deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz, end conflict
3h Iran-Oman partnership signals extended Hormuz blockade amid US tensions
NO ▲1¢
Iran uranium surrender
1 article
· 3h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
3h US-Israeli airstrikes destroy Iran’s Pasteur Institute headquarters
NO ▲1¢
US escorts in hormuz
1 article
· 4h ago
15%
▼1¢
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 2% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
✓ 24h US redirects 38 ships amid Iran blockade, escort operations unlikely by April 30
NO ▲1¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
· 4h ago
1%
▼1¢
⚡ Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile 2% FLAT
⚡ Iran's enriched uranium 2% FLAT
4h Iran leadership split on Trump’s uranium demands, nuclear deal unlikely by April 30
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
2 articles
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
2h Israeli airstrikes target Hezbollah as ceasefire market remains unchanged
3h Cross-border fire between Israel and Lebanon threatens fragile ceasefire
Likely NO
Gold price predictions by end of june
1 article
· 2h ago
0%
▼0¢
2h Gold rises on US-Iran peace hopes, easing inflation weakens USD
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Iranian foreign minister to meet Putin on war developments in St. Petersburg
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
3 articles
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
2h Vietnam boosts LNG imports amid Iran conflict’s impact on global supply
3h Brent crude stays above $107 amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
✓ 33h Oil prices climb as US-Iran peace talks stall
Likely NO
Solana price april 13-19
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 52h Western Union to launch Solana-based stablecoin USDPT next month
Likely NO
Iran military action against countries
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
✓ 32h Hezbollah drone strike kills IDF soldier, tests Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Spot Bitcoin ETFs see $824M inflows amid Middle East de-escalation
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
2 articles
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 42% FLAT
2h Ghalibaf sidelined, US-Iran talks by June 30 in doubt amid internal strife
4h Iran proposes bypassing leadership disputes on nuclear concessions
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
· 4h ago
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu leaving office 6% FLAT
4h Bennett and Lapid form Beyachad party to challenge Netanyahu in 2026 elections
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
· 4h ago
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran leadership change 42% FLAT
4h Mojtaba Khamenei named Iran’s Supreme Leader, stabilizing regime outlook
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
Developing
15%
⚡ Iran successfully targets ships by april 30 68% FLAT
1m Iran warns of insecurity in Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz tensions rise
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 24
2 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
4m Bitcoin nears $80K as ETF inflows and corporate buying surge
✓ 23h Bitcoin nears $80K amid US-Iran tensions, traders eye late-April rally
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
5 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 3% FLAT
8m Iran signals openness to interim US deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz
✓ 21h US-Iran peace talks stall over nuclear issues, market braces for uncertainty
1h Iran war impacts circuit board supply, traders reassess oil positions
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
3 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel withdrawal from lebanon 1% FLAT
15m Israeli tanks in Lebanon cast doubt on ceasefire stability
✓ 236m Israel’s military operations intensify in southern Lebanon amid ceasefire talks
✓ 23h Satellite images reveal Israeli destruction in southern Lebanon amid ceasefire talks
Likely NO
Crude oil predictions for june
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
29m US sanctions Hengli Petrochemical for buying Iranian oil, impacting global supply
Likely NO
Third best AI model end of april
1 article
Developing
33%
▼0¢
⚡ Best AI model by may 2026 33% FLAT
30m DeepSeek’s aggressive pricing pressures AI rivals, boosts Google’s odds
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
3 articles
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
36m Bitcoin crashes to $77.5K, erasing $27B market cap amid Fed chair news
1h Bitcoin climbs toward $80K amid US-Iran Strait of Hormuz tensions
✓ 23h Bitcoin surges past $79,000 amid easing geopolitical tensions
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin all time high by date 3% FLAT
⚡ Bitcoin price hit in april 0% FLAT
37m BlackRock’s IBIT ETF adds $732.6M in Bitcoin, boosting market confidence
4h Whale moves $26.1M Solana to Binance, signaling potential sell-off
Likely NO
Bitcoin price hit in april
2 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
54m Guangdong power market turmoil as brokers cancel contracts amid Iran war
2h US-Iran tensions rise, Bitcoin holds above $66K despite market concerns
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
2 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
1h Iran reinstates currency subsidies amid economic turmoil
2h Yen under pressure as Middle East tensions rise, BOJ rate cut odds unchanged
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-Iran permanent peace deal 1% FLAT
1h Israel breaches Gaza ceasefire 2,400 times, truce stability in doubt
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran military action against countries 100% FLAT
✓ 21h Drone incursion from Lebanon triggers sirens in northern Israel
Likely NO
US military actions in 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ U.S. forces seizing oil tankers 100% FLAT
1h USS Gerald R. Ford’s deployment confirms US strikes in Venezuela, Iran in 2026
Likely NO
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire by 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h Kim Jong UN pledges continued military support for Russia
Likely NO
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Sen. Tillis lifts block on Fed chair nominee Warsh, clearing path for confirmation
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
✓ 41h Trump rejects envoy to Pakistan, suggests Iran talks by phone