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✓ 224m US urges UN for maritime coalition to secure Strait of Hormuz navigation
Prediction Markets
News mapped to markets. Live odds updated every 10 minutes.
✓ 224m US urges UN for maritime coalition to secure Strait of Hormuz navigation
▼ Warships through the strait of hormuz
18% (was 19%, ▼1¢ in 24m)
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic: 18% FLAT · Countries sending warships through hormuz: 1% FLAT
NO ▲1¢
Warships through the strait of hormuz
1 article
Developing
18%
▼1¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 18% FLAT
⚡ Countries sending warships through hormuz 1% FLAT
✓ 224m 
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap
1 article
Developing
92%
▼1¢
57m Netanyahu orders strikes in southern Lebanon, ceasefire odds recalibrate
NO ▲1¢
Largest company by market cap in june
1 article
Developing
92%
▼1¢
⚡ Largest company predictions for june 92% FLAT
⚡ Second largest company prediction 0% FLAT
✓ 458m Nvidia stock hits new all-time high amid market cap speculation
NO ▲1¢
Israel-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
16%
▼1¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 17% FLAT
1h Iran proposes three-phase peace plan amid US blockade of Strait of Hormuz
NO ▲1¢
Bank of Russia decision in april
1 article
· 2h ago
16%
▼1¢
2h Iran foreign minister criticizes US in talks with Putin, citing “destructive habits”
Likely NO
Iran successfully targets ships by april 30
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US escorts through hormuz 2% FLAT
5m Iranian tankers redirected as US blockade tightens in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
FDV predictions one day after launch
1 article
Developing
84%
▼0¢
6m Trump calls for Kimmel firing amid April 2026 insult prediction certainty
Likely NO
Trump's hormuz blockade announcement
2 articles
Developing
58%
▼0¢
⚡ US blockade of hormuz 58% FLAT
7m Iran defies US blockade, claims oil exports unstoppable despite full storage
✓ 21h Iran offers to reopen Strait of Hormuz if US lifts blockade
Likely NO
US-Iran permanent peace deal
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 4% FLAT
✓ 28m German Chancellor calls Trump “humiliated” by Iran amid ongoing conflict
Likely NO
Karoline leavitt's press briefing statements
3 articles
Developing
84%
▼0¢
12m White House confirms third major assassination attempt against Trump
✓ 416m White House discusses Iran proposal, no US acceptance confirmation
✓ 51h White House to address WHCA dinner shooting amid market interest in briefing
Likely NO
Kevin warsh Fed chair confirmation
1 article
Developing
92%
▼0¢
14m DOJ drops Powell probe, clearing path for Warsh’s Fed chair confirmation by May 15
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions in april
1 article
Developing
5%
▼0¢
⚡ Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 5% FLAT
✓ 221m Congressman Begich to propose US strategic Bitcoin reserve bill
Likely NO
Richest person on december 31, 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
22m Larry Ellison’s $40B Warner Bros. guarantee raises financial leverage doubts
Likely NO
Crude oil price predictions for june 2023
3 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
23m Brent crude hits three-week high as US-Iran talks stall
1h Hormuz traffic restricted as only 8 vessels cross on April 26
1h UK warns Iran conflict could prolong oil price shock for eight months
Likely NO
Iran military action by april 30
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
34m Iran missile, drone strikes on Gulf states continue, US Ambassador warns
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting attendance
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 17% FLAT
⚡ Iranian demands Trump agreement 4% FLAT
38m Trump blocks Iraq cash payments, pressures Iran-backed militias
Likely NO
Ethereum price in april
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
41m 48,600 ETH worth $110.7M staked in Beacon Depositor from unknown wallets
Likely NO
US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations
6 articles
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran peace deal 2% FLAT
47m Iran strengthens Russia ties, complicating US peace talks
56m Iran claims US seeks talks after failing in 2026 Iran war
✓ 21h Iran claims leverage as countries negotiate for energy access
Likely NO
Iran leadership status
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ US-Iran permanent peace deal 2% FLAT
✓ 250m Iran tightens Strait of Hormuz control, dimming US peace deal prospects
Likely NO
Countries sending warships through hormuz
1 article
Developing
18%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 18% FLAT
53m Iran blockade strands 20,000 seafarers, 2,000 ships in Strait of Hormuz
Likely NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by april 30
1 article
Developing
2%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran uranium enrichment agreement 1% FLAT
55m Bahrain-led coalition of 80 nations condemns Iran’s regional actions
Likely NO
Strait of hormuz traffic
2 articles
Developing
18%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's hormuz blockade announcement 58% FLAT
✓ 359m Iran asserts control over Strait of Hormuz, complicating US naval operations
1h Rubio warns Iran over Strait of Hormuz control tactics amid rising tensions
Likely NO
Iran coup attempt
2 articles
Developing
4%
▼0¢
⚡ Trump's agreement to Iranian demands in april 4% FLAT
1h Iran imposes shipping tolls in Strait of Hormuz, US silent at UN
✓ 21h Iran proposes reopening Strait of Hormuz if US ends hostilities
Likely NO
Iran uranium enrichment agreement
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran diplomatic meetings 58% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting locations 16% FLAT
1h Iran excludes nuclear talks from Hormuz proposal, complicating US negotiations
Likely NO
Iran diplomatic meetings
2 articles
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ WTI crude oil prices in april 2026 0% FLAT
1h Rubio rejects Iran’s proposal, dimming hopes for US-Iran talks by May 31
1h Rubio cites Iran hardliner dominance as barrier to Middle East peace
Likely NO
Trump endorsement of Israeli ceasefire
1 article
Developing
16%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
1h Israel faces drone defense gaps amid Hezbollah incursions on northern border
Likely NO
GPT-5.5 release dates
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h Microsoft, OpenAI end AGI deal; GPT-5.5 market remains steady
Likely NO
US-Iran ceasefire end
1 article
Developing
0%
▼0¢
✓ 31h Putin’s peace pledge with Iran impacts US-Iran ceasefire market sentiment
Likely NO
Bitcoin price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
100%
▼0¢
✓ 21h ConsenSys and Lubin pledge 30,000 ETH to support DeFi United
Likely NO
Solana price predictions for april 2026
1 article
Developing
4%
▼0¢
1h Solana ETFs see $11.3M weekly inflows as $150 target looms
Likely NO
Netanyahu's tenure
1 article
Developing
6%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel suspension of lebanon offensive 100% FLAT
1h Israel extends emergency amid Lebanon shelling, ceasefire doubts persist
Likely NO
Iran military action against others
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Another country conducting military action against Iran 1% FLAT
1h Iran warns of “regret-inducing response” to enemy missteps
Likely NO
Crude oil all time high by april 30
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
1h Iran nears oil storage limit as US blockade impacts exports
Likely NO
Fall of the Iranian regime
1 article
Developing
3%
▼0¢
⚡ Iran surrender of enriched uranium stockpile 1% FLAT
1h EU sanctions pressure keeps Iran uranium surrender odds near zero
Likely NO
ECB interest rates in april 2026
1 article
Developing
1%
▼0¢
⚡ Crude oil all time high by april 30 1% FLAT
1h Iran conflict threatens Middle East urea output, global food inflation concerns rise
Likely NO
Meetings with Iran by april 30
1 article
Developing
18%
▼0¢
⚡ Strait of hormuz traffic 18% FLAT
⚡ US-Iran diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
1h IRGC’s Javani says US can’t open Strait of Hormuz by force
Likely NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire
1 article
· 2h ago
100%
▼0¢
⚡ Israel-lebanon diplomatic meeting 100% FLAT
⚡ Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 100% FLAT
2h Hezbollah denounces Beirut-Israel talks, releases drone strike footage