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1h Trump holds national security meeting on reopening Strait of Hormuz
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
1h Trump holds national security meeting on reopening Strait of Hormuz
▼ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
3% (was 4%, ▼1¢ in 1h)
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran: 1% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april
1 article
Developing
3%
▼1¢
⚡ Diplomatic meetings with Iran 1% FLAT
1h 
YES ▲1¢
Trump's end of military operations against Iran
1 article
Developing
16%
▲1¢
⚡ Gulf state military action against Iran 1% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 15% FLAT
1h US airlift boosts military presence in Gulf amid stalled Iran talks
YES ▲1¢
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
16%
▲1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 15% FLAT
✓ 21h Iran proposes opening Strait of Hormuz without nuclear deal
NO ▲1¢
XRP price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
93%
▼1¢
✓ 42h KBank partners with Ripple for cross-border remittance tests
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼1¢
2h Elbit Systems secures $200M defense contracts amid Iran conflict
NO ▲1¢
Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
✓ 22h Iranian FM heads to Russia as US-Iran talks stall
YES ▲1¢
Strait of hormuz ship transit april
1 article
· 3h ago
16%
▲1¢
⚡ Iran successfully targets ships by april 30 68% FLAT
3h Iran warns of insecurity in Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz tensions rise
Likely NO
USD.AI and predict.fun FDV launch
1 article
Developing
96%
▼0¢
✓ 657m China blocks Meta’s $2B Manus acquisition, impacts AI market outlook
Likely NO
WTI crude oil price in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
✓ 61h Oil prices jump $3 as US-Iran talks fail, Strait of Hormuz closure impacts supply
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
2 articles
Developing
7%
▼0¢
1h Iran unveils mural honoring leaders, signals leadership continuity
2h Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei assassinated by Israel, leadership change uncertain
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
1h Trump cancels US envoy trip to Pakistan, Iran peace deal unlikely by April 30
Likely NO
Trump Iran demands (april)
2 articles
Developing
41%
⚡ Iranian demands Trump will agree to in april 3% FLAT
1m EU firm on Iran sanctions, Trump oil relief odds drop sharply
1h US to end Iranian, Russian oil waivers, tightening global supply
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
⚡ Iranian regime fall 8% FLAT
15m US-Israeli strikes on Iran complicate nuclear deal prospects before April 30
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
5 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
17m Spain urges immediate ticket purchases as Iran conflict lifts oil prices
✓ 218m Europe accelerates renewables push amid Iran war energy disruption
1h UAE demands $3.5B loan repayment from Pakistan amid Iran mediation efforts
Likely NO
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
22m UK warship deployment odds plummet amid King Charles US visit
Likely NO
Military action against Iran
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
27m Leaked Pentagon email reveals NATO tensions over Spain during Iran conflict
Likely NO
Netanyahu's departure
1 article
Developing
12%
▼0¢
⚡ Netanyahu's departure 6% FLAT
30m Former Israeli PMs Bennett and Lapid merge parties to challenge Netanyahu
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
34m Philippines warns against deploying crew to Gulf amid Strait of Hormuz risks
Likely NO
Bab el-mandeb strait closure
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
37m 20,000 sailors stranded as conflict shuts Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
5 articles
Developing
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
✓ 237m Hezbollah leader vows to keep weapons, complicating ceasefire efforts
1h IDF finds Hezbollah weapons cache in children’s bedroom in southern Lebanon
1h Hezbollah rockets target schoolchildren, escalating Israel-Hezbollah conflict
Likely NO
ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026
3 articles
Developing
0%
▼0¢
43m ECB survey: firms’ short-term inflation expectations rise sharply
✓ 21h Strait of Hormuz crisis persists, Europe recession fears grow
✓ 21h Eurozone inflation jumps amid Iran conflict, ECB rate cut unlikely
Likely NO
Reza pahlavi entering Iran
1 article
Developing
7%
▼0¢
51m Israel deploys IDF troops, Iron Dome to UAE amid Iran conflict
Likely NO
Bitcoin all time high by date
2 articles
Developing
3%
▼0¢
✓ 252m Bitcoin sees $1.2B inflows, trading at highest since February
2h Bitcoin hits 12-week high of $79,399 before third reversal at $79,000 level
Likely NO
Kharg island control
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h IRGC claims neutralization of 15 US missiles in Hormozgan
Likely NO
MegaETH market cap after launch
1 article
Developing
93%
▼0¢
⚡ MegaETH token launch predictions 100% FLAT
1h MegaETH token to launch April 30 with $1.6B valuation
Likely NO
Crypto hack predictions for 2023
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
1h Lazarus Group hacks KelpDAO, pushes April DeFi losses over $600M
Likely NO
Kharg island oil terminal attack
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran continues oil loading at Kharg Island despite US blockade
Likely NO
What price will Bitcoin hit in april
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
1h $292M liquidated from crypto market amid North Korean DeFi exploit
Likely NO
ECB interest rate predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
✓ 22h Emirates NBD to issue first Middle Eastern AT1 bond since Iran war start
Likely NO
Bank of japan decision in april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
2h US-Iran conflict drives oil prices up, pressures India’s rupee
Likely NO
Iran military action
1 article
· 2h ago
9%
▼0¢
⚡ Countries conducting military action against Iran 1% FLAT
2h Iranian naval forces await orders amid regional tensions
Likely NO
Crude oil price by end of june
1 article
· 2h ago
3%
▼0¢
2h Strait of Hormuz disruptions boost Dangote, strain Nigerian airlines
Likely NO
Who will Trump publicly insult by april 30?
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
2h Trump calls attacker ‘sick lone wolf’ in ’60 Minutes’ interview
Likely NO
ECB interest rates april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
1%
▼0¢
⚡ ECB interest rates predictions for april 2026 0% FLAT
2h EU faces €24B fossil fuel import surge amid US-Iran conflict, ECB policy in focus
Likely NO
Ethereum price predictions for april 2026
1 article
· 2h ago
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Ethereum price in 2026 4% FLAT
2h Ethereum price stagnant at $2,328 since 2021 amid macroeconomic pressures
Likely YES
WTI crude oil prices in april 2026
1 article
Developing
56%
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 56% FLAT
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 16% FLAT
2m Bitcoin erases Hormuz reopening rallies as trader skepticism grows
Likely NO
Bitcoin price on april 24
1 article
· 3h ago
5%
▼0¢
3h Bitcoin nears $80K as ETF inflows and corporate buying surge